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We present a detailed description of our submission for the M4 forecasting competition, in which it ranked 3rd overall. Our solution utilizes several commonly used statistical models, which are weighted according to their performance on…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-11 Maciej Pawlikowski , Agata Chorowska

Normal mean-variance mixture distributions are widely applied to simplify a model's implementation and improve their computational efficiency under the Maximum Likelihood (ML) approach. Especially for distributions with normal mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Thanakorn Nitithumbundit , Jennifer S. K. Chan

Model-based clustering is a popular approach for clustering multivariate data which has seen applications in numerous fields. Nowadays, high-dimensional data are more and more common and the model-based clustering approach has adapted to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Michael Fop , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Mixtures of linear mixed models (MLMMs) are useful for clustering grouped data and can be estimated by likelihood maximization through the EM algorithm. The conventional approach to determining a suitable number of components is to compare…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-26 Siew Li Tan , David J. Nott

In this paper, we consider the task of clustering a set of individual time series while modeling each cluster, that is, model-based time series clustering. The task requires a parametric model with sufficient flexibility to describe the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ryohei Umatani , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto , Shutaro Kunimasa

Healthcare cost prediction is a challenging task due to the high-dimensionality and high correlation among covariates. Additionally, the skewed, heavy-tailed, and often multi-modal nature of cost data can complicate matters further due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Zhengxiao Li , Yifan Huang , Yang Cao

Motivated by high-throughput single-cell cytometry data with applications to vaccine development and immunological research, we consider statistical clustering in large-scale data that contain multiple rare clusters. We propose a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-30 Lin Lin , Jia Li

Clustering multivariate binary data is of interest in many scientific fields, including ecology, biomedicine, and social policy. Beyond heuristic clustering algorithms, such data can be modelled using multivariate Bernoulli mixture models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Luisa Ferrari , Maria Franco Villoria , Garritt L. Page , Alex Laini

A novel approach for dealing with censored competing risks regression data is proposed. This is implemented by a mixture of accelerated failure time (AFT) models for a competing risks scenario within a cluster-weighted modelling (CWM)…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-04 Utkarsh J. Dang , Paul D. McNicholas

In recent work we presented a new approach to the analysis of weighted networks, by providing a straightforward generalization of any network measure defined on unweighted networks. This approach is based on the translation of a weighted…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-06-05 S. E. Ahnert , D. Garlaschelli , T. M. A. Fink , G. Caldarelli

Discrete mixture models provide a well-known basis for effective clustering algorithms, although technical challenges have limited their scope. In the context of gene-expression data analysis, a model is presented that mixes over a finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-12 Michael A. Newton , Lisa M. Chung

While several Gaussian mixture models-based biclustering approaches currently exist in the literature for continuous data, approaches to handle discrete data have not been well researched. A multivariate Poisson-lognormal (MPLN) model-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-13 Caitlin Kral , Evan Chance , Ryan Browne , Sanjeena Subedi

Zero-inflated count data arise in various fields, including health, biology, economics, and the social sciences. These data are often modelled using probabilistic distributions such as zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), zero-inflated negative…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Zahra AghahosseinaliShirazi , Pedro A. Rangel , Camila P. E. de Souza

Community detection or clustering is a fundamental task in the analysis of network data. Many real networks have a bipartite structure which makes community detection challenging. In this paper, we consider a model which allows for matched…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-03-16 Zahra S. Razaee , Arash A. Amini , Jingyi Jessica Li

In this paper, a scale mixture of Normal distributions model is developed for classification and clustering of data having outliers and missing values. The classification method, based on a mixture model, focuses on the introduction of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-23 G. Revillon , A. Djafari , C. Enderli

A new maximum approximate likelihood (ML) estimation algorithm for the mixture of Kent distribution is proposed. The new algorithm is constructed via the BSLM (block successive lower-bound maximization) framework and incorporates manifold…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-15 Hien D. Nguyen

We develop Clustered Random Forests, a random forests algorithm for clustered data, arising from independent groups that exhibit within-cluster dependence. The leaf-wise predictions for each decision tree making up clustered random forests…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Elliot H. Young , Peter Bühlmann

In many situations we are interested in modeling real data where the response distribution, even conditionally on the covariates, presents asymmetry and/or heavy/light tails. In these situations, it is more suitable to consider models based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 João Victor B. de Freitas , Caio L. N. Azevedo

The latent class model has been proposed as a powerful tool for cluster analysis of categorical data in various fields such as social, psychological, behavioral, and biological sciences. However, one important limitation of the latent class…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Huan Qing

In this paper, I propose a new class of Zero-Inflated Poisson models into the family of Cluster Weighted Models (CWMs) called Zero-Inflated Poisson CWMs (ZIPCWM). ZIPCWM extends Poisson cluster weighted models and other mixture models. I…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-29 Kehinde Olobatuyi
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