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We consider a collection of Markov chains that model the evolution of multitype biological populations. The state space of the chains is the positive orthant, and the boundary of the orthant is absorbing representing the extinction states…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Amarjit Budhiraja , Nicolas Fraiman , Adam Waterbury

This work is concerned with the analysis of a stochastic approximation algorithm for the simulation of quasi-stationary distributions on finite state spaces. This is a generalization of a method introduced by Aldous, Flannery and Palacios.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-25 Michel Benaïm , Bertrand Cloez

Deterministic approximations to stochastic Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible models typically predict a stable endemic steady-state when above threshold. This can be hard to relate to the underlying stochastic dynamics, which has no…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-12 Christopher E. Overton , Robert R. Wilkinson , Adedapo Loyinmi , Joel C. Miller , Kieran J. Sharkey

We study the long-time behavior of stochastic models with an absorbing state, conditioned on survival. For a large class of processes, in which saturation prevents unlimited growth, statistical properties of the surviving sample attain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman , Ronaldo Vidigal

We analyze quasi-stationary distributions $\{\mu^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ of a family of Markov chains $\{X^{\varepsilon}\}_{\varepsilon>0}$ that are random perturbations of a bounded, continuous map $F:M\to M$, where $M$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-16 Mathieu Faure , Sebastian J. Schreiber

This survey concerns the study of quasi-stationary distributions with a specific focus on models derived from ecology and population dynamics. We are concerned with the long time behavior of different stochastic population size processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Sylvie Méléard , Denis Villemonais

This paper studies a method, which has been proposed in the Physics literature by [8, 7, 10], for estimating the quasi-stationary distribution. In contrast to existing methods in eigenvector estimation, the method eliminates the need for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-03 Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Shuheng Zheng

Errors of approximations of the quasi-stationary distribution (the QSD) of the logistic SIS model are evaluated numerically. The results are used to derive asymptotic approximations of the approximation errors for large populations. We show…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-27 Ingemar Nåsell

In this paper, we study quasi-stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. This type of distributions is of interest for the analysis of stochastic systems which have finite lifetimes, but are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

In the setting of stochastic dynamical systems that eventually go extinct, the quasi-stationary distributions are useful to understand the long-term behavior of a system before evanescence. For a broad class of applicable continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

We study a random process with reinforcement, which evolves following the dynamics of a given diffusion process in a bounded domain and is resampled according to its occupation measure when it reaches the boundary. We show that its…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Michel Benaïm , Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

Quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs)arise from stochastic processes that exhibit transient equilibrium behaviour on the way to absorption QSDs are often mathematically intractable and even drawing samples from them is not straightforward.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-18 Adam Griffin , Paul A. Jenkins , Gareth O. Roberts , Simon E. F. Spencer

We propose two numerical schemes for approximating quasi-stationary distributions (QSD) of finite state Markov chains with absorbing states. Both schemes are described in terms of certain interacting chains in which the interaction is given…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-21 Amarjit Budhiraja , Nicolas Fraiman , Adam Waterbury

We study a class of multi-species birth-and-death processes going almost surely to extinction and admitting a unique quasi-stationary distribution (qsd for short). When rescaled by $K$ and in the limit $K\to+\infty$, the realizations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Martínez , S. Méléard

The present paper is devoted to the investigation of the long term behavior of a class of singular multi-dimensional diffusion processes that get absorbed in finite time with probability one. Our focus is on the analysis of quasi-stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Alexandru Hening , Weiwei Qi , Zhongwei Shen , Yingfei Yi

Stochastic approximation (SA) and stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithms are work-horses for modern machine learning algorithms. Their constant stepsize variants are preferred in practice due to fast convergence behavior. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-12 Zaiwei Chen , Shancong Mou , Siva Theja Maguluri

This paper studies the sensitivity analysis of mass-action systems against their diffusion approximations, particularly the dependence on population sizes. As a continuous time Markov chain, a mass-action system can be described by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Yao Li , Yaping Yuan

In the continuity of a recent paper ([6]), dealing with finite Markov chains, this paper proposes and analyzes a recursive algorithm for the approximation of the quasi-stationary distribution of a general Markov chain living on a compact…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Michel Benaim , Bertrand Cloez , Fabien Panloup

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of multidimensional birth and death processes, modeling the interaction between several species, absorbed when one of the coordinates hits 0. We study models where the absorption rate is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-14 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

This paper examines the quasi-stationary behavior of stochastic rumor processes. Using the results by van Doorn and Pollett (2008), we first prove that the continuous-time Maki--Thompson model has a unique quasi-stationary distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Iddo Ben-Ari , Elcio Lebensztayn , Lucas Sousa Santos
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