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The ability to explain why a machine learning model arrives at a particular prediction is crucial when used as decision support by human operators of critical systems. The provided explanations must be provably correct, and preferably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 John Törnblom , Emil Karlsson , Simin Nadjm-Tehrani

In this tutorial we review the essential arguments behing entropic inference. We focus on the epistemological notion of information and its relation to the Bayesian beliefs of rational agents. The problem of updating from a prior to a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 Ariel Caticha

Message passing (MP) is a computational technique used to find approximate solutions to a variety of problems defined on networks. MP approximations are generally accurate in locally tree-like networks but require corrections to maintain…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-27 George T. Cantwell , Alec Kirkley , Filippo Radicchi

The missing data problem has been broadly studied in the last few decades and has various applications in different areas such as statistics or bioinformatics. Even though many methods have been developed to tackle this challenge, most of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 Thu Nguyen , Khoi Minh Nguyen-Duy , Duy Ho Minh Nguyen , Binh T. Nguyen , Bruce Alan Wade

Mixture proportion estimation (MPE) is the problem of estimating the weight of a component distribution in a mixture, given samples from the mixture and component. This problem constitutes a key part in many "weakly supervised learning"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-01 Harish G. Ramaswamy , Clayton Scott , Ambuj Tewari

This paper presents new results for the (partial) maximum a posteriori (MAP) problem in Bayesian networks, which is the problem of querying the most probable state configuration of some of the network variables given evidence. First, it is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-07-30 Cassio P. de Campos

The need for reliable model explanations is prominent for many machine learning applications, particularly for tabular and time-series data as their use cases often involve high-stakes decision making. Towards this goal, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Aya Abdelsalam Ismail , Sercan Ö. Arik , Jinsung Yoon , Ankur Taly , Soheil Feizi , Tomas Pfister

We propose a new approach to belief revision that provides a way to change knowledge bases with a minimum of effort. We call this way of revising belief states optimal belief revision. Our revision method gives special attention to the fact…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Carmen Vodislav , Robert E. Mercer

In recent years, researchers in decision analysis and artificial intelligence (AI) have used Bayesian belief networks to build models of expert opinion. Using standard methods drawn from the theory of computational complexity, workers in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 R. Martin Chavez , Gregory F. Cooper

For a network formed by nodes and undirected links between pairs of nodes, the network optimal attack problem aims at deleting a minimum number of target nodes to break the network down into many small components. This problem is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-20 Salomon Mugisha , Hai-Jun Zhou

We consider in this paper the formulation of approximate inference in Bayesian networks as a problem of exact inference on an approximate network that results from deleting edges (to reduce treewidth). We have shown in earlier work that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Arthur Choi , Adnan Darwiche

In recent years, researchers in decision analysis and artificial intelligence (Al) have used Bayesian belief networks to build models of expert opinion. Using standard methods drawn from the theory of computational complexity, workers in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 R. Martin Chavez , Gregory F. Cooper

Many networks can be usefully decomposed into a dense core plus an outlying, loosely-connected periphery. Here we propose an algorithm for performing such a decomposition on empirical network data using methods of statistical inference. Our…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Xiao Zhang , Travis Martin , M. E. J. Newman

We introduce a graceful approach to probabilistic inference called bounded conditioning. Bounded conditioning monotonically refines the bounds on posterior probabilities in a belief network with computation, and converges on final…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Eric J. Horvitz , Jaap Suermondt , Gregory F. Cooper

Despite significant progress in post-hoc explanation methods for neural networks, many remain heuristic and lack provable guarantees. A key approach for obtaining explanations with provable guarantees is by identifying a cardinally-minimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Shahaf Bassan , Yizhak Yisrael Elboher , Tobias Ladner , Volkan Şahin , Jan Kretinsky , Matthias Althoff , Guy Katz

Link prediction (LP) is an important problem in network science and machine learning research. The state-of-the-art LP methods are usually evaluated in a uniform setup, ignoring several factors associated with the data and application…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Bhargavi Kalyani , A Rama Prasad Mathi , Niladri Sett

Influence maximization is the problem of selecting top $k$ seed nodes in a social network to maximize their influence coverage under certain influence diffusion models. In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm IRIE that integrates a new…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-03-20 Kyomin Jung , Wooram Heo , Wei Chen

We propose a new interpretability method for neural networks, which is based on a novel mathematico-philosophical theory of reasons. Our method computes a vector for each neuron, called its reasons vector. We then can compute how strongly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Levin Hornischer , Hannes Leitgeb

Networks are powerful data structures, but are challenging to work with for conventional machine learning methods. Network Embedding (NE) methods attempt to resolve this by learning vector representations for the nodes, for subsequent use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Bo Kang , Jefrey Lijffijt , Tijl De Bie

Traditional approaches to non-monotonic reasoning fail to satisfy a number of plausible axioms for belief revision and suffer from conceptual difficulties as well. Recent work on ranked preferential models (RPMs) promises to overcome some…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Daniel Hunter
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