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The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…
Free-Choice Workflow Petri nets, also known as Workflow Graphs, are a popular model in Business Process Modeling. In this paper we introduce Timed Probabilistic Workflow Nets (TPWNs), and give them a Markov Decision Process (MDP) semantics.…
We study a natural online variant of the replacement path problem. The \textit{replacement path problem} asks to find for a given graph $G = (V,E)$, two designated vertices $s,t\in V$ and a shortest $s$-$t$ path $P$ in $G$, a…
Forecasting traffic flows is a central task in intelligent transportation system management. Graph structures have shown promise as a modeling framework, with recent advances in spatio-temporal modeling via graph convolution neural…
Given a temporal graph G, a source vertex s, and a departure time at source vertex t_s, the earliest arrival time problem EAT is to start from s on or after t_s and reach all the vertices in G as early as possible. Ni et al. have proposed a…
The fully dynamic transitive closure problem asks to maintain reachability information in a directed graph between arbitrary pairs of vertices, while the graph undergoes a sequence of edge insertions and deletions. The problem has been…
Route-level travel time reliability requires characterizing the distribution of total travel time across correlated segments -- a problem where existing methods either assume independence (fast but miscalibrated) or model dependence via…
We study the time-averaged flow in a model of particles that randomly hop on a finite directed graph. In the limit as the number of particles and the time window go to infinity but the graph remains finite, the large-deviation rate…
We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…
In 2008, T\'oth and Vet\H{o} defined the self-repelling random walk with directed edges as a non-Markovian random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$: in this model, the probability that the walk moves from a point of $\mathbb{Z}$ to a given neighbor…
We present a novel computational method of first-passage times between a starting site and a target site of regular bounded lattices. We derive accurate expressions for all the moments of this first-passage time, validated by numerical…
Modern transportation network modeling increasingly involves the integration of diverse methodologies including sensor-based forecasting, reinforcement learning, classical flow optimization, and demand modeling that have traditionally been…
Dynamic graphs with ordered sequences of events between nodes are prevalent in real-world industrial applications such as e-commerce and social platforms. However, representation learning for dynamic graphs has posed great computational…
Flows over time generalize classical network flows by introducing a notion of time. Each arc is equipped with a transit time that specifies how long flow takes to traverse it, while flow rates may vary over time within the given edge…
A temporal graph is a graph in which the edge set can change from one time step to the next. The temporal graph exploration problem TEXP is the problem of computing a foremost exploration schedule for a temporal graph, i.e., a temporal walk…
In several important routing contexts it is required to identify a set of routes, each of which optimizes a different criterion. For instance, in the context of vehicle routing, one route would minimize the total distance traveled, while…
Reliable path planning in stochastic transportation networks requires decisions that account for uncertain and correlated travel times on irregular road graphs, rather than only minimizing expected delay. Such networks exhibit strong…
En Route Travel Time Estimation (ER-TTE) aims to learn driving patterns from traveled routes to achieve rapid and accurate real-time predictions. However, existing methods ignore the complexity and dynamism of real-world traffic systems,…
We develop a path-based approach to continuous-time random walks on networks with arbitrarily weighted edges. We describe an efficient numerical algorithm for calculating statistical properties of the stochastic path ensemble. After…
Interactions between two entities often occur at specific timestamps, which can be modeled as a temporal graph. Exploring the relationships between vertices based on temporal paths is one of the fundamental tasks. In this paper, we conduct…