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Probabilistic Regression refers to predicting a full probability density function for the target conditional on the features. We present a nonparametric approach to this problem which combines base classifiers (typically gradient boosted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Brian Lucena

In spatio-temporal point pattern analysis, one of the main statistical objectives is to estimate the first-order intensity function, i.e., the expected number of points per unit area and unit time. This estimation is usually carried out…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Jonatan A. González , Paula Moraga

The size of large, geo-located datasets has reached scales where visualization of all data points is inefficient. Random sampling is a method to reduce the size of a dataset, yet it can introduce unwanted errors. We describe a method for…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-09-14 Yan Zheng , Yi Ou , Alexander Lex , Jeff M. Phillips

In this work, we propose new objective functions to train deep neural network based density ratio estimators and apply it to a change point detection problem. Existing methods use linear combinations of kernels to approximate the density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Haidar Khan , Lara Marcuse , Bülent Yener

This paper proposes a new method of bandwidth selection in kernel estimation of density and distribution functions motivated by the connection between maximisation of the entropy of probability integral transforms and maximum likelihood in…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Vitaliy Oryshchenko

The performance of kernel density estimators is usually studied via Taylor expansions and asymptotic approximation arguments, in which the bandwidth parameter tends to zero with increasing sample size. In contrast, this paper focusses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Nils Lid Hjort , Nikolai G. Ushakov

We study the density estimation problem with observations generated by certain dynamical systems that admit a unique underlying invariant Lebesgue density. Observations drawn from dynamical systems are not independent and moreover, usual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hanyuan Hang , Ingo Steinwart , Yunlong Feng , Johan A. K. Suykens

Density ratio estimation serves as an important technique in the unsupervised machine learning toolbox. However, such ratios are difficult to estimate for complex, high-dimensional data, particularly when the densities of interest are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Kristy Choi , Madeline Liao , Stefano Ermon

There is a rich literature on Bayesian methods for density estimation, which characterize the unknown density as a mixture of kernels. Such methods have advantages in terms of providing uncertainty quantification in estimation, while being…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-10 Shounak Chattopadhyay , Antik Chakraborty , David B. Dunson

Local polynomial regression struggles with several challenges when dealing with sparse data. The difficulty in capturing local features of the underlying function can lead to a potential misrepresentation of the true relationship.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Chunlei Ge , W. John Braun

The density function of the limiting spectral distribution of general sample covariance matrices is usually unknown. We propose to use kernel estimators which are proved to be consistent. A simulation study is also conducted to show the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-15 Bing-Yi Jing , Guangming Pan , Qi-Man Shao , Wang Zhou

We propose new estimates for the frontier of a set of points. They are defined as kernel estimates covering all the points and whose associated support is of smallest surface. The estimates are written as linear combinatio- ns of kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-31 Guillaume Bouchard , Stéphane Girard , Anatoli Iouditski , Alexander Nazin

We present a new smooth, Gaussian-like kernel that allows the kernel density estimate for an angular distribution to be exactly represented by a finite number of its Fourier series coefficients. Distributions of angular quantities, such as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-10 Michael T. McCann , Matthew Fickus , Jelena Kovacevic

The reconstruction of smooth density fields from scattered data points is a procedure that has multiple applications in a variety of disciplines, including Lagrangian (particle-based) models of solute transport in fluids. In random walk…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Guillem Sole-Mari , Diogo Bolster , Daniel Fernàndez-Garcia , Xavier Sanchez-Vila

In the analysis of spatial point patterns on linear networks, a critical statistical objective is estimating the first-order intensity function, representing the expected number of points within specific subsets of the network. Typically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Jonatan A. González , Paula Moraga

In some applications it is necessary to estimate derivatives of probability densities defined on the positive semi-axis. The quality of nonparametric estimates of the probability densities and their derivatives are strongly influenced by…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-29 A. V. Dobrovidov , L. A Markovich

The goal of this paper is to provide theorems on convergence rates of posterior distributions that can be applied to obtain good convergence rates in the context of density estimation as well as regression. We show how to choose priors so…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Tzee-Ming Huang

We present a new adaptive kernel density estimator based on linear diffusion processes. The proposed estimator builds on existing ideas for adaptive smoothing by incorporating information from a pilot density estimate. In addition, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Z. I. Botev , J. F. Grotowski , D. P. Kroese

Even though the computation of local properties, such as densities or radial distribution functions, remains one of the most standard goals of molecular simulation, it still largely relies on straighforward histogram-based strategies. Here…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-28 Benjamin Rotenberg

This paper deals with the classical problem of density estimation on the real line. Most of the existing papers devoted to minimax properties assume that the support of the underlying density is bounded and known. But this assumption may be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-07-13 Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard , Christine Tuleau-Malot