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Unforeseen particle accelerator interruptions, also known as interlocks, lead to abrupt operational changes despite being necessary safety measures. These may result in substantial loss of beam time and perhaps even equipment damage. We…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2023-03-17 Sichen Li , Jochem Snuverink , Fernando Perez-Cruz , Andreas Adelmann

Non-intrusive reduced-order models (ROMs) have recently generated considerable interest for constructing computationally efficient counterparts of nonlinear dynamical systems emerging from various domain sciences. They provide a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-30 Romit Maulik , Themistoklis Botsas , Nesar Ramachandra , Lachlan Robert Mason , Indranil Pan

Prediction models are used to predict an outcome based on input variables. Missing data in input variables often occurs at model development and at prediction time. The missForestPredict R package proposes an adaptation of the missForest…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Elena Albu , Shan Gao , Laure Wynants , Ben Van Calster

Missing data are a common problem for both the construction and implementation of a prediction algorithm. Pattern mixture kernel submodels (PMKS) - a series of submodels for every missing data pattern that are fit using only data from that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-27 Sarah Fletcher Mercaldo , Jeffrey D. Blume

Errors are prevalent in time series data, such as GPS trajectories or sensor readings. Existing methods focus more on anomaly detection but not on repairing the detected anomalies. By simply filtering out the dirty data via anomaly…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-03-30 Aoqian Zhang , Shaoxu Song , Jianmin Wang , Philip S. Yu

This paper develops a novel sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approach for joint state and parameter estimation that can deal efficiently with abruptly changing parameters which is a common case when tracking maneuvering targets. The approach…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-12 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Nonlinear and non-stationary processes are prevalent in various natural and physical phenomena, where system dynamics can change qualitatively due to bifurcation phenomena. Traditional machine learning methods have advanced our ability to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Keita Tokuda , Yuichi Katori

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba

Every day, weather forecasting centres around the world make use of noisy, incomplete observations of the atmosphere to update their weather forecasts. This process is known as data assimilation, data fusion or state estimation and is best…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Daniel Tang , Nick Malleson

Missing data is a challenge in many applications, including intelligent transportation systems (ITS). In this paper, we study traffic speed and travel time estimations in ITS, where portions of the collected data are missing due to sensor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Bahareh Najafi , Saeedeh Parsaeefard , Alberto Leon-Garcia

Irregularly sampled time series are ubiquitous, presenting significant challenges for analysis due to missing values. Despite existing methods address imputation, they predominantly focus on leveraging intra-series information, neglecting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Zhihao Yu , Xu Chu , Liantao Ma , Yasha Wang , Wenwu Zhu

Scattering moments provide nonparametric models of random processes with stationary increments. They are expected values of random variables computed with a nonexpansive operator, obtained by iteratively applying wavelet transforms and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Joan Bruna , Stéphane Mallat , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

Nowadays, weather prediction is based on numerical weather prediction (NWP) models to produce an ensemble of forecasts. Despite of large improvements over the last few decades, they still tend to exhibit systematic bias and dispersion…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-02 David Jobst , Annette Möller , Jürgen Groß

Time series and sequential data have gained significant attention recently since many real-world processes in various domains such as finance, education, biology, and engineering can be modeled as time series. Although many algorithms and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Manie Tadayon , Greg Pottie

Complex phenomena can be better understood when broken down into a limited number of simpler "components". Linear statistical methods such as the principal component analysis and its variants are widely used across various fields of applied…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-01-13 Iacopo Tirelli , Miguel Alfonso Mendez , Andrea Ianiro , Stefano Discetti

Accurate and reliable energy time series prediction is of great significance for power generation planning and allocation. At present, deep learning time series prediction has become the mainstream method. However, the multi-scale time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Wei Li , Zixin Wang , Qizheng Sun , Qixiang Gao , Fenglei Yang

We consider the problem of multiple sensor scheduling for remote state estimation of multiple process over a shared link. In this problem, a set of sensors monitor mutually independent dynamical systems in parallel but only one sensor can…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-30 Duo Han , Junfeng Wu , Yilin Mo , Lihua Xie

We describe the R package EstemPMM, which implements the Polynomial Maximization Method (PMM) for parameter estimation under non-Gaussian errors. PMM exploits higher-order cumulants of the error distribution -- specifically the third…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Serhii Zabolotnii

Recent years have witnessed a growing interest for time series foundation models, with a strong emphasis on the forecasting task. Yet, the crucial task of out-of-domain imputation of missing values remains largely underexplored. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Etienne Le Naour , Tahar Nabil , Ghislain Agoua

In this paper, prediction for linear systems with missing information is investigated. New methods are introduced to improve the Mean Squared Error (MSE) on the test set in comparison to state-of-the-art methods, through appropriate tuning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-04 Mohammad Amin Fakharian , Ashkan Esmaeili , Farokh Marvasti
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