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Human users increasingly communicate with large language models (LLMs), but LLMs suffer from frequent overconfidence in their output, even when its accuracy is questionable, which undermines their trustworthiness and perceived legitimacy.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Dennis Ulmer , Alexandra Lorson , Ivan Titov , Christian Hardmeier

The established language for statistical testing --- significance levels, power, and p-values --- is overly complicated and deceptively conclusive. Even teachers of statistics and scientists who use statistics misinterpret the results of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Glenn Shafer

Ontological models are attempts to quantitatively describe the results of a probabilistic theory, such as Quantum Mechanics, in a framework exhibiting an explicit realism-based underpinning. Unlike either the well known quasi-probability…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-07-02 Nicholas Harrigan , Terry Rudolph , Scott Aaronson

The idea of fully accepting statements when the evidence has rendered them probable enough faces a number of difficulties. We leave the interpretation of probability largely open, but attempt to suggest a contextual approach to full belief.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Henry E. Kyburg

A new syntactic characterization of problems complete via Turing reductions is presented. General canonical forms are developed in order to define such problems. One of these forms allows us to define complete problems on ordered…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2014-11-25 Vladimir Naidenko

Modal probabilistic logics provide a framework for reasoning about probability in modal contexts, involving notions such as knowledge, belief, time, and action. In this paper, we study a particular family of these logics, extending the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Daniil Kozhemiachenko , Igor Sedlár

There are numerous applications where we have to deal with temporal uncertainty associated with events. The Temporal Probabilistic (TP) Logic Programs should provide support for valid-time indeterminacy of events, by proposing the concept…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-03-08 Zoran Majkic

We present in this paper a reformulation of the usual set-theoretical semantics of the description logic $\mathcal{ALC}$ with general TBoxes by using categorical language. In this setting, $\mathcal{ALC}$ concepts are represented as…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Ludovic Brieulle , Chan Le Duc , Pascal Vaillant

A classical approach to formal policy synthesis in stochastic dynamical systems is to construct a finite-state abstraction, often represented as a Markov decision process (MDP). The correctness of these approaches hinges on a behavioural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-08 Thom Badings , Alessandro Abate

AI agents have become increasingly adept at complex tasks such as coding, reasoning, and multimodal understanding. However, building generalist systems requires moving beyond individual agents to collective inference -- a paradigm where…

Mechanisms for the automation of uncertainty are required for expert systems. Sometimes these mechanisms need to obey the properties of probabilistic reasoning. A purely numeric mechanism, like those proposed so far, cannot provide a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Alan Bundy

Abstract argumentation offers an appealing way of representing and evaluating arguments and counterarguments. This approach can be enhanced by a probability assignment to each argument. There are various interpretations that can be ascribed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-15 Anthony Hunter , Matthias Thimm

To be responsive to dynamically changing real-world environments, an intelligent agent needs to perform complex sequential decision-making tasks that are often guided by commonsense knowledge. The previous work on this line of research led…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-08-01 Yi Wang , Shiqi Zhang , Joohyung Lee

Probabilistic program analysis aims to quantify the probability that a given program satisfies a required property. It has many potential applications, from program understanding and debugging to computing program reliability, compiler…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Aleksandar S. Dimovski

We define a notion of randomness for individual and collections of formal languages based on automatic martingales acting on sequences of words from some underlying domain. An automatic martingale bets if the incoming word belongs to the…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-20 Birzhan Moldagaliyev

In this paper, we focus on the problem of conformal prediction with conditional guarantees. Prior work has shown that it is impossible to construct nontrivial prediction sets with full conditional coverage guarantees. A wealth of research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Shayan Kiyani , George Pappas , Hamed Hassani

Symbolic event recognition systems have been successfully applied to a variety of application domains, extracting useful information in the form of events, allowing experts or other systems to monitor and respond when significant events are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-08-16 Anastasios Skarlatidis , Georgios Paliouras , Alexander Artikis , George A. Vouros

Since Austin introduced the term ``infelicity'', the linguistic literature has been flooded with its use, but no formal or computational explanation has been given for it. This thesis provides one for those infelicities that occur when a…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2008-02-03 Daniel Marcu

Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

The decoherent (consistent) histories formalism has been proposed as a means of eliminating measurements as a fundamental concept in quantum mechanics. In this formalism, probabilities can be assigned to any description which satisfies a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Todd A. Brun
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