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Particle filters are computational techniques for estimating the state of dynamical systems by integrating observational data with model predictions. This work introduces a class of Localized Particle Filters (LPFs) that exploit spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-10 Dan Crisan , Eliana Fausti

This work introduces a new method for selecting the number of components in finite mixture models (FMMs) using variational Bayes, inspired by the large-sample properties of the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO) derived from mean-field (MF)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Chenyang Wang , Yun Yang

Policy gradient methods can solve complex tasks but often fail when the dimensionality of the action-space or objective multiplicity grow very large. This occurs, in part, because the variance on score-based gradient estimators scales…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Thomas Spooner , Nelson Vadori , Sumitra Ganesh

We introduce an auxiliary technique, called residual nudging, to the particle filter to enhance its performance in cases that it performs poorly. The main idea of residual nudging is to monitor, and if necessary, adjust the residual norm of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-06-03 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

Collaborative filtering (CF) is a popular technique in today's recommender systems, and matrix approximation-based CF methods have achieved great success in both rating prediction and top-N recommendation tasks. However, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Dongsheng Li , Chao Chen , Qin Lv , Junchi Yan , Li Shang , Stephen M. Chu

The fractional Poisson process (FPP) generalizes the standard Poisson process by replacing exponentially distributed return times with Mittag-Leffler distributed ones with an extra tail parameter, allowing for greater flexibility. The FPP…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-12 Merle Mendel , Roland Fried

The matched filter (MF) is widely used to detect signals hidden within the noise. If the noise is Gaussian, its performances are well-known and describable in an elegant analytical form. The treatment of non-Gaussian noises is often…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-08 Roberto Vio , Paola Andreani

Bayesian inference can be embedded into an appropriately defined dynamics in the space of probability measures. In this paper, we take Brownian motion and its associated Fokker--Planck equation as a starting point for such embeddings and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Sebastian Reich , Simon Weissmann

We present an efficient particle filtering algorithm for multiscale systems, that is adapted for simple atmospheric dynamics models which are inherently chaotic. Particle filters represent the posterior conditional distribution of the state…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-04 Nishanth Lingala , N. Sri Namachchivaya , Nicolas Perkowski , Hoong C. Yeong

Embedding physical knowledge into neural network (NN) training has been a hot topic. However, when facing the complex real-world, most of the existing methods still strongly rely on the quantity and quality of observation data. Furthermore,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-20 Dashan Zhang , Yuntian Chen , Shiyi Chen

When a hidden Markov model permits the conditional likelihood of an observation given the hidden process to be zero, all particle simulations from one observation time to the next could produce zeros. If so, the filtering distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Chris Sherlock , Andrew Golightly , Anthony Lee

Nonlinear filtering with standard PF methods requires mitigative techniques to quell weight degeneracy, such as resampling. This is especially true in high-dimensional systems with sparse observations. Unfortunately, such techniques are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Theofania Karampela , Ryne Beeson

Particle Metropolis-Hastings (PMH) allows for Bayesian parameter inference in nonlinear state space models by combining Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filtering. The latter is used to estimate the intractable likelihood. In…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-01 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

This paper employs physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) to solve Fisher's equation, a fundamental reaction-diffusion system with both simplicity and significance. The focus is on investigating Fisher's equation under conditions of large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Franz M. Rohrhofer , Stefan Posch , Clemens Gößnitzer , Bernhard C. Geiger

In this paper we consider the filtering of partially observed multi-dimensional diffusion processes that are observed regularly at discrete times. We assume that, for numerical reasons, one has to time-discretize the diffusion process which…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Hernando Ombao

We investigate the impact of filter choice on forecast accuracy in state space models. The filters are used both to estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters, via a particle marginal Metropolis-Hastings (PMMH) algorithm, and to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-21 Patrick Leung , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin , Brendan McCabe

The optimal gain matrix of the Kalman filter is often derived by minimizing the trace of the posterior covariance matrix. Here, I show that the Kalman gain also minimizes the determinant of the covariance matrix, a quantity known as the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-15 Eviatar Bach

Most multi-target tracking filters assume that one target and its observation follow a Hidden Markov Chain (HMC) model, but the implicit independence assumption of HMC model is invalid in many practical applications, and a Pairwise Markov…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-30 Jiangyi Liu , Chunping Wang , Wei Wang

Several Bayesian estimation based heuristics have been developed to perform quantum state tomography (QST). Their ability to quantify uncertainties using region estimators and include a priori knowledge of the experimentalists makes this…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-16 Syed Muhammad Kazim , Ahmad Farooq , Junaid ur Rehman , Hyundong Shin

We introduce a weighted particle representation for the solution of the filtering problem based on a suitably chosen variation of the classical de Finetti theorem. This representation has important theoretical and numerical applications. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Dan Crisan , Thomas G. Kurtz , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre