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The main purpose of this work is to examine the behavior of the implied volatility smiles around jumps, contributing to the literature with a high-frequency analysis of the smile dynamics based on intra-day option data. From our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-14 Martin Magris , Perttu Barholm , Juho Kanniainen

We consider implied volatilities in asset pricing models, where the discounted underlying is a strict local martingale under the pricing measure. Our main result gives an asymptotic expansion of the right wing of the implied volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-19 Antoine Jacquier , Martin Keller-Ressel

We prove a large deviations principle for the class of multidimensional affine stochastic volatility models considered in (Gourieroux, C. and Sufana, R., J. Bus. Econ. Stat., 28(3), 2010), where the volatility matrix is modelled by a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-20 Aurélien Alfonsi , David Krief , Peter Tankov

The multidimensional Uncertain Volatility Model leads to robust option pricing problems under joint volatility and correlation uncertainty. Their numerical resolution quickly becomes challenging because the associated stochastic control…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Lokman A Abbas-Turki , Jean-François Chassagneux , Jean-Philippe Lemor , Grégoire Loeper , Simon Sananes

We extend upon the saddle-point equation presented in [1] to derive large-time model-implied volatility smiles, providing its theoretical foundation and studying its applications in classical models. As long as characteristic function…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-13 Chun Yat Yeung , Ali Hirsa

We propose a randomised version of the Heston model-a widely used stochastic volatility model in mathematical finance-assuming that the starting point of the variance process is a random variable. In such a system, we study the small-and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-07 Antoine Jacquier , Fangwei Shi

We analyse the behaviour of the implied volatility smile for options close to expiry in the exponential L\'evy class of asset price models with jumps. We introduce a new renormalisation of the strike variable with the property that the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-17 Aleksandar Mijatović , Peter Tankov

We investigate a statistical-static hedging technique for pricing assets considered as single-step stochastic cash flows. The valuation is based on constructing in a canonical way a European style derivative on a benchmark security such…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-13 Jarno Talponen

Within Bayesian nonparametrics, dependent Dirichlet process mixture models provide a highly flexible approach for conducting inference about the conditional density function. However, several formulations of this class make either rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 María Xosé Rodríguez-Álvarez , Vanda Inácio , Nadja Klein

Although stochastic volatility and GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) models have successfully described the volatility dynamics of univariate asset returns, extending them to the multivariate models with…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-09 Yuta Yamauchi , Yasuhiro Omori

We introduce a new class of local volatility models. Within this framework, we obtain expressions for both (i) the price of any European option and (ii) the induced implied volatility smile. As an illustration of our framework, we perform…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-12 Matthew Lorig

Rough volatility is a well-established statistical stylised fact of financial assets. This property has lead to the design and analysis of various new rough stochastic volatility models. However, most of these developments have been carried…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-31 Mehdi Tomas , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Recent developments in financial time series focus on modeling volatility across multiple assets or indices in a multivariate framework, accounting for potential interactions such as spillover effects. Furthermore, the increasing…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-26 Edoardo Otranto , Luca Scaffidi Domianello

The analysis of observed conditional distributions of both lagged and simultaneous intraday price increments of a basket of stocks reveals phenomena of dependence - induced volatility smile and kurtosis reduction. A model based on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin , Alexander Zaitsev

In this paper we study the evolution of asset price bubbles driven by contagion effects spreading among investors via a random matching mechanism in a discrete-time version of the liquidity based model of [25]. To this scope, we extend the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Katharina Oberpriller

We propose a stochastic volatility model for time series of curves. It is motivated by dynamics of intraday price curves that exhibit both between days dependence and intraday price evolution. The curves are suitably normalized to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Piotr Kokoszka , Neda Mohammadi , Haonan Wang , Shixuan Wang

We consider a structural stochastic volatility model for the loss from a large portfolio of credit risky assets. Both the asset value and the volatility processes are correlated through systemic Brownian motions, with default determined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Ben Hambly , Nikolaos Kolliopoulos

Affine Diffusion dynamics are frequently used for Valuation Adjustments (xVA) calculations due to their analytic tractability. However, these models cannot capture the market-implied skew and smile, which are relevant when computing xVA…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-23 T. van der Zwaard , L. A. Grzelak , C. W. Oosterlee

We discuss Bayesian forecasting of increasingly high-dimensional time series, a key area of application of stochastic dynamic models in the financial industry and allied areas of business. Novel state-space models characterizing sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Zoey Yi Zhao , Meng Xie , Mike West

We present small-time implied volatility asymptotics for Realised Variance (RV) and VIX options for a number of (rough) stochastic volatility models via large deviations principle. We provide numerical results along with efficient and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Chloe Lacombe , Aitor Muguruza , Henry Stone