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The paper is dedicated to studying the problem of existence and uniqueness of solutions as well as existence of and exponential convergence to invariant measures for McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations with Markovian switching.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-02 Zhenxin Liu , Jun Ma

We estimate the distance in total variation between the law of a finite state Markov process at time t, starting from a given initial measure, and its unique invariant measure. We derive upper bounds for the time to reach the equilibrium.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Pierre MATHIEU , Pierre PICCO

The use of higher-order stochastic processes such as nonlinear Markov chains or vertex-reinforced random walks is significantly growing in recent years as they are much better at modeling high dimensional data and nonlinear dynamics in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-29 Dario Fasino , Francesco Tudisco

This article establishes several necessary and sufficient criteria on asymptotic stability and mean ergodicity in various types of topologies for Feller processes taking values in Polish spaces. In particular, asymptotic stability and mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Ziyu Liu , Jiehao Wan

We present a novel idea for a coupling of solutions of stochastic differential equations driven by L\'{e}vy noise, inspired by some results from the optimal transportation theory. Then we use this coupling to obtain exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Mateusz B. Majka

The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 D. O. Kalikaeva

Neuron models have attracted a lot of attention recently, both in mathematics and neuroscience. We are interested in studying long-time and large-population emerging properties in a simplified toy model. From a mathematical perspective,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Maxime Herda , Pierre Monmarché , Benoît Perthame

We present a simple approach to study the one-dimensional pressureless Euler system via adhesion dynamics in the Wasserstein space of probability measures with finite quadratic moments. Starting from a discrete system of a finite number of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Luca Natile , Giuseppe Savaré

Explicit calculations in dimension one show for Schur stable autoregressive processes with standard Gaussian noise that the ergodic convergence in the Wasserstein-$2$ distance is essentially given by the sum of the mean, which decays…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Gerardo Barrera , Paulo Henrique da Costa , Michael A. Högele

We establish subgeometric bounds on convergence rate of general Markov processes in the Wasserstein metric. In the discrete time setting we prove that the Lyapunov drift condition and the existence of a "good" $d$-small set imply…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-20 Oleg Butkovsky

We obtain non-uniform Edgeworth expansions for several classes of weakly dependent (non-stationary) sequences of random variables, including uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov chains, random and time-varying (partially) hyperbolic or…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Yeor Hafouta

Diffusive approximations of Markov jump processes often fail to accurately capture large fluctuations. This is confounding, as the rare events triggered by these large fluctuations, such as the failure of electronic memories, are often the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-12-17 David Roberts , Trevor McCourt , Geremia Massarelli , Jeremy Rothschild , Nahuel Freitas

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process with constraints on its conditional density. It is a multivariate point process with conditional intensity similar to that of a multivariate Hawkes process but certain events are forbidden with…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-14 Ban Zheng , François Roueff , Frédéric Abergel

A probabilistic approach of computing geometric rate of convergence of stochastic processes is introduced in this paper. The goal is to quantitatively compute both upper and lower bounds of the exponential rate of convergence to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Yao Li , Shirou Wang

Markov chains and diffusion processes are indispensable tools in machine learning and statistics that are used for inference, sampling, and modeling. With the growth of large-scale datasets, the computational cost associated with simulating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Jonathan H. Huggins , James Zou

In this paper we find nonasymptotic exponential upper bounds for the deviation in the ergodic theorem for families of homogeneous Markov processes. We find some sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity uniformly over a parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-10 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

In this paper, we are interested in conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions, which are also termed as McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations with jump idiosyncratic noise and jump common noise. As far as conditional McKean-Vlasov…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Jianhai Bao , Yao Liu , Jian Wang

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

We consider general Markov processes with absorption and provide criteria ensuring the exponential convergence in total variation of the distribution of the process conditioned not to be absorbed. The first one is based on two-sided…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-18 Nicolas Champagnat , Koléhè Coulibaly-Pasquier , Denis Villemonais