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A new framework for nonlinear system identification is presented in terms of optimal fitting of stable nonlinear state space equations to input/output/state data, with a performance objective defined as a measure of robustness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Jennifer Wang , Alexandre Megretski , Russ Tedrake

We propose a convex optimization procedure for black-box identification of nonlinear state-space models for systems that exhibit stable limit cycles (unforced periodic solutions). It extends the "robust identification error" framework in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Ian R. Manchester , Mark M. Tobenkin , Jennifer Wang

Model instability and poor prediction of long-term behavior are common problems when modeling dynamical systems using nonlinear "black-box" techniques. Direct optimization of the long-term predictions, often called simulation error…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Alexandre Megretski

We study the problem of estimation and testing in logistic regression with class-conditional noise in the observed labels, which has an important implication in the Positive-Unlabeled (PU) learning setting. With the key observation that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Hyebin Song , Ran Dai , Garvesh Raskutti , Rina Foygel Barber

We present an algorithm for robust model predictive control with consideration of uncertainty and safety constraints. Our framework considers a nonlinear dynamical system subject to disturbances from an unknown but bounded uncertainty set.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Dongchan Lee , Konstantin Turitsyn , Jean-Jacques Slotine

We consider the problem of deriving from experimental data an approximation of an unknown function, whose derivatives also approximate the unknown function derivatives. Solving this problem is useful, for instance, in the context of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-11 Carlo Novara , Angelo Nicolì , Giuseppe C. Calafiore

The subspace method is one of the mainstream system identification method of linear systems, and its basic idea is to estimate the system parameter matrices by projecting them into a subspace related to input and output. However, most of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-03 Xiangyu Mao , Jianping He , Chengcheng Zhao

Parameter estimation of nonlinear state-space models from input-output data typically requires solving a highly non-convex optimization problem prone to slow convergence and suboptimal solutions. This work improves the reliability and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-27 Merijn Floren , Jan Swevers

A new approach to design of nonlinear observers (state estimators) is proposed. The main idea is to (i) construct a convex set of dynamical systems which are contracting observers for a particular system, and (ii) optimize over this set for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-23 Ian R. Manchester

We propose an algorithm based on online convex optimization for controlling discrete-time linear dynamical systems. The algorithm is data-driven, i.e., does not require a model of the system, and is able to handle a priori unknown and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Marko Nonhoff , Matthias A. Müller

Inverse optimization refers to the inference of unknown parameters of an optimization problem based on knowledge of its optimal solutions. This paper considers inverse optimization in the setting where measurements of the optimal solutions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Anil Aswani , Zuo-Jun Max Shen , Auyon Siddiq

We present a statistical learning framework for robust identification of partial differential equations from noisy spatiotemporal data. Extending previous sparse regression approaches for inferring PDE models from simulated data, we address…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Suryanarayana Maddu , Bevan L. Cheeseman , Ivo F. Sbalzarini , Christian L. Müller

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

This paper discusses a general framework for designing robust state estimators for a class of discrete-time nonlinear systems. We consider systems that may be impacted by impulsive (sparse but otherwise arbitrary) measurement noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Laurent Bako , Madiha Nadri , Vincent Andrieu , Qinghua Zhang

A practical challenge for structural estimation is the requirement to accurately minimize a sample objective function which is often non-smooth, non-convex, or both. This paper proposes a simple algorithm designed to find accurate solutions…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-19 Jean-Jacques Forneron

A new algorithm is presented for reconstructing stochastic nonlinear dynamical models from noisy time-series data. The approach is analytical; consequently, the resulting algorithm does not require an extensive global search for the model…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy

A new Bayesian approach to linear system identification has been proposed in a series of recent papers. The main idea is to frame linear system identification as predictor estimation in an infinite dimensional space, with the aid of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 Diego Romeres , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Alessandro Chiuso

In this paper, we consider the problem of identifying a linear map from measurements which are subject to intermittent and arbitarily large errors. This is a fundamental problem in many estimation-related applications such as fault…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-08-09 Laurent Bako , Henrik Ohlsson

This technical note considers the identification of nonlinear discrete-time systems with additive process noise but without measurement noise. In particular, we propose a method and its associated algorithm to identify the system nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Wei Pan , Ye Yuan , Jorge Gonçalves , Guy-Bart Stan

Uncertainty estimation for unlabeled data is crucial to active learning. With a deep neural network employed as the backbone model, the data selection process is highly challenging due to the potential over-confidence of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Xingjian Li , Pengkun Yang , Yangcheng Gu , Xueying Zhan , Tianyang Wang , Min Xu , Chengzhong Xu
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