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This work proposes a view of probability as a relative measure rather than an absolute one. To demonstrate this concept, we focus on finite outcome spaces and develop three fundamental axioms that establish requirements for relative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Max Sklar

This paper introduces a comprehensive framework for complex-valued probability measures and explores their novel applications in information theory and statistical analysis. We define a complex probability measure as a phase-modulated…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Siang Cheng , Hejun Xu , Tianxiao Pang

Misclassification detection is an important problem in machine learning, as it allows for the identification of instances where the model's predictions are unreliable. However, conventional uncertainty measures such as Shannon entropy do…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Eduardo Dadalto , Marco Romanelli , Georg Pichler , Pablo Piantanida

A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel

We study an information-theoretic measure of uncertainty for quantum systems. It is the Shannon information $I$ of the phase space probability distribution $\la z | \rho | z \ra $, where $|z \ra $ are coherent states, and $\rho$ is the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-10-22 Arlen Anderson , Jonathan J. Halliwell

We explore the relation between entanglement entropy of quantum many body systems and the distribution of corresponding, properly selected, observables. Such a relation is necessary to actually measure the entanglement entropy. We show that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Israel Klich , Gil Refael , Alessandro Silva

Uncertainty may be taken to characterize inferences, their conclusions, their premises or all three. Under some treatments of uncertainty, the inferences itself is never characterized by uncertainty. We explore both the significance of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Henry E. Kyburg

We present quantitative relations between work and information that are valid both for finite sized and internally correlated systems as well in the thermodynamical limit. We suggest work extraction should be viewed as a game where the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Oscar C. O. Dahlsten , Renato Renner , Elisabeth Rieper , Vlatko Vedral

Incompatibility of certain measurements -- impossibility of obtaining deterministic outcomes simultaneously -- is a well known property of quantum mechanics. This feature can be utilized in many contexts, ranging from Bell inequalities to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-03-14 Martin Plesch , Matej Pivoluska

We give some results relating asymptotic characterisations of maximum entropy probability measures to characterisations of Bayes optimal classifiers. Our main theorems show that maximum entropy is a universally Bayes optimal decision rule…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Dalton A R Sakthivadivel

We derive axiomatically the probability function that should be used to make decisions given any form of underlying uncertainty.

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Philippe Smets

Two families of dependence measures between random variables are introduced. They are based on the R\'enyi divergence of order $\alpha$ and the relative $\alpha$-entropy, respectively, and both dependence measures reduce to Shannon's mutual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-22 Amos Lapidoth , Christoph Pfister

This paper presents a novel numerical method for the hybrid reliability analysis by using the uncertainty theory. Aleatory uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty are considered simultaneously in this method. Epistemic uncertainty is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-09-18 Lei Zhang

Estimations of physical parameters using data usually involve non-uniform experimental efficiencies. In this article, a method of maximum likelihood fit is introduced using the efficiency as a weight, while the probability distribution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-08-31 Chenxu Yu , Yanxi Zhang

Transfer entropy is capable of capturing nonlinear source-destination relations between multi-variate time series. It is a measure of association between source data that are transformed into destination data via a set of linear…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-28 David Sigtermans

The problem of relating the mathematics of probability theory to the empirical world of experiments has been debated for centuries. One of the oldest solutions proposed for this problem is a principle that states that an event with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Bruno Galvan

Entropy is a measure of self-information which is used to quantify losses. Entropy was developed in thermodynamics, but is also used to compare probabilities based on their deviating information content. Corresponding model uncertainty is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Alois Pichler , Ruben Schlotter

A central paradigm behind process semantics based on observability and testing is that the exact moment of occurring of an internal nondeterministic choice is unobservable. It is natural, therefore, for this property to hold when the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2009-07-10 Sonja Georgievska , Suzana Andova

Estimating how uncertain an AI system is in its predictions is important to improve the safety of such systems. Uncertainty in predictive can result from uncertainty in model parameters, irreducible data uncertainty and uncertainty due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-03 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

Unitary quantum theory, having no Born Rule, is non-probabilistic. Hence the notorious problem of reconciling it with the unpredictability and appearance of stochasticity in quantum measurements. Generalising and improving upon the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-09-28 Chiara Marletto
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