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It is well known and readily seen that the maximum of $n$ independent and uniformly on $[0,1]$ distributed random variables, suitably standardised, converges in total variation distance, as $n$ increases, to the standard negative…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Michael Falk , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Suppose $(f,\mathcal{X},\nu)$ is a measure preserving dynamical system and $\phi:\mathcal{X}\to\mathbb{R}$ is an observable with some degree of regularity. We investigate the maximum process $M_n:=\max\{X_1,\ldots,X_n\}$, where…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-10-16 M. P. Holland , M. Nicol , A. Török

This paper tackles the unconstrained minimization of a class of nonsmooth and nonconvex functions that can be written as finite max-functions. A gradient and function-based sampling method is proposed which, under special circumstances,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Elias S. Helou , Sandra A. Santos , Lucas E. A. Simões

We investigate a branching random walk where the displacements are independent from the branching mechanism and have a stretched exponential distribution. We describe the positions of the particles in the vicinity of the rightmost particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-26 Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert

This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of absorbed one-dimensional diffusion processes with killing on $[0,\infty)$. We obtain criteria for the exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in total…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-12 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We consider the extremal shot noise defined by $$M(y)=\sup\{mh(y-x);(x,m)\in\Phi\},$$ where $\Phi$ is a Poisson point process on $\bbR^d\times (0,+\infty)$ with intensity $\lambda dxG(dm)$ and $h:\bbR^d\to [0,+\infty]$ is a measurable…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-01 Clément Dombry

In order to obtain functional limit theorems for heavy tailed stationary processes arising from dynamical systems, one needs to understand the clustering patterns of the tail observations of the process. These patterns are well described by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Raquel Couto

The paper considers the problem of calculating the distribution function of a strictly stable law at $x\to\infty$. To solve this problem, an expansion of the distribution function in a power series was obtained, and an estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Viacheslav V. Saenko

We are concerned with a new type of supermartingale decomposition in the Max-Plus algebra, which essentially consists in expressing any supermartingale of class $(\mathcal{D})$ as a conditional expectation of some running supremum process.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Nicole El Karoui , Asma Meziou

We show how to perform full likelihood inference for max-stable multivariate distributions or processes based on a stochastic Expectation-Maximisation algorithm, which combines statistical and computational efficiency in high-dimensions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Raphaël Huser , Clément Dombry , Mathieu Ribatet , Marc G. Genton

The notion of stability can be generalised to point processes by defining the scaling operation in a randomised way: scaling a configuration by $t$ corresponds to letting such a configuration evolve according to a Markov branching particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Giacomo Zanella , Sergei Zuyev

We investigate superdiffusion for stochastic processes generated by nonuniformly hyperbolic system models, in terms of the convergence of rescaled distributions to the normal distribution following the abnormal central limit theorem, which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Luke Mohr , Hong-Kun Zhang

We study a branching random walk with independent and identically distributed, heavy tailed displacements. The offspring law is supercritical and satisfies the Kesten-Stigum condition. We treat the case when the law of the displacements…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Ayan Bhattacharya , Piotr Dyszewski , Nina Gantert , Zbigniew Palmowski

Maxima of moving maxima of continuous functions (CM3) are max-stable processes aimed at modeling extremes of continuous phenomena over time. They are defined as Smith and Weissman's M4 processes with continuous functions rather than…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Thomas Meinguet

We study point process convergence for sequences of iid random walks. The objective is to derive asymptotic theory for the extremes of these random walks. We show convergence of the maximum random walk to the Gumbel distribution under the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch , Jorge Yslas

Let $X_{1,n} \leq .... \leq X_{n,n}$ be the order statistics associated with a sample $X_{1}, ...., X_{n}$ whose pertaining distribution function (% \textit{df}) is $F$. We are concerned with the functional asymptotic behaviour of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-19 Modou Ngom , Gane Samb Lo

We consider a one-dimensional stationary time series of fixed duration $T$. We investigate the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which the process reaches the global maximum within the time interval $[0,T]$. By using a path-decomposition technique, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-23 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We investigate the distribution and multiple occurrences of extreme events stochastic processes constructed by sampling the solution of a Stochastic Differential Equation on $\mathbb{R}^n$. We do so by studying the action of an annealead…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-20 F. Flandoli , S. Galatolo , P. Giulietti , S. Vaienti

The effect of a stochastic displacement field on a statistically independent point process is analyzed. Stochastic displacement fields can be divided into two large classes: spatially correlated and uncorrelated. For both cases exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-11-26 Andrea Gabrielli

The probability distributions, as well as the mean values of stochastic currents and fluxes, associated with a driven Langevin process, provide a good and topologically protected measure of how far a stochastic system is driven out of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-01-04 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein