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We present a complete framework for determining the asymptotic (or logarithmic) efficiency of estimators of large deviation probabilities and rate functions based on importance sampling. The framework relies on the idea that importance…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-26 Arnaud Guyader , Hugo Touchette

Complex physical systems are unavoidably subjected to external environments not accounted for in the set of differential equations that models them. The resulting perturbations are standardly represented by noise terms. We derive conditions…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-06-26 Melvyn Tyloo , Robin Delabays , Philippe Jacquod

Scrambling quantum systems have attracted attention as effective substrates for temporal information processing. Here we consider a quantum reservoir processing framework that captures a broad range of physical computing models with quantum…

We show that an escape from the potential minimum of Fabry-Perot interferometers can be detected measuring the associated sudden change of reflectivity. We demonstrate that the loss of information that occurs retaining only the sequence of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 P. Addesso , V. Pierro , G. Filatrella

Noise-induced phase transitions are common in various complex systems, from physics to biology. In this article, we investigate the emergence of crucial events in noise-induced phase transition processes and their potential significance for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-06-28 Jacob D. Baxley , David R. Lambert , Mauro Bologna , Bruce J. West , Paolo Grigolini

The statistical problem of parameter estimation in partially observed hypoelliptic diffusion processes is naturally occurring in many applications. However, due to the noise structure, where the noise components of the different coordinates…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-13 Susanne Ditlevsen , Adeline Samson

We present a general geometrical approach to the problem of escape from a metastable state in the presence of noise. The accompanying analysis leads to a simple condition, based on the norm of the drift field, for determining whether…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-01-20 Daniele Pinna , Andrew D. Kent , Daniel L. Stein

The numerical simulation of dynamical phenomena in interacting quantum systems is a notoriously hard problem. Although a number of promising numerical methods exist, they often have limited applicability due to the growth of entanglement or…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-08 Stefano De Nicola

We estimate the time a point or set, respectively, requires to approach the attractor of a radially symmetric gradient type stochastic differential equation driven by small noise. Here, both of these times tend to infinity as the noise gets…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-07 Isabell Vorkastner

In this paper we develop a metastability theory for a class of stochastic reaction-diffusion equations exposed to small multiplicative noise. We consider the case where the unperturbed reaction-diffusion equation features multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The objective of this dissertation is to prove a scaling limit for the exit of a domain problem of a small noise system with underlying hyperbolic dynamics. In this case, Large Deviation kind of estimates fail to provide a complete picture…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-12 Sergio Angel Almada Monter

Driven by applications in telecommunication networks, we explore the simulation task of estimating rare event probabilities for tandem queues in their steady state. Existing literature has recognized that importance sampling methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Ruoning Zhao , Xinyun Chen

We study the estimation of moments and joint moments of microstructure noise. Estimators of arbitrary order of (joint) moments are provided, for which we establish consistency as well as central limit theorems. In particular, we provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-06 Jean Jacod , Yingying Li , Xinghua Zheng

The analysis of noise-induced escape in populations of bistable elements is challenging, because nonlinearity, coupling, and noise all play essential roles. We show that the interplay of these three factors yields three qualitatively…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-03-06 Hidemasa Ishii , Hiroshi Kori

Importance sampling is often used in machine learning when training and testing data come from different distributions. In this paper we propose a new variant of importance sampling that can reduce the variance of importance sampling-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Philip S. Thomas , Emma Brunskill

Entropy notions for $\varepsilon$-incremental practical stability and incremental stability of deterministic nonlinear systems under disturbances are introduced. The entropy notions are constructed via a set of points in state space which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Michelle S. Chong

Theoretical results for importance sampling rely on the existence of certain moments of the importance weights, which are the ratios between the proposal and target densities. In particular, a finite variance ensures square root convergence…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-31 Michael K. Pitt , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Marcel Scharth , Robert Kohn

We are exploring two archetypal noise induced escape scenarios: escape from a finite interval and from the positive half-line under the action of the mixture of L\'evy and Gaussian white noises in the overdamped regime, for the random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-10 Przemysław Pogorzelec , Bartłomiej Dybiec

We present an algorithm for finding the probabilities of rare events in nonequilibrium processes. The algorithm consists of evolving the system with a modified dynamics for which the required event occurs more frequently. By keeping track…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-07 Anupam Kundu , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Abhishek Dhar

For a one-dimensional smooth vector field in a neighborhood of an unstable equilibrium, we consider the associated dynamics perturbed by small noise. Using Malliavin calculus tools, we obtain precise vanishing noise asymptotics for the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-03 Yuri Bakhtin , Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai
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