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Scatterometry is a fast, indirect and nondestructive optical method for the quality control in the production of lithography masks. Geometry parameters of line gratings are obtained from diffracted light intensities by solving an inverse…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-11-01 Nando Farchmin , Martin Hammerschmidt , Philipp-Immanuel Schneider , Matthias Wurm , Bernd Bodermann , Markus Bär , Sebastian Heidenreich

Sensitivity indices are commonly used to quantity the relative inuence of any specic group of input variables on the output of a computer code. In this paper, we focus both on computer codes the output of which is a cumulative distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Jean-Claude Fort , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux

Nowadays, the numerical models of real-world structures are more precise, more complex and, of course, more time-consuming. Despite the growth of a computational effort, the exploration of model behaviour remains a complex task. The…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-10-17 Eliska Janouchova , Anna Kucerova

In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

Mathematical models of thrombosis are currently used to study clinical scenarios of pathological thrombus formation. Most of these models involve inherent uncertainties that must be assessed to increase the confidence in model predictions…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-02 Rodrigo Méndez Rojano , Mansur Zhussupbekov , James F. Antaki , Didier Lucor

This work introduces a novel multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) metamodeling approach for variance function estimation. Although devising an efficient experimental design for simulation metamodeling can be elusive, the MLMC-based approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Jingtao Zhang , Xi Chen

In this paper, we solve the multiple product price optimization problem under interval uncertainties of the price sensitivity parameters in the demand function. The objective of the price optimization problem is to maximize the overall…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Mahdi Hamzeei , Alvin Lim , Jiefeng Xu

We introduce a new global sensitivity measure, the global activity scores. The measure is based on finite differences of the underlying function, in contrast to several sensitivity measures in the literature that are based on derivatives of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Ruilong Yue , Giray Ökten

Sensitivity analysis is routinely performed on simplified surrogate models as the cost of such analysis on the original model may be prohibitive. Little is known in general about the induced bias on the sensitivity results. Within the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Michael Merritt , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

While sensitivity analysis improves the transparency and reliability of mathematical models, its uptake by modelers is still scarce. This is partially explained by its technical requirements, which may be hard to understand and implement by…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-20 Arnald Puy , Pamphile T. Roy , Andrea Saltelli

One limitation on the performance of optical traps is the noise inherently present in every setup. Therefore, it is the desire of most experimentalists to minimize and possibly eliminate noise from their optical trapping experiments. A step…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-01 Fabian Czerwinski , Andrew C. Richardson , Christine Selhuber-Unkel , Lene B. Oddershede

Surrogate modeling for systems with high-dimensional quantities of interest remains challenging, particularly when training data are costly to acquire. This work develops multifidelity methods for multiple-input multiple-output linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Vignesh Sella , Julie Pham , Karen Willcox , Anirban Chaudhuri

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is a recommended step in the use of computer simulation models. GSA quantifies the relative importance of model inputs on outputs (Factor Ranking), identifies inputs that could be fixed, thus simplifying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Ken Newman , Shaini Naha , Leah Jackson-Blake , Cairistiona Topp , Miriam Glendell , Adam Butler

This paper proposes a multiple-model adaptive control methodology, using set-valued observers (MMAC-SVO) for the identification subsystem, that is able to provide robust stability and performance guarantees for the closed-loop, when the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Paulo Rosa , Carlos Silvestre , Jeff S. Shamma , Michael Athans

Despite the frequent use of agent-based models (ABMs) for studying social phenomena, parameter estimation remains a challenge, often relying on costly simulation-based heuristics. This work uses variational inference to estimate the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Jacopo Lenti , Fabrizio Silvestri , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

We present a method for computing reduced-order models of parameterized partial differential equation solutions. The key analytical tool is the singular value expansion of the parameterized solution, which we approximate with a singular…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Paul G. Constantine , David F. Gleich , Yangyang Hou , Jeremy Templeton

Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) is a variance reduction method that leverages a multi-fidelity ensemble of models of varying cost and accuracy levels. Constructing an MFMC estimator with optimal variance requires knowledge of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Michael Stanley , Thomas Coons , Geoffrey Bomarito , Patrick Leser , Joshua Pribe , James Warner

In uncertainty quantification, a stochastic modelling is often applied, where parameters are substituted by random variables. We investigate linear dynamical systems of ordinary differential equations with a quantity of interest as output.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-23 Roland Pulch , Akil Narayan

Quantifying uncertainty in predictive simulations for real-world problems is of paramount importance - and far from trivial, mainly due to the large number of stochastic parameters and significant computational requirements. Adaptive sparse…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-25 Ionut-Gabriel Farcas , Tobias Görler , Hans-Joachim Bungartz , Frank Jenko , Tobias Neckel

In this paper we address the problem of efficient estimation of Sobol sensitivy indices. First, we focus on general functional integrals of conditional moments of the form $\E(\psi(\E(\varphi(Y)|X)))$ where $(X,Y)$ is a random vector with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-15 Sébastien Da Veiga , Fabrice Gamboa
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