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We show an alternative way of representing a Bayesian belief network by sensitivities and probability distributions. This representation is equivalent to the traditional representation by conditional probabilities, but makes dependencies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Alexander V. Kozlov , Jaswinder Pal Singh

This paper is part of a study whose goal is to show the effciency of using Bayes networks to carry out model based vision calculations. [Binford et al. 1987] Recognition proceeds by drawing up a network model from the object's geometric and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 John Mark Agosta

This article provides a unifying Bayesian network view on various approaches for acoustic model adaptation, missing feature, and uncertainty decoding that are well-known in the literature of robust automatic speech recognition. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-23 Roland Maas , Christian Huemmer , Armin Sehr , Walter Kellermann

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently gained popularity due to their ability to quantify model uncertainty. However, specifying a prior for BNNs that captures relevant domain knowledge is often extremely challenging. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Dylan Sam , Rattana Pukdee , Daniel P. Jeong , Yewon Byun , J. Zico Kolter

I introduce a temporal belief-network representation of causal independence that a knowledge engineer can use to elicit probabilistic models. Like the current, atemporal belief-network representation of causal independence, the new…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-05-19 David Heckerman

Bayesian networks are well-suited for clinical reasoning on tabular data, but are less compatible with natural language data, for which neural networks provide a successful framework. This paper compares and discusses strategies to augment…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Paloma Rabaey , Johannes Deleu , Stefan Heytens , Thomas Demeester

We consider the incorporation of causal knowledge about the presence or absence of (possibly indirect) causal relations into a causal model. Such causal relations correspond to directed paths in a causal model. This type of knowledge…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Giorgos Borboudakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos

Many real-world complex systems are well represented as multilayer networks; predicting interactions in those systems is one of the most pressing problems in predictive network science. To address this challenge, we introduce two stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-03 Marc Tarres-Deulofeu , Antonia Godoy-Lorite , Roger Guimera , Marta Sales-Pardo

Bayesian neural networks utilize probabilistic layers that capture uncertainty over weights and activations, and are trained using Bayesian inference. Since these probabilistic layers are designed to be drop-in replacement of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Daniel T. Chang

Bayesian networks provide a probabilistic semantics for qualitative assertions about likelihood. A qualitative reasoner based on an algebra over these assertions can derive further conclusions about the influence of actions. While the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Michael P. Wellman

Reconstructing transmission networks is essential for identifying key factors like superspreaders and high-risk locations, which are critical for developing effective pandemic prevention strategies. In this study, we developed a Bayesian…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-10 Jianing Xu , Huimin Hu , Gregory Ellison , Lili Yu , Christopher Whalen , Liang Liu

We present a mechanism for constructing graphical models, specifically Bayesian networks, from a knowledge base of general probabilistic information. The unique feature of our approach is that it uses a powerful first-order probabilistic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Fahiem Bacchus

We are concerned with modeling the strength of links in networks by taking into account how often those links are used. Link usage is a strong indicator of how closely two nodes are related, but existing network models in Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-09 Ingmar Schuster

The human ability to flexibly reason using analogies with domain-general content depends on mechanisms for identifying relations between concepts, and for mapping concepts and their relations across analogs. Building on a recent model of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-06 Hongjing Lu , Nicholas Ichien , Keith J. Holyoak

Continuous time Bayesian networks are investigated with a special focus on their ability to express causality. A framework is presented for doing inference in these networks. The central contributions are a representation of the intensity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-26 Jonas Hallgren , Timo Koski

Normative expert systems have not become commonplace because they have been difficult to build and use. Over the past decade, however, researchers have developed the influence diagram, a graphical representation of a decision maker's…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-15 David Heckerman

An increasing number of applications require real-time reasoning under uncertainty with streaming input. The temporal (dynamic) Bayes net formalism provides a powerful representational framework for such applications. However, existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Masami Takikawa , Bruce D'Ambrosio , Ed Wright

Current theories of perception suggest that the brain represents features of the world as probability distributions, but can such uncertain foundations provide the basis for everyday vision? Perceiving objects and scenes requires knowing…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-30 Andrey Chetverikov , Árni Kristjánsson

Bayesian networks provide a modeling language and associated inference algorithm for stochastic domains. They have been successfully applied in a variety of medium-scale applications. However, when faced with a large complex domain, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Daphne Koller , Avi Pfeffer

Bayesian Networks (BN) provide robust probabilistic methods of reasoning under uncertainty, but despite their formal grounds are strictly based on the notion of conditional dependence, not much attention has been paid so far to their use in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Luigi Portinale , Andrea Bobbio