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In this paper we introduce a projection method for the space of probability distributions based on the differential geometric approach to statistics. This method is based on a direct L2 metric as opposed to the usual Hellinger distance and…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-06 Damiano Brigo

We present the two new notions of projection of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) onto a submanifold, as developed in Armstrong, Brigo e Rossi Ferrucci (2019, 2018): the Ito-vector and Ito-jet projections. This allows one to…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-03 Damiano Brigo

Stochastic filtering is defined as the estimation of a partially observed dynamical system. A massive scientific and computational effort is dedicated to the development of numerical methods for approximating the solution of the filtering…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Dan Crisan , Kai Li

The projection filter is a technique for approximating the solutions of optimal filtering problems. In projection filters, the Kushner--Stratonovich stochastic partial differential equation that governs the propagation of the optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-15 Muhammad Fuady Emzir , Zheng Zhao , Simo Särkkä

We define two new notions of projection of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) onto a submanifold: the Ito-vector and Ito-jet projections. This allows one to systematically develop low dimensional approximations to high dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-10 John Armstrong , Damiano Brigo

In this article, we study the continuous-discrete projection filter for exponential-family manifolds with conjugate likelihoods. We first derive the local projection error of the prediction step of the continuous-discrete projection filter.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Muhammad F. Emzir , Zaid A. Sawlan , Sami El Ferik

A series of novel filters for probabilistic inference that propose an alternative way of performing Bayesian updates, called particle flow filters, have been attracting recent interest. These filters provide approximate solutions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Flávio Eler De Melo , Simon Maskell , Matteo Fasiolo , Fred Daum

We consider the numerical solution of parameterized linear systems where the system matrix, the solution, and the right-hand side are parameterized by a set of uncertain input parameters. We explore spectral methods in which the solutions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-09 Kookjin Lee , Kevin Carlberg , Howard C. Elman

This paper presents a new approach for filter design based on stochastic distances and tests between distributions. A window is defined around each pixel, overlapping samples are compared and only those which pass a goodness-of-fit test are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-08-30 Leonardo Torres , Tamer Cavalcante , Alejandro C. Frery

This paper studies Galerkin approximations applied to the Zakai equation of stochastic filtering. The basic idea of this approach is to project the infinite-dimensional Zakai equation onto some finite-dimensional subspace generated by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-03-06 Rüdiger Frey , Thorsten Schmidt , Ling Xu

We develop algorithms for computing expectations of the laws of models associated to stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by pure L\'evy processes. We consider filtering such processes and well as pricing of path dependent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-13 Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Prince Peprah Osei

We propose a novel projection-based particle method for solving the McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. Our approach is based on a projection-type estimation of the marginal density of the solution in each time step. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-07 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers

Both in classical and quantum stochastic control theory a major role is played by the filtering equation, which recursively updates the information state of the system under observation. Unfortunately, the theory is plagued by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 Ramon van Handel , Hideo Mabuchi

Nonlinear Kalman Filters are powerful and widely-used techniques when trying to estimate the hidden state of a stochastic nonlinear dynamic system. In this paper, we extend the Smart Sampling Kalman Filter (S2KF) with a new point symmetric…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Jannik Steinbring , Martin Pander , Uwe D. Hanebeck

We study maximum likelihood estimation for spatial generalized linear mixed models with Gaussian process approximations using a stochastic Newton-Raphson algorithm. We consider two Gaussian Process approximations in this context: spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Samuel I. Watson , Yixin Wang , Emanuele Giorgi

The subject of this work is a new stochastic Galerkin method for second-order elliptic partial differential equations with random diffusion coefficients. It combines operator compression in the stochastic variables with tree-based spline…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Markus Bachmayr , Igor Voulis

We consider the problem of approximating optimal in the Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) sense nonlinear filters in a discrete time setting, exploiting properties of stochastically convergent state process approximations. More…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Athina P. Petropulu

This paper presents a structure-preserving model reduction framework for linear systems, in which the $\mathcal{H}_2$ optimization is incorporated with the Petrov-Galerkin projection to preserve structural features of interest, including…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-20 Xiaodong Cheng

We consider the problem of learning the optimal policy for infinite-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs). For this purpose, some variant of Stochastic Mirror Descent is proposed for convex programming problems with Lipschitz-continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Daniil Tiapkin , Alexander Gasnikov

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni
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