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Related papers: Towards the Future of Supernova Cosmology

200 papers

Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) were instrumental in establishing the acceleration of the universe's expansion. By virtue of their combination of distance reach, precision, and prevalence, they continue to provide key cosmological constraints,…

We present an introduction to some concepts of Bayesian data analysis in the context of atomic physics. Starting from basic rules of probability, we present the Bayes' theorem and its applications. In particular we discuss about how to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-30 Martino Trassinelli

This paper provides a review of Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods for carrying out Bayesian posterior inference, through the lens of density estimation. We describe several recent algorithms and make connection with traditional…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-09 Clara Grazian , Yanan Fan

With the use of simulated supernova catalogs, we show that the statefinder parameters turn out to be poorly and biased estimated by standard cosmography. To this end, we compute their standard deviations and several bias statistics on…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-08-09 Alejandro Aviles , Jaime Klapp , Orlando Luongo

We employ Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) as a powerful statistical framework to address key cosmological questions about the universe's fundamental properties. We explore extensions beyond the standard $\Lambda$CDM model, considering a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-08 S. Paradiso , G. McGee , W. J. Percival

The abundance of new cosmological data becoming available means that a wider range of cosmological models are testable than ever before. However, an important distinction must be made between parameter fitting and model selection. While…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Pia Mukherjee , David Parkinson , Andrew R. Liddle

A perturbative approach is used to quantify the effect of noise in data points on fitted parameters in a general homogeneous linear model, and the results applied to the case of conic sections. There is an optimal choice of normalisation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-11-22 Matthew Collett

Identifying the parameters of a model and rating competitive models based on measured data has been among the most important but challenging topics in modern science and engineering, with great potential of application in structural system…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-02 F. A. DiazDelaO , A. Garbuno-Inigo , S. K. Au , I. Yoshida

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Steven Winter , Trevor Campbell , Lizhen Lin , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

Using the Bayesian theory of model comparison, a new cosmological model due to John and Joseph [M. V. John and K. Babu Joseph, Phys. Rev. D 61, 87304 (2000)] is compared with the standard \Omega_{\Lambda} \neq 0 cosmological model. Their…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 Moncy V. John , J. V. Narlikar

In the present paper, we investigate the cosmographic problem using the bias-variance trade-off. We find that both the z-redshift and the $y=z/(1+z)$-redshift can present a small bias estimation. It means that the cosmography can describe…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-13 Ming-Jian Zhang , Hong Li , Jun-Qing Xia

In the next decade, transient searches from the Vera C. Rubin Observatory and the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope will increase the sample of known Type Ia Supernovae (SN Ia) from $\sim10^3$ to $10^5$. With this reduction of statistical…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-28 J. D. R. Pierel , D. O. Jones , M. Dai , D. Q. Adams , R. Kessler , S. Rodney , M. R. Siebert , R. J. Foley , W. D. Kenworthy , D. Scolnic

Inter-survey calibration remains an important systematic uncertainty in cosmological studies using type Ia supernova (SNe Ia). Ideally, each survey would measure its system throughputs, for instance with bandpass measurements combined with…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-07 Miles Currie , David Rubin , Greg Aldering , Susana Deustua , Andy Fruchter , Saul Perlmutter

This paper presents a systematic literature review focusing on the application of machine learning techniques for deriving observational constraints in cosmology. The goal is to evaluate and synthesize existing research to identify…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-14 Luis Rojas , Sebastián Espinoza , Esteban González , Carlos Maldonado , Fei Luo

We introduce SuperNNova, an open source supernova photometric classification framework which leverages recent advances in deep neural networks. Our core algorithm is a recurrent neural network (RNN) that is trained to classify light-curves…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-05 Anais Möller , Thibault de Boissière

Context: Quantitative spectroscopy of luminous blue stars relies on detailed non-LTE model atmospheres whose increasing physical realism makes direct, iterative analyses computationally demanding. Aims: We introduce MAUI (Machine-learning…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-06 Miguel A. Urbaneja

Bayesian graphical models are an efficient tool for modelling complex data and derive self-consistent expressions of the posterior distribution of model parameters. We apply Bayesian graphs to perform statistical analyses of Type Ia…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-11-15 Cong Ma , Pier-Stefano Corasaniti , Bruce A. Bassett

Consistent experiment data are crucial to adjust parameters of physics models and to determine best estimates of observables. However, often experiment data are not consistent due to unrecognized systematic errors. Standard methods of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-03-05 Georg Schnabel