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The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek

A set of independence statements may define the independence structure of interest in a family of joint probability distributions. This structure is often captured by a graph that consists of nodes representing the random variables and of…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-15 Nanny Wermuth

The continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) represent a class of stochastic processes, which can be used to model complex phenomena, for instance, they can describe interactions occurring in living processes, in social science models or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-16 Maryia Shpak , Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Rejchel

Initial work on variational autoencoders assumed independent latent variables with simple distributions. Subsequent work has explored incorporating more complex distributions and dependency structures: including normalizing flows in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Jacobie Mouton , Steve Kroon

We extend the decomposition approach for learning Bayesian networks (BNs) proposed by (Xie et. al.) to learning multivariate regression chain graphs (MVR CGs), which include BNs as a special case. The same advantages of this decomposition…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Mohammad Ali Javidian , Marco Valtorta

Traditional economic models typically treat private information, or signals, as generated from some underlying state. Recent work has explicated alternative models, where signals correspond to interpretations of available information. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Michael P. Wellman , Lu Hong , Scott E. Page

Bayesian networks faithfully represent the symmetric conditional independences existing between the components of a random vector. Staged trees are an extension of Bayesian networks for categorical random vectors whose graph represents…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-10 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

Several approaches of structuring (factorization, decomposition) of Dempster-Shafer joint belief functions from literature are reviewed with special emphasis on their capability to capture independence from the point of view of the claim…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-14 Mieczysław A. Kłopotek

Bayesian networks provide a probabilistic semantics for qualitative assertions about likelihood. A qualitative reasoner based on an algebra over these assertions can derive further conclusions about the influence of actions. While the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Michael P. Wellman

A variety of statistical graphical models have been defined to represent the conditional independences underlying a random vector of interest. Similarly, many different graphs embedding various types of preferential independences, as for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-26 Manuele Leonelli , Jim Q. Smith

We introduce a new interpretation of two related notions - conditional utility and utility independence. Unlike the traditional interpretation, the new interpretation renders the notions the direct analogues of their probabilistic…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Yoav Shoham

We introduce a new family of network models, called hierarchical network models, that allow us to represent in an explicit manner the stochastic dependence among the dyads (random ties) of the network. In particular, each member of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-27 Kayvan Sadeghi , Alessandro Rinaldo

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen

As more and more network-structured data sets are available, the statistical analysis of valued graphs has become common place. Looking for a latent structure is one of the many strategies used to better understand the behavior of a…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-09 Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin , Corinne Vacher

Global variational approximation methods in graphical models allow efficient approximate inference of complex posterior distributions by using a simpler model. The choice of the approximating model determines a tradeoff between the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman

Deep neural networks have achieved impressive results on a wide variety of tasks. However, quantifying uncertainty in the network's output is a challenging task. Bayesian models offer a mathematical framework to reason about model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Manikanta Srikar Yellapragada , Chandra Prakash Konkimalla

In many supervised learning tasks, the entities to be labeled are related to each other in complex ways and their labels are not independent. For example, in hypertext classification, the labels of linked pages are highly correlated. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Ben Taskar , Pieter Abbeel , Daphne Koller

We extend the theory of d-separation to cases in which data instances are not independent and identically distributed. We show that applying the rules of d-separation directly to the structure of probabilistic models of relational data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-07 Marc Maier , Katerina Marazopoulou , David Jensen

Recent work on weighted model counting has been very successfully applied to the problem of probabilistic inference in Bayesian networks. The probability distribution is encoded into a Boolean normal form and compiled to a target language,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-19 Giso H. Dal , Peter J. F. Lucas

Probabilistic argumentation is an alternative to causal modeling with Bayesian networks. Probabilistic argumentation structures (PAS) are defined on families of compatible frames (f.c.f). This is a generalization of the usual multivariate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Juerg Kohlas