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We consider a jump-type Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR) process driven by a standard Wiener process and a subordinator, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate. We distinguish three cases:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

We revisit the problem of mean estimation in the Gaussian sequence model with $\ell_p$ constraints for $p \in [0, \infty]$. We demonstrate two phenomena for the behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), which depend on the noise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Reese Pathak , Annie Ulichney

Histogram-based empirical Bayes methods developed for analyzing data for large numbers of genes, SNPs, or other biological features tend to have large biases when applied to data with a smaller number of features such as genes with…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-10 Marta Padilla , David R. Bickel

This paper develops a unified estimation framework, the Maximum Ideal Likelihood Estimation (MILE), for general parametric models with latent variables. Unlike traditional approaches relying on the marginal likelihood of the observed data,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Yizhou Cai , Ting Fung Ma

The accurate asymptotic evaluation of marginal likelihood integrals is a fundamental problem in Bayesian statistics. Following the approach introduced by Watanabe, we translate this into a problem of computational algebraic geometry,…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-14 Shaowei Lin

We consider discrete default intensity based and logit type reduced form models for conditional default probabilities for corporate loans where we develop simple closed form approximations to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) when the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-01 Anand Deo , Sandeep Juneja

The transition density of a diffusion process does not admit an explicit expression in general, which prevents the full maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) based on discretely observed sample paths. A\"{\i}t-Sahalia [J. Finance 54 (1999)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-12 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen

The proportional hazards model has been extensively used in many fields such as biomedicine to estimate and perform statistical significance testing on the effects of covariates influencing the survival time of patients. The classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Hanxuan Ye , Xianyang Zhang , Huijuan Zhou

The Highly-Adaptive-Lasso(HAL)-TMLE is an efficient estimator of a pathwise differentiable parameter in a statistical model that at minimal (and possibly only) assumes that the sectional variation norm of the true nuisance parameters are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-01 Mark van der Laan

We focus on semiparametric regression that has played a central role in statistics, and exploit the powerful learning ability of deep neural networks (DNNs) while enabling statistical inference on parameters of interest that offers…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Shunxing Yan , Ziyuan Chen , Fang Yao

In recent years, addressing the challenges posed by massive datasets has led researchers to explore aggregated data, particularly leveraging interval-valued data, akin to traditional symbolic data analysis. While much recent research, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-13 Ali Sadeghkhani , Abdolnasser Sadeghkhani

The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution, also known as the fatigue-life distribution, is frequently used in reliability studies. We obtain adjustments to the Birnbaum--Saunders profile likelihood function. The modified versions of the likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-04-06 Audrey H. M. A. Cysneiros , Francisco Cribari-Neto , Carlos A. G. Araujo

This paper considers estimation of large dynamic factor models with common and idiosyncratic trends by means of the Expectation Maximization algorithm, implemented jointly with the Kalman smoother. We show that, as the cross-sectional…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-23 Matteo Barigozzi , Matteo Luciani

Maximum mutual information (MMI) is a model selection criterion used for hidden Markov model (HMM) parameter estimation that was developed more than twenty years ago as a discriminative alternative to the maximum likelihood criterion for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2010-02-04 Steven Wegmann

State-space models have been used in many applications, including econometrics, engineering, medical research, etc. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the static parameter of general state-space models is not straightforward because…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yuxiong Gao , Wentao Li , Rong Chen

We propose a two-step pseudo-maximum likelihood procedure for semiparametric single-index regression models where the conditional variance is a known function of the regression and an additional parameter. The Poisson single-index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Marian Hristache , Weiyu Li , Valentin Patilea

We investigate the problem of estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) under a very general setup where the covariates can be high-dimensional, highly correlated, and can have sparse nonlinear effects on the propensity and outcome…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Jianqing Fan , Soham Jana , Sanjeev Kulkarni , Qishuo Yin

One simple, and often very effective, way to attenuate the impact of nuisance parameters on maximum likelihood estimation of a parameter of interest is to recenter the profile score for that parameter. We apply this general principle to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-19 Federico Martellosio , Grant Hillier

Extreme-value copulas arise as the limiting dependence structure of component-wise maxima. Defined in terms of a functional parameter, they are one of the most widespread copula families due to their flexibility and ability to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-25 Javier Fernández Serrano

We address the challenge of performing Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) after an initial Highly Adaptive Lasso (HAL) fit. Existing approaches that utilize the data-adaptive working model selected by HAL-such as the relaxed HAL…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Yi Li , Sky Qiu , Zeyi Wang , Mark van der Laan