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Intratumour phenotypic heterogeneity is nowadays understood to play a critical role in disease progression and treatment failure. Accordingly, there has been increasing interest in the development of mathematical models capable of capturing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-10 Chiara Villa , Philip K Maini , Alexander P Browning , Adrianne L Jenner , Sara Hamis , Tyler Cassidy

We analyze the Gaussian approximation as a method to obtain the first and second moments of a stochastic process described by a master equation. We justify the use of this approximation with ideas coming from van Kampen's expansion approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

We propose a relaxation time approximation for the description of the dynamics of strongly excited fermion systems. Our approach is based on time-dependent density functional theory at the level of the local density approximation. This…

Atomic and Molecular Clusters · Physics 2016-01-26 P. -G. Reinhard , E. Suraud

Stochastic models of chemical systems are often analysed by solving the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation which is a drift-diffusion partial differential equation for the probability distribution function. Efficient numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Simon L. Cotter , Tomas Vejchodsky , Radek Erban

We introduce and develop moment propagation for approximate Bayesian inference. This method can be viewed as a variance correction for mean field variational Bayes which tends to underestimate posterior variances. Focusing on the case where…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-22 John Ormerod , Weichang Yu

Inferring parameters of models of biochemical kinetics from single-cell data remains challenging because of the uncertainty arising from the intractability of the likelihood function of stochastic reaction networks. Such uncertainty falls…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Zekai Li , Mauricio Barahona , Philipp Thomas

We present an inference scheme of long timescale, non-exponential kinetics from Molecular Dynamics simulations accelerated by stochastic resetting. Standard simulations provide valuable insight into chemical processes but are limited to…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-10-15 Ofir Blumer , Shlomi Reuveni , Barak Hirshberg

We study a system of diffusing point particles in which any triplet of particles reacts and is removed from the system when the relative proximity of the constituent particles satisfies a predefined condition. Proximity-based reaction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Taylor Kearney , Ricardo Ruiz-Baier , Mark B. Flegg

This is a short review of two common approximations in stochastic chemical and biochemical kinetics. It will appear as Chapter 6 in the book "Quantitative Biology: Theory, Computational Methods and Examples of Models" edited by Brian…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-27 Abhyudai Singh , Ramon Grima

We consider a damped oscillator mode that is resonantly driven and is coupled to an arbitrary target system via the position quadrature operator. For such a composite open quantum system, we develop a numerical method to compute the reduced…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-07-02 Masaaki Tokieda

After a quick review of superpositions of OU (supOU) processes, integrated sup\-OU processes and the supOU stochastic volatility model we estimate these processes by using the generalized method of moments (GMM). We show that the GMM…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-26 Robert Stelzer , Thomas Tosstorff , Marc Wittlinger

Moment restrictions and their conditional counterparts emerge in many areas of machine learning and statistics ranging from causal inference to reinforcement learning. Estimators for these tasks, generally called methods of moments, include…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Heiner Kremer , Yassine Nemmour , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jia-Jie Zhu

Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Mogens Bladt , Michael Sørensen

To close the moment model deduced from kinetic equations, the canonical approach is to provide an approximation to the flux function not able to be depicted by the moments in the reduced model. In this paper, we propose a brand new closure…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-02-16 Ruo Li , Weiming Li , Lingchao Zheng

The challenging problem of conducting fully Bayesian inference for the reaction rate constants governing stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) is considered. Given the challenges underlying this problem, the Markov jump process representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Andrew Golightly , Emma Bradley , Tom Lowe , Colin S. Gillespie

We introduce a simple method for nearly simultaneous computation of all moments needed for quasi maximum likelihood estimation of parameters in discretely observed stochastic differential equations commonly seen in finance. The method…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-28 Lars Josef Höök , Erik Lindström

A highly efficient formulation of moment equations for stochastic reaction networks is introduced. It is based on a set of binomial moments that capture the combinatorics of the reaction processes. The resulting set of equations can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Baruch Barzel , Ofer Biham

The standard two-step model of homogeneous-catalyzed reactions had been theoretically analyzed at various levels of approximations from time to time. The primary aim was to check the validity of the quasi-steady-state approximation, and…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-11-14 Kamal Bhattacharyya , Sharmistha Dhatt

We derive an asymptotic expansion for the log likelihood of Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) with equal covariance matrices in the low signal-to-noise regime. The expansion reveals an intimate connection between two types of algorithms for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Anya Katsevich , Afonso Bandeira

Recently-proposed particle MCMC methods provide a flexible way of performing Bayesian inference for parameters governing stochastic kinetic models defined as Markov (jump) processes (MJPs). Each iteration of the scheme requires an estimate…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-19 Andrew Golightly , Daniel A. Henderson , Chris Sherlock
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