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We develop a Bayesian statistical model and estimation methodology based on Forward Projection Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo in order to perform the calibration of a high-dimensional non-linear system of Ordinary Differential Equations…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-17 Igor A. Korostil , Gareth W. Peters , Julien Cornebise , David G. Regan

Hepatitis C virus helicase is a molecular motor that splits nucleic acid duplex structures during viral replication, therefore representing a promising target for antiviral treatment. Hence, a detailed understanding of the mechanism by…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-27 Holger Flechsig

Multiscale mathematical models of hepatitis C infection have been instrumental in our understanding of direct acting antivirals. These models include the mechanisms driving intracellular viral production and explicitly model the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-03 Tyler Cassidy , Giulia Belluccini , Sarafa A. Iyaniwura , Ruy M. Ribeiro , Alan S. Perelson

Hepatitis type B is one of the most common infectious disease worldwide that can pose severe threats to human health up to the point that may contribute to severe liver damage or cancer. Over the past two decades a large number of dynamic…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 SeyedMehdi Abtahi , Mojtaba Sharifi

We develop Graph-Coupled Hidden Markov Models (GCHMMs) for modeling the spread of infectious disease locally within a social network. Unlike most previous research in epidemiology, which typically models the spread of infection at the level…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Wen Dong , Alex Pentland , Katherine A. Heller

In this work we develop a stochastic model of acute HIV infection, based on the well-known standard model, that allows us to simulate the complex mutation pathways of HIV escape from multiple CTL responses. Under this model, we describe two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-16 Sivan Leviyang

Human papillomavirus (HPV) infection is the most common sexually transmitted infection in the world. Persistent oncogenic Human papillomavirus infection has been a leading threat to global health and can lead to serious complications such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-13 Weiyi Wang , Shailendra Sawleshwarkar , Mahendra Piraveenan

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) evolves with extraordinary rapidity. However, its evolution is constrained by interactions between mutations in its fitness landscape. Here we show that an Ising model describing these interactions,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-24 Thomas C. Butler , John P. Barton , Mehran Kardar , Arup K. Chakraborty

Malware evolves over time and antivirus must adapt to such evolution. Hence, it is critical to detect those points in time where malware has evolved so that appropriate countermeasures can be undertaken. In this research, we perform a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Lolitha Sresta Tupadha , Mark Stamp

In this paper, a mathematical analysis of the global dynamics of a viral infection model in vivo is carried out. We study the dynamics of a hepatitis C virus (HCV) model, under therapy, that considers both extracellular and intracellular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-13 Alexis Nangue , Alan D. Rendall , Brice Kammegne Tcheugam , Patrick Steve Kamdem Simo

The detection of change-points in heterogeneous sequences is a statistical challenge with many applications in fields such as finance, signal analysis and biology. A wide variety of literature exists for finding an ideal set of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-11 The Minh Luong , Vittorio Perduca , Gregory Nuel

We consider a mathematical model comprising of four coupled ordinary differential equations (ODEs) for studying the hepatitis C (HCV) viral dynamics. The model embodies the efficacies of a combination therapy of interferon and ribavirin. A…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-28 Gaurav Pachpute , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

The rates of escape and reversion in response to selection pressure arising from the host immune system, notably the cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) response, are key factors determining the evolution of HIV. Existing methods for estimating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-02-12 Duncan Palmer , John Frater , Rodney Philips , Angela McLean , Gil McVean

The main focus of this work is on developing models for the activity profile of a terrorist group, detecting sudden spurts and downfalls in this profile, and, in general, tracking it over a period of time. Toward this goal, a $d$-state…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-16 Vasanthan Raghavan , Aram Galstyan , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Motivated by observations in sequence data of herpesviruses, we introduce a multi-locus model for the joint evolution of different genotypes in a virus population that is distributed across a population of hosts. In the model, virus…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-24 Raphael Eichhorn , Cornelia Pokalyuk

Hepatitis B is a potentially life-threatening liver infection caused by the hepatitis B virus (HBV). In this paper, the transmission dynamics of hepatitis B is formulated with a mathematical model with considerations of different classes of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-01 Blessing O. Emerenini , Simeon C. Inyama

Chromosomal DNA is characterized by variation between individuals at the level of entire chromosomes (e.g., aneuploidy in which the chromosome copy number is altered), segmental changes (including insertions, deletions, inversions, and…

Applications · Statistics 2008-07-30 Robert B. Scharpf , Giovanni Parmigiani , Jonathan Pevsner , Ingo Ruczinski

We define a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) in which each hidden state has time-dependent $\textit{activity levels}$ that drive transitions and emissions, and show how to estimate its parameters. Our construction is motivated by the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-28 David A. Meyer , Asif Shakeel

VDJ rearrangement and somatic hypermutation work together to produce antibody-coding B cell receptor (BCR) sequences for a remarkable diversity of antigens. It is now possible to sequence these BCRs in high throughput; analysis of these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Duncan K. Ralph , Frederick A. Matsen

Respiratory infections and chronic respiratory diseases impose a heavy health burden worldwide. Coughing is one of the most common symptoms of many such infections, and can be indicative of flare-ups of chronic respiratory diseases. Whether…

Sound · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Aydin Teyhouee , Nathaniel D. Osgood