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The phenomenon of benign overfitting, where a predictor perfectly fits noisy training data while attaining near-optimal expected loss, has received much attention in recent years, but still remains not fully understood beyond well-specified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Ohad Shamir

Motivated, in part, by the desire to develop an information-theoretic foundation for compound Poisson approximation limit theorems (analogous to the corresponding developments for the central limit theorem and for simple Poisson…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-10-21 Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Mokshay Madiman

Sufficient conditions are developed, under which the compound Poisson distribution has maximal entropy within a natural class of probability measures on the nonnegative integers. Recently, one of the authors [O. Johnson, {\em Stoch. Proc.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Mokshay Madiman

The idea behind Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution was used in [J. de la Cal, F. Luquin, J. Approx. Theory, 68(3), 1992, 322-329] and subsequent papers in order to establish the convergence of suitable sequences of positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Ana-Maria Acu , Margareta Heilmann , Ioan Rasa , Andra Seserman

Understanding the structure of weighted signed networks is essential for analysing social systems in which relationships vary both in sign and strength. Despite significant advances in statistical network analysis, there is still a lack of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

We handle divergent {\epsilon} expansions in different universality classes derived from modified Landau-Wilson Hamiltonian. Landau-Wilson Hamiltonian can cater for describing critical phenomena on a wide range of physical systems which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-24 Venkat Abhignan , R. Sankaranarayanan

This study considers the Merton model with temporal correlation. We show the Merton model becomes Poisson process with the log-normal distributed intensity function in the limit. We discuss the relation between this model and Hawkes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-21 Masato Hisakado , Shintaro Mori

Data based judgments go into artificial intelligence applications but they undergo paradoxical reversal when seemingly unnecessary additional data is provided. Examples of this are Simpson's reversal and the disjunction effect where the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-09-14 Subhash Kak

Conjugate pairs of distributions over infinite dimensional spaces are prominent in statistical learning theory, particularly due to the widespread adoption of Bayesian nonparametric methodologies for a host of models and applications. Much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-12 Robert Finn , Brian Kulis

Penalized logistic regression is extremely useful for binary classification with large number of covariates (higher than the sample size), having several real life applications, including genomic disease classification. However, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh , María Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

Numerous signals in relevant signal processing applications can be modeled as a sum of complex exponentials. Each exponential term entails a particular property of the modeled physical system, and it is possible to define families of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-10 Magdalena Bouza , Andres Altieri , Cecilia G. Galarza

We construct a general procedure for the Quasi Likelihood Analysis applied to a multivariate point process on the real half line in an ergodic framework. More precisely, we assume that the stochastic intensity of the underlying model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Simon Clinet , Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Emil Aas Stoltenberg , Nils Lid Hjort

The lilypond model on a point process in $d$-space is a growth-maximal system of non-overlapping balls centred at the points. We establish central limit theorems for the total volume and the number of components of the lilypond model on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-05 Guenter Last , Mathew D. Penrose

We study a new class of so-called rational-infinitely (or quasi-infinitely) divisible probability laws on the real line. The characteristic functions of these distributions are ratios of the characteristic functions of classical infinitely…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Alexey Khartov

We study a 2-parametric family of probability measures on an infinite-dimensional simplex (the Thoma simplex). These measures originate in harmonic analysis on the infinite symmetric group (S.Kerov, G.Olshanski and A.Vershik, Comptes Rendus…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-02 Grigori Olshanski

We consider a generic class of log-concave, possibly random, (Gibbs) measures. We prove the concentration of an infinite family of order parameters called multioverlaps. Because they completely parametrise the quenched Gibbs measure of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Jean Barbier , Dmitry Panchenko , Manuel Sáenz

In this note, we consider using a link function that has heavier tails than the usual exponential link function. We construct efficient Gibbs algorithms for Poisson and Multinomial models based on this link function by introducing gamma and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Yasuyuki Hamura

We present a one-parameter family of bivariate absolutely continuous distributions based on location-scale family of variance Gaussian mixtures, with continuous densities with the same support (effective domain). The maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-04 Andrey Sarantsev

We define and study a family of generalized non-intersection exponents for planar Brownian motions that is indexed by subsets of the complex plane: For each $A\subset\CC$, we define an exponent $\xi(A)$ that describes the decay of certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vincent Beffara
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