Related papers: On generalized max-linear models and their statist…
Applying standard statistical methods after model selection may yield inefficient estimators and hypothesis tests that fail to achieve nominal type-I error rates. The main issue is the fact that the post-selection distribution of the data…
The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…
When testing for the mean vector in a high dimensional setting, it is generally assumed that the observations are independently and identically distributed. However if the data are dependent, the existing test procedures fail to preserve…
We apply Continuous Normalizing Flows trained with the Flow Matching method to the problem of phase-space sampling in Monte Carlo event generation for high-energy collider physics. Focusing on lepton-pair and top quark pair production with…
In this paper we consider fully Bayesian inference in general state space models. Existing particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms use an augmented model that takes into account all the variable sampled in a sequential Monte…
Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…
We consider a one-dimensional stationary stochastic process $x(\tau)$ of duration $T$. We study the probability density function (PDF) $P(t_{\rm m}|T)$ of the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which $x(\tau)$ reaches its global maximum. By using a path…
In this paper, we study a maximization problem on real sequences. More precisely, for a given sequence, we are interested in computing the supremum of the sequence and an index for which the associated term is maximal. We propose a general…
We construct stationary max-infinitely divisible (max-id) processes from systems of randomly time-changed L\'evy particles. Classical examples without time change, such as the Brown-Resnick process, are, up to marginal transformations,…
Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…
We develop large sample theory for merged data from multiple sources. Main statistical issues treated in this paper are (1) the same unit potentially appears in multiple datasets from overlapping data sources, (2) duplicated items are not…
We propose sequential Monte Carlo based algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation of the static parameters in hidden Markov models with an intractable likelihood using ideas from approximate Bayesian computation. The static parameter…
We introduce a statistical physics inspired supervised machine learning algorithm for classification and regression problems. The method is based on the invariances or stability of predicted results when known data is represented as…
A stochastically continuous process $\xi(t)$, $t\geq0$, is said to be time-stable if the sum of $n$ i.i.d. copies of $\xi$ equals in distribution to the time-scaled stochastic process $\xi(nt)$, $t\geq0$. The paper advances the…
We introduce Midpoint Generative Models (MGM), a principled framework for training one-step generative models. MGM is based on a simple symmetry of Flow Matching with linear interpolation: when the two endpoint distributions coincide, the…
We analyse the convergence and stability of a micro-macro acceleration algorithm for Monte Carlo simulations of stiff stochastic differential equations with a time-scale separation between the fast evolution of the individual stochastic…
We construct the generalized entropy optimized by a given arbitrary statistical distribution with a finite linear expectation value of a random quantity of interest. This offers, via the maximum entropy principle, a unified basis for a…
This paper focuses on signal processing tasks in which the signal is transformed from the signal space to a higher dimensional coefficient space (also called phase space) using a continuous frame, processed in the coefficient space, and…
This paper continues the study of metastable behaviour in disordered mean field models initiated in [2], [3]. We consider the generalized Hopfield model with finitely many independent patterns $\xi_1,...,\xi_p$ where the patterns have…
Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…