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Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for deploying machine learning systems in high-stakes domains. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free coverage guarantees but often produces overly large prediction sets, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

The "scenario approach" provides an intuitive method to address chance constrained problems arising in control design for uncertain systems. It addresses these problems by replacing the chance constraint with a finite number of sampled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-05 Xiaojing Zhang , Sergio Grammatico , Georg Schildbach , Paul Goulart , John Lygeros

Repetitive Scenario Design (RSD) is a randomized approach to robust design based on iterating two phases: a standard scenario design phase that uses $N$ scenarios (design samples), followed by randomized feasibility phase that uses $N_o$…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-02-12 Giuseppe C. Calafiore

This paper studies a structured compound stochastic program (SP) involving multiple expectations coupled by nonconvex and nonsmooth functions. We present a successive convex-programming based sampling algorithm and establish its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Junyi Liu , Ying Cui , Jong-Shi Pang

While techniques have been developed for chance constrained stochastic optimal control using sample disturbance data that provide a probabilistic confidence bound for chance constraint satisfaction, far less is known about how to use sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-31 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

We consider a distributionally robust formulation of stochastic optimization problems arising in statistical learning, where robustness is with respect to uncertainty in the underlying data distribution. Our formulation builds on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Andrzej Ruszczyński , Landi Zhu

Stochastic simulation has been widely used to analyze the performance of complex stochastic systems and facilitate decision making in those systems. Stochastic simulation is driven by the input model, which is a collection of probability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-14 Tianyi Liu , Enlu Zhou

This paper presents ``randomized SINDy", a sequential machine learning algorithm designed for dynamic data that has a time-dependent structure. It employs a probabilistic approach, with its PAC learning property rigorously proven through…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-20 Dorival Leão , Reiko Aoki , Alberto Ohashi , Teh Led Red

We propose a method for variable selection in multiple regression with random predictors. This method is based on a criterion that permits to reduce the variable selection problem to a problem of estimating suitable permutation and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-29 Alban Mbina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet , Assi Nguessan

Probabilistic models such as Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful tools to learn unknown dynamical systems from data for subsequent use in control design. While learning-based control has the potential to yield superior performance in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-22 Alexander von Rohr , Matthias Neumann-Brosig , Sebastian Trimpe

Mixed-integer optimisation problems can be computationally challenging. Here, we introduce and analyse two efficient algorithms with a specific sequential design that are aimed at dealing with sampled problems within this class. At each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Mohammadreza Chamanbaz , Roland Bouffanais

In many learning tasks, certain requirements on the processing of individual data samples should arguably be formalized as strict constraints in the underlying optimization problem, rather than by means of arbitrary penalties. We show that,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Francesca Lanzillotta , Chiara Albisani , Davide Pucci , Daniele Baracchi , Alessandro Piva , Matteo Lapucci

Probabilistic embeddings have several advantages over deterministic embeddings as they map each data point to a distribution, which better describes the uncertainty and complexity of data. Many works focus on adjusting the distribution…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Xiang Huang , Hao Peng , Li Sun , Hui Lin , Chunyang Liu , Jiang Cao , Philip S. Yu

We propose a robust data-driven output feedback control algorithm that explicitly incorporates inherent finite-sample model estimate uncertainties into the control design. The algorithm has three components: (1) a subspace identification…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-12 Benjamin Gravell , Iman Shames , Tyler Summers

We consider a simulation-based Ranking and Selection (R&S) problem with input uncertainty, where unknown input distributions can be estimated using input data arriving in batches of varying sizes over time. Each time a batch arrives,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Di Wu , Yuhao Wang , Enlu Zhou

We reconsider randomized algorithms for the low-rank approximation of symmetric positive semi-definite (SPSD) matrices such as Laplacian and kernel matrices that arise in data analysis and machine learning applications. Our main results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-05 Alex Gittens , Michael W. Mahoney

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

Randomized smoothing is a defensive technique to achieve enhanced robustness against adversarial examples which are small input perturbations that degrade the performance of neural network models. Conventional randomized smoothing adds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Ryo Hase , Ye Wang , Toshiaki Koike-Akino , Jing Liu , Kieran Parsons

Robustness of linear systems with constant coefficients is considered. There exist methods and tools for analyzing the stability of systems with random or deterministic uncertainties. At the same time, there are no approaches for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Andrey Tremba

Count data and recurrent events in clinical trials, such as the number of lesions in magnetic resonance imaging in multiple sclerosis, the number of relapses in multiple sclerosis, the number of hospitalizations in heart failure, and the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-07 Tobias Mütze , Ekkehard Glimm , Heinz Schmidli , Tim Friede