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In this work, we investigate causal learning of independent causal mechanisms from a Bayesian perspective. Confirming previous claims from the literature, we show in a didactically accessible manner that unlabeled data (i.e., cause…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Bernhard C. Geiger , Roman Kern

A new method is developed to represent probabilistic relations on multiple random events. Where previously knowledge bases containing probabilistic rules were used for this purpose, here a probability distribution over the relations is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Manfred Jaeger

We define what it means for a joint probability distribution to be compatible with a set of independent causal mechanisms, at a qualitative level -- or, more precisely, with a directed hypergraph ${\mathcal{A}}$, which is the qualitative…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Oliver E Richardson , Spencer Peters , Joseph Y Halpern

Causal inference is the process of using assumptions, study designs, and estimation strategies to draw conclusions about the causal relationships between variables based on data. This allows researchers to better understand the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Anpeng Wu , Kun Kuang , Ruoxuan Xiong , Fei Wu

This paper investigates a representation language with flexibility inspired by probabilistic logic and compactness inspired by relational Bayesian networks. The goal is to handle propositional and first-order constructs together with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman , Cassio Polpo de Campos , Jaime Ide , Jose Carlos Ferreira da Rocha

In this paper we propose a causal modeling approach to intersectional fairness, and a flexible, task-specific method for computing intersectionally fair rankings. Rankings are used in many contexts, ranging from Web search results to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-17 Ke Yang , Joshua R. Loftus , Julia Stoyanovich

Systems are typically made from simple components regardless of their complexity. While the function of each part is easily understood, higher order functions are emergent properties and are notoriously difficult to explain. In networked…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-18 Jory Schossau , Larissa Albantakis , Arend Hintze

Independent component analysis provides a principled framework for unsupervised representation learning, with solid theory on the identifiability of the latent code that generated the data, given only observations of mixtures thereof.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-10 Luigi Gresele , Julius von Kügelgen , Vincent Stimper , Bernhard Schölkopf , Michel Besserve

Methods for inferring average causal effects have traditionally relied on two key assumptions: (i) the intervention received by one unit cannot causally influence the outcome of another; and (ii) units can be organized into non-overlapping…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-23 Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Isabel Fulcher , Ilya Shpitser

In a previous paper [Pearl and Verma, 1991] we presented an algorithm for extracting causal influences from independence information, where a causal influence was defined as the existence of a directed arc in all minimal causal models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Tom S. Verma , Judea Pearl

Conditional-independence-based discovery uses statistical tests to identify a graphical model that represents the independence structure of variables in a dataset. These tests, however, can be unreliable, and algorithms are sensitive to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Philipp M. Faller , Dominik Janzing

For binary experimental data, we discuss randomization-based inferential procedures that do not need to invoke any modeling assumptions. We also introduce methods for likelihood and Bayesian inference based solely on the physical…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-25 Peng Ding , Luke W. Miratrix

The theory of belief functions manages uncertainty and also proposes a set of combination rules to aggregate opinions of several sources. Some combination rules mix evidential information where sources are independent; other rules are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-18 Mouna Chebbah , Arnaud Martin , Boutheina Ben Yaghlane

This paper shows that conditional independence reasoning can be applied to optimize epistemic model checking, in which one verifies that a model for a number of agents operating with imperfect information satisfies a formula expressed in a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-07-28 Ron van der Meyden

Instrumental variable models allow us to identify a causal function between covariates $X$ and a response $Y$, even in the presence of unobserved confounding. Most of the existing estimators assume that the error term in the response $Y$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-23 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Leonard Henckel , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

Distributions over rankings are used to model data in various settings such as preference analysis and political elections. The factorial size of the space of rankings, however, typically forces one to make structural assumptions, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Jonathan Huang , Ashish Kapoor , Carlos E. Guestrin

Starting from elementary considerations about independence and Markov processes in classical probability we arrive at the new concept of conditional monotone independence (or operator-valued monotone independence). With the help of product…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michael Skeide

A framework for causal inference from two-level factorial designs is proposed. The framework utilizes the concept of potential outcomes that lies at the center stage of causal inference and extends Neyman's repeated sampling approach for…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-19 Tirthankar Dasgupta , Natesh S. Pillai , Donald B. Rubin

Recently a class of generalized information measures was defined on sets of items parametrized by submodular functions. In this paper, we propose and study various notions of independence between sets with respect to such information…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-21 Himanshu Asnani , Jeff Bilmes , Rishabh Iyer

This paper develops a framework for identification, estimation, and inference on the causal mechanisms driving endogenous social network formation. Identification is challenging because of unobserved confounders and reverse causality;…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Maximilian Kasy , Elizabeth Linos , Sanaz Mobasseri
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