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In this paper, a probabilistic space-time representation of complex traffic scenarios is predicted using machine learning algorithms. Such a representation is significant for all active vehicle safety applications especially when performing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Parthasarathy Nadarajan , Michael Botsch , Sebastian Sardina

Principled accountability for autonomous decision-making in uncertain environments requires distinguishing intentional outcomes from negligent designs from actual accidents. We propose analyzing the behavior of autonomous agents through a…

We present the notion of explainability for decision-making processes in a pedagogically structured autonomous environment. Multi-agent systems that are structured pedagogically consist of pedagogical teachers and learners that operate in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Minal Suresh Patil

Bayesian belief networks have grown to prominence because they provide compact representations for many problems for which probabilistic inference is appropriate, and there are algorithms to exploit this compactness. The next step is to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-27 D. Poole , N. L. Zhang

Trajectory prediction plays a crucial role in the autonomous driving stack by enabling autonomous vehicles to anticipate the motion of surrounding agents. Goal-based prediction models have gained traction in recent years for addressing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Sepideh Afshar , Nachiket Deo , Akshay Bhagat , Titas Chakraborty , Yunming Shao , Balarama Raju Buddharaju , Adwait Deshpande , Henggang Cui

I discuss the design of the method of entropic inference as a general framework for reasoning under conditions of uncertainty. The main contribution of this discussion is to emphasize the pragmatic elements in the derivation. More…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2014-12-19 Ariel Caticha

We present a symbolic machinery that admits both probabilistic and causal information about a given domain and produces probabilistic statements about the effect of actions and the impact of observations. The calculus admits two types of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Judea Pearl

Predicting roll call votes through modeling political actors has emerged as a focus in quantitative political science and computer science. Widely used embedding-based methods generate vectors for legislators from diverse data sets to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Hao Li , Ruoyuan Gong , Hao Jiang

Many real world domains require the representation of a measure of uncertainty. The most common such representation is probability, and the combination of probability with logic programs has given rise to the field of Probabilistic Logic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-07-26 Fabrizio Riguzzi , Terrance Swift

Prediction-powered inference is a framework for performing valid statistical inference when an experimental dataset is supplemented with predictions from a machine-learning system. The framework yields simple algorithms for computing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-10 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Clara Fannjiang , Michael I. Jordan , Tijana Zrnic

We propose probabilistic task modelling -- a generative probabilistic model for collections of tasks used in meta-learning. The proposed model combines variational auto-encoding and latent Dirichlet allocation to model each task as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Cuong C. Nguyen , Thanh-Toan Do , Gustavo Carneiro

Probabilistic graphical models are widely used to model complex systems under uncertainty. Traditionally, Gaussian directed graphical models are applied for analysis of large networks with continuous variables as they can provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Victoria Volodina , Nikki Sonenberg , Peter Challenor , Jim Q. Smith

Machine learning models are often personalized with information that is protected, sensitive, self-reported, or costly to acquire. These models use information about people but do not facilitate nor inform their consent. Individuals cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Hailey Joren , Chirag Nagpal , Katherine Heller , Berk Ustun

We present an opinion model founded upon the principles of the bounded confidence interaction among agents. Our objective is to explain the polarization effects inherent to vector-valued opinions. The evolutionary process adheres to the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Jacek Cyranka , Piotr B. Mucha

In this work we present an empirical study where we demonstrate the possibility of developing an artificial agent that is capable to autonomously explore an experimental scenario. During the exploration, the agent is able to discover and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Gabriele Sartor , Davide Zollo , Marta Cialdea Mayer , Angelo Oddi , Riccardo Rasconi , Vieri Giuliano Santucci

In this paper, we learn dynamics models for parametrized families of dynamical systems with varying properties. The dynamics models are formulated as stochastic processes conditioned on a latent context variable which is inferred from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jan Achterhold , Joerg Stueckler

Probabilistic dependency graphs (PDGs) are a flexible class of probabilistic graphical models, subsuming Bayesian Networks and Factor Graphs. They can also capture inconsistent beliefs, and provide a way of measuring the degree of this…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Oliver E. Richardson , Joseph Y. Halpern , Christopher De Sa

Spatial reasoning in partially observable environments has often been approached through passive predictive models, yet theories of embodied cognition suggest that genuinely useful representations arise only when perception is tightly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Li Jin , Liu Jia

Probabilistic graphical modeling is a branch of machine learning that uses probability distributions to describe the world, make predictions, and support decision-making under uncertainty. Underlying this modeling framework is an elegant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Jacqueline Maasch , Willie Neiswanger , Stefano Ermon , Volodymyr Kuleshov

Self-supervised learning can be used for mitigating the greedy needs of Vision Transformer networks for very large fully-annotated datasets. Different classes of self-supervised learning offer representations with either good contextual…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Spyros Gidaris , Andrei Bursuc , Oriane Simeoni , Antonin Vobecky , Nikos Komodakis , Matthieu Cord , Patrick Pérez