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Market conditions change continuously. However, in portfolio's investment strategies, it is hard to account for this intrinsic non-stationarity. In this paper, we propose to address this issue by using the Inverse Covariance Clustering…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 Yuanrong Wang , Tomaso Aste

This paper deals with the question of how to most effectively conduct experiments in Partially Observed Markov Decision Processes so as to provide data that is most informative about a parameter of interest. Methods from Markov decision…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-31 Leifur Thorbergsson , Giles Hooker

We consider the problem of optimally controlling stochastic, Markovian systems subject to joint chance constraints over a finite-time horizon. For such problems, standard Dynamic Programming is inapplicable due to the time correlation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Niklas Schmid , Marta Fochesato , Sarah H. Q. Li , Tobias Sutter , John Lygeros

There is much interest in using partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) as a formal model for planning in stochastic domains. This paper is concerned with finding optimal policies for POMDPs. We propose several improvements…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Nevin Lianwen Zhang , Stephen S. Lee

In this paper, we consider a continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection with regime-switching and random horizon. Unlike previous works, the dynamic of assets are described by non-Markovian regime-switching models in the sense that…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-16 Tian Chen , Ruyi Liu , Zhen Wu

This paper considers the problem of randomized influence maximization over a Markovian graph process: given a fixed set of nodes whose connectivity graph is evolving as a Markov chain, estimate the probability distribution (over this fixed…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Buddhika Nettasinghe , Vikram Krishnamurthy

We introduce the class of multistage stochastic optimization problems with a random number of stages. For such problems, we show how to write dynamic programming equations and detail the Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming algorithm to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Vincent Guigues

A Stochastic Control Problem can be solved by Dynamic Programming or Distributed Optimal Control with the Kolmogorov equation for the probability density of the Markov process of the problem. It can be solved also with Supervised Learning.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Olivier Pironneau

This paper considers stochastic-constrained stochastic optimization where the stochastic constraint is to satisfy that the expectation of a random function is below a certain threshold. In particular, we study the setting where data samples…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Yeongjong Kim , Dabeen Lee

This paper is concerned with a partially observed hybrid optimal control problem, where continuous dynamics and discrete events coexist and in particular, the continuous dynamics can be observed while the discrete events, described by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Siyu Lv , Jie Xiong , Wen Xu

Motivated by practical applications, we explore the constrained multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection problem within a market characterized by a dynamic factor model. This model captures predictability in asset returns driven by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-26 Jianjun Gao , Chengneng Jin , Yun Shi , Xiangyu Cui

In this paper we consider a control problem for a Partially Observable Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process of the following type: After the jump of the process the controller receives a noisy signal about the state and the aim is to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Dirk Lange

We study the optimal control of discrete time mean filed dynamical systems under partial observations. We express the global law of the filtered process as a controlled system with its own dynamics. Following a dynamic programming approach,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Jeremy Chichportich , Idris Kharroubi

We consider a stochastic factor financial model where the asset price process and the process for the stochastic factor depend on an observable Markov chain and exhibit an affine structure. We are faced with a finite time investment horizon…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-21 Marcos Escobar , Daniela Neykova , Rudi Zagst

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

We present a Markov-chain analysis of blockwise-stochastic algorithms for solving partially block-separable optimization problems. Our main contributions to the extensive literature on these methods are statements about the Markov operators…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 D. Russell Luke

We consider a class of optimal control problems, with finite or infinite horizon, for a continuous-time Markov chain with finite state space. In this case, the control process affects the transition rates. We suppose that the controlled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman

The paper proposes a new stochastic intervention control model conducted in various commodity and stock markets. The essence of the phenomenon of intervention is described in accordance with current economic theory. A review of papers on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-28 Peter Shnurkov , Daniil Novikov

Computational aspects of the optimal consumption and investment with the partially observed stochastic volatility of the asset prices are considered. The new quantization approach to filtering - density quantization - is introduced which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-30 Grzegorz Hałaj

It is widely recognized that when classical optimal strategies are applied with parameters estimated from data, the resulting portfolio weights are remarkably volatile and unstable over time. The predominant explanation for this is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Carl Lindberg