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A common goal in statistics and machine learning is estimation of unknowns. Point estimates alone are of little value without an accompanying measure of uncertainty, but traditional uncertainty quantification methods, such as confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Neil Dey , Ryan Martin , Jonathan P. Williams

A general notion of algebraic conditional plausibility measures is defined. Probability measures, ranking functions, possibility measures, and (under the appropriate definitions) sets of probability measures can all be viewed as defining…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Joseph Y. Halpern

In this paper, we propose a new and unified approach for nonparametric regression and conditional distribution learning. Our approach simultaneously estimates a regression function and a conditional generator using a generative learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-28 Shanshan Song , Tong Wang , Guohao Shen , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang

We present a new method to propagate lower bounds on conditional probability distributions in conventional Bayesian networks. Our method guarantees to provide outer approximations of the exact lower bounds. A key advantage is that we can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Daniel Andrade , Bernhard Sick

We propose a general approach for supervised learning with structured output spaces, such as combinatorial and polyhedral sets, that is based on minimizing estimated conditional risk functions. Given a loss function defined over pairs of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-28 Chong Yang Goh , Patrick Jaillet

In this work, we investigate the use of normalizing flows to model conditional distributions. In particular, we use our proposed method to analyze inverse problems with invertible neural networks by maximizing the posterior likelihood. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Zhisheng Xiao , Qing Yan , Yali Amit

Jeffrey's rule of conditioning has been proposed in order to revise a probability measure by another probability function. We generalize it within the framework of the models based on belief functions. We show that several forms of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Philippe Smets

Conditional selective inference (SI) has been studied intensively as a new statistical inference framework for data-driven hypotheses. The basic concept of conditional SI is to make the inference conditional on the selection event, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-15 Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Ichiro Takeuchi

This paper explores algorithms for processing probabilistic and deterministic information when the former is represented as a belief network and the latter as a set of boolean clauses. The motivating tasks are 1. evaluating beliefs networks…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Rina Dechter , David Ephraim Larkin

We propose and investigate probabilistic guarantees for the adversarial robustness of classification algorithms. While traditional formal verification approaches for robustness are intractable and sampling-based approaches do not provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Peter Blohm , Patrick Indri , Thomas Gärtner , Sagar Malhotra

Conditioning is a key feature in probabilistic programming to enable modeling the influence of data (also known as observations) to the probability distribution described by such programs. Determining the posterior distribution is also…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Christina Gehnen , Dominique Unruh , Joost-Pieter Katoen

The purpose of this paper is to introduce and investigate a new system of global fractional-order interval implicit projection neural networks. An existence and uniqueness theorem of the equilibrium point for such kind of global…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-24 Zeng-bao Wu , Jin-dong Li , Nan-jing Huang

Relation classification, a crucial component of relation extraction, involves identifying connections between two entities. Previous studies have predominantly focused on integrating the attention mechanism into relation classification at a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Yiping Sun

In this work, we propose a global model selection criterion to estimate the graph of conditional dependencies of a random vector based on a finite sample. By global criterion, we mean optimizing a function over the entire set of possible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-06 Florencia Leonardi , Magno T. F Severino

The paper analyzes theoretically and empirically the performance of likelihood weighting (LW) on a subset of nodes in Bayesian networks. The proposed scheme requires fewer samples to converge due to reduction in sampling variance. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

Refining one's hypotheses in the light of data is a common scientific practice; however, the dependency on the data introduces selection bias and can lead to specious statistical analysis. An approach for addressing this is via conditioning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Jen Ning Lim , Makoto Yamada , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yoshikazu Terada , Shigeyuki Matsui , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

The concept of updating a probability distribution in the light of new evidence lies at the heart of statistics and machine learning. Pearl's and Jeffrey's rule are two natural update mechanisms which lead to different outcomes, yet the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Bart Jacobs , Dario Stein

First-order probabilistic models combine representational power of first-order logic with graphical models. There is an ongoing effort to design lifted inference algorithms for first-order probabilistic models. We analyze lifted inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Jacek Kisynski , David L Poole

We present a new approach to the global fairness verification of tree-based classifiers. Given a tree-based classifier and a set of sensitive features potentially leading to discrimination, our analysis synthesizes sufficient conditions for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Stefano Calzavara , Lorenzo Cazzaro , Claudio Lucchese , Federico Marcuzzi

Generalized belief propagation (GBP) has proven to be a promising technique for approximate inference tasks in AI and machine learning. However, the choice of a good set of clusters to be used in GBP has remained more of an art then a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Max Welling