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We prove a strong approximation result for the empirical process associated to a stationary sequence of real-valued random variables, under dependence conditions involving only indicators of half lines. This strong approximation result also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio

Given the significance of physical measures in understanding the complexity of dynamical systems as well as the noisy nature of real-world systems, investigating the stability of physical measures under noise perturbations is undoubtedly a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Weiwei Qi , Zhongwei Shen , Yingfei Yi

In this note we consider non-stationary cluster point processes and we derive their conditional intensity, i.e. the intensity of the process given the locations of one or more events of the process. We then provide some approximations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Edith Gabriel , Joël Chadoeuf

Suppose we observe a trajectory of length $n$ from an exponentially $\alpha$-mixing stochastic process over a finite but potentially large state space. We consider the problem of estimating the probability mass placed by the stationary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-09 Milind Nakul , Vidya Muthukumar , Ashwin Pananjady

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

We make an observation that facilitates exact likelihood-based inference for the parameters of the popular ARFIMA model without requiring stationarity by allowing the upper bound $\bar{d}$ for the memory parameter $d$ to exceed $0.5$:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-10 Maryclare Griffin , Gennady Samorodnitsky , David S. Matteson

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

We derive tests of stationarity for univariate time series by combining change-point tests sensitive to changes in the contemporary distribution with tests sensitive to changes in the serial dependence. The proposed approach relies on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-21 Axel Bücher , Jean-David Fermanian , Ivan Kojadinovic

We analyze the local and global smoothing rates of the smoothing process and obtain convergence rates to stationarity for the dual process known as the potlatch process. For general finite graphs, we connect the smoothing and convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Sayan Banerjee , Krzysztof Burdzy

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

Using lattice approximations of Euclidean space, we develop a way to approximate stable processes that are represented by stochastic integrals over Euclidean space. Via a stable version of the Lindeberg-Feller Theorem we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Clément Dombry , Paul Jung

In recent studies, new measures of complexity for nonlinear systems have been proposed based on probabilistic grounds, as the LMC measure (Phys. Lett. A {\bf 209} (1995) 321) or the SDL measure (Phys. Rev. E {\bf 59} (1999) 2). All these…

adap-org · Physics 2015-06-30 Ricard V. Sole , Bartolo Luque

A particular type of random dynamical processes is considered, in which the stochasticity is introduced through randomly fluctuating parameters. A method of local multipliers is developed for treating the local stability of such dynamical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-25 V. I. Yukalov

We provide explicit formulaes for the first Kantorovich-Wasserstein distance between stationary measures for iterated function scheme on the unit interval. In particular, we consider two stationary measures with different configurations of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Italo Cipriano

Bisimulation metrics are powerful tools for measuring similarities between stochastic processes, and specifically Markov chains. Recent advances have uncovered that bisimulation metrics are, in fact, optimal-transport distances, which has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Sergio Calo , Anders Jonsson , Gergely Neu , Ludovic Schwartz , Javier Segovia-Aguas

A common class of methods for analyzing of multivariate time series, stationary and nonstationary, decomposes the observed series into latent sources. Methods such as principal compoment analysis (PCA), independent component analysis (ICA)…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-02 Raanju Ragavendar Sundararajan , Ron D. Frostig , Hernando Ombao

We propose a new testing procedure for detecting localized departures from monotonicity of a signal embedded in white noise. In fact, we perform simultaneously several tests that aim at detecting departures from concavity for the integrated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Nathalie Akakpo , Fadoua Balabdaoui , Cécile Durot

We consider a popular nonsmooth formulation of the real phase retrieval problem. We show that under standard statistical assumptions, a simple subgradient method converges linearly when initialized within a constant relative distance of an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Damek Davis , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Courtney Paquette

We observe a length-$n$ sample generated by an unknown,stationary ergodic Markov process (\emph{model}) over a finite alphabet $\mathcal{A}$. Given any string $\bf{w}$ of symbols from $\mathcal{A}$ we want estimates of the conditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-11 Meysam Asadi , Ramezan Paravi Torghabeh , Narayana P. Santhanam

Let $(B(t))_{t\in \Theta}$ with $\Theta={\mathbb Z}$ or $\Theta={\mathbb R}$ be a wide sense stationary process with discrete or continuous time. The classical linear prediction problem consists of finding an element in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-07 Ildar Ibragimov , Zakhar Kabluchko , Mikhail Lifshits