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This paper extends the existing fractional Hawkes process to better model mainshock-aftershock sequences of earthquakes. The fractional Hawkes process is a self-exciting point process model with temporal decay kernel being a Mittag-Leffler…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

In this paper a differential equation with noninteger order was used to model an anomalous luminescence decay process. Although this process is in principle an exponential decaying process, recent data indicates that is not the case for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-05 Nelson H. T. Lemes , José Paulo C. dos Santos , João P. Braga

We prove regenerative properties for the linear Hawkes process under minimal assumptions on the transfer function, which may have unbounded support. These results are applicable to sliding window statistical estimators. We exploit…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-07 Carl Graham

Interval approaches for the reachability analysis of initial value problems for sets of classical ordinary differential equations have been investigated and implemented by many researchers during the last decades. However, there exist…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-15 Andreas Rauh , Julia Kersten

We present and establish large deviations principles for general multivariate renewal-reward processes associated with a classical discrete-time renewal process. A renewal-reward process describes a cumulative reward over time, supposing…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-04-11 Marco Zamparo

We study linear statistics of a class of determinantal processes which interpolate between Poisson and GUE/Ginibre statistics in dimension 1 or 2. These processes are obtained by performing an independent Bernoulli percolation on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Gaultier Lambert

General fractional calculus offers an elegant and self-consistent path toward the generalization of fractional calculus to an enhanced class of kernels. Prabhakar's theory can be thought of, to some extent, as an explicit realization of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-11-25 Andrea Giusti

We propose a general modeling framework for marked Poisson processes observed over time or space. The modeling approach exploits the connection of the nonhomogeneous Poisson process intensity with a density function. Nonparametric Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-02 Matthew A. Taddy , Athanasios Kottas

A compound Poisson process whose randomized time is an independent Poisson process is called compound Poisson process with Poisson subordinator. We provide its probability distribution, which is expressed in terms of the Bell polynomials,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Shelemyahu Zacks

The theory of sparse stochastic processes offers a broad class of statistical models to study signals. In this framework, signals are represented as realizations of random processes that are solution of linear stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-17 Julien Fageot , Virginie Uhlmann , Michael Unser

For the particles undergoing the anomalous diffusion with different waiting time distributions for different internal states, we derive the Fokker-Planck and Feymann-Kac equations, respectively, describing positions of the particles and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Pengbo Xu , Weihua Deng

In this paper, certain generalized fractional derivative formulae are introduced involving the k-Mittag-Leffler function. Then their image formulae (using Beta transform, Laplace transform and Whittaker transform) are also established. The…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-08 Mehar Chand , Jatinder Kumar Bansal

The paper considers probability distribution, density, conditional distribution and density and conditional moments as well as their kernel estimators in spaces of generalized functions. This approach does not require restrictions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-07 Victoria Zinde-Walsh

We evaluate the average waiting time between observing the price of financial markets and the next price change, especially in an on-line foreign exchange trading service for individual customers via the internet. Basic technical idea of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Naoya Sazuka , Jun-ichi Inoue

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

In the paper we study the models of time-changed Poisson and Skellam-type processes, where the role of time is played by compound Poisson-Gamma subordinators and their inverse (or first passage time) processes. We obtain explicitly the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Khrystyna Buchak , Lyudmyla Sakhno

A recent development in the theory of fractional differential equations with variable coefficients has been a method for obtaining an exact solution in the form of an infinite series involving nested fractional integral operators. This…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Arran Fernandez , Joel E. Restrepo , Durvudkhan Suragan

We propose a class of non-Markov population models with continuous or discrete state space via a limiting procedure involving sequences of rescaled and randomly time-changed Galton--Watson processes. The class includes as specific cases the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Luisa Andreis , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote

This document presents a compilation of results related to the theory of stochastic processes, with a specific focus on Markov processes, regenerative processes, renewal processes, and stationary processes. The relevance of these topics…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-30 Carlos Martinez-Rodriguez

In this paper we propose a generalized Gaussian process concurrent regression model for functional data where the functional response variable has a binomial, Poisson or other non-Gaussian distribution from an exponential family while the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-03 Bo Wang , Jian Qing Shi