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Westling and Carone (2020) proposed a framework for studying the large sample distributional properties of generalized Grenander-type estimators, a versatile class of nonparametric estimators of monotone functions. The limiting distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

Deep learning models achieve high predictive accuracy across a broad spectrum of tasks, but rigorously quantifying their predictive uncertainty remains challenging. Usable estimates of predictive uncertainty should (1) cover the true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Asymptotically linear estimators in semiparametric models are usually studied through a von Mises expansion in which first-order inference is based on the influence-function variance. This reduction is valid only when the second-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lin Li

The notion of expectiles, originally introduced in the context of testing for homoscedasticity and conditional symmetry of the error distribution in linear regression, induces a law-invariant, coherent and elicitable risk measure that has…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-20 Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

Reliability sensitivity analysis is concerned with measuring the influence of a system's uncertain input parameters on its probability of failure. Statistically dependent inputs present a challenge in both computing and interpreting these…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-21 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

The Infinitesimal Jackknife is a general method for estimating variances of parametric models, and more recently also for some ensemble methods. In this paper we extend the Infinitesimal Jackknife to estimate the covariance between any two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-02 Indrayudh Ghosal , Yunzhe Zhou , Giles Hooker

Parametric max-stable processes are increasingly used to model spatial extremes. Starting from the fact that the dependence structure of a max-stable process is completely characterized by an extreme-value copula, a class of goodness-of-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Hongwei Shang , Jun Yan

Extreme-value copulas arise in the asymptotic theory for componentwise maxima of independent random samples. An extreme-value copula is determined by its Pickands dependence function, which is a function on the unit simplex subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-30 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

Log symmetric distributions are useful in modeling data which show high skewness and have found applications in various fields. Using a recent characterization for log symmetric distributions, we propose a goodness of fit test for testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Anjana S , Sudheesh Kattumannil

Semiparametric estimators admitting a von Mises expansion often reduce inference to the influence-function variance. This reduction is justified when the second-order remainder is negligible in variance, a condition that is stronger than…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lin Li , Pengcheng Wu

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

In regression analysis under artificial neural networks, the prediction performance depends on determining the appropriate weights between layers. As randomly initialized weights are updated during back-propagation using the gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Eunho Koo , Hyungjun Kim

Statistical resampling methods have become feasible for parametric estimation, hypothesis testing, and model validation now that the computer is a ubiquitous tool for statisticians. This essay focuses on the resampling technique for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-03 Avery McIntosh

Dependency functions of dependent variables are relevant for i) performing uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis in presence of dependent variables and/or correlated variables, and ii) simulating random dependent variables. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Matieyendou Lamboni

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We propose a novel computationally low-cost method for estimating a general predictive measure of generalised Bayesian inference. The proposed method utilises posterior covariance and provides estimators of the Gibbs and the plugin…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Yukito Iba , Keisuke Yano

The problem of estimating the coefficient of bivariate tail dependence is considered here from the robustness point of view; it combines two apparently contradictory theories of robust statistics and extreme value statistics. The usual…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-08 Abhik Ghosh

Jackknife empirical likelihood (JEL) is an effective modified version of empirical likelihood method (EL). Through the construction of the jackknife pseudo-values, JEL overcomes the computational difficulty of EL method when its constraints…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-15 Ying-Ju Chen , Wei Ning

Conformal inference, cross-validation+, and the jackknife+ are hold-out methods that can be combined with virtually any machine learning algorithm to construct prediction sets with guaranteed marginal coverage. In this paper, we develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-24 Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Emmanuel J. Candès

Due to globalization and relaxed market regulation, we have assisted to an increasing of extremal dependence in international markets. As a consequence, several measures of tail dependence have been stated in literature in recent years,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-10 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira