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In this paper we consider the modeling of opinion dynamics over time dependent large scale networks. A kinetic description of the agents' distribution over the evolving network is considered which combines an opinion update based on binary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Giacomo Albi , Lorenzo Pareschi , Mattia Zanella

Activity in neocortex exhibits a range of behaviors, from irregular to temporally precise, and from weakly to strongly correlated. So far there has been no single theoretical framework that could explain all these behaviors, leaving open…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-03 Alexander Lerchner , Peter E. Latham

Estimating how uncertain an AI system is in its predictions is important to improve the safety of such systems. Uncertainty in predictive can result from uncertainty in model parameters, irreducible data uncertainty and uncertainty due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-03 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Network modeling plays a critical role in identifying statistical regularities and structural principles common to many systems. The large majority of recent modeling approaches are connectivity driven. The structural patterns of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-27 Nicola Perra , Bruno Gonçalves , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Connecting neural activity to function is a common aim in neuroscience. How to define and conceptualize function, however, can vary. Here I focus on grounding this goal in the specific question of how a given change in behavior is produced…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-14 Grace W. Lindsay

We present a statistical framework for generating predicted dynamic networks based on the observed evolution of social relationships in a population. The framework includes a novel and flexible procedure to sample dynamic networks given a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Ravi Goyal , Victor De Gruttola

Network economics is the study of a rich class of equilibrium problems that occur in the real world, from traffic management to supply chains and two-sided online marketplaces. In this paper we explore causal inference in network economics,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Sridhar Mahadevan

A class of dynamic threshold models is proposed, for describing the upset of collective actions in social networks. The agents of the network have to decide whether to undertake a certain action or not. They make their decision by comparing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-23 Andrea Garulli , Antonio Giannitrapani

Financial networks help firms manage risk but also enable financial shocks to spread. Despite their importance, existing models of financial networks have several limitations. Prior works often consider a static network with a simple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Akhil Jalan , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Purnamrita Sarkar

Resilience is a system's ability to maintain its function when perturbations and errors occur. Whilst we understand low-dimensional networked systems' behavior well, our understanding of systems consisting of a large number of components is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-08 Giannis Moutsinas , Mengbang Zou , Weisi Guo

Networks effectively capture interactions among components of complex systems, and have thus become a mainstay in many scientific disciplines. Growing evidence, especially from biology, suggest that networks undergo changes over time, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-10 Ali Shojaie

Networks are powerful tools for modeling interactions in complex systems. While traditional networks use scalar edge weights, many real-world systems involve multidimensional interactions. For example, in social networks, individuals often…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Yu Tian , Sadamori Kojaku , Hiroki Sayama , Renaud Lambiotte

Robustness of decision rules to shifts in the data-generating process is crucial to the successful deployment of decision-making systems. Such shifts can be viewed as interventions on a causal graph, which capture (possibly hypothetical)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Benjie Wang , Clare Lyle , Marta Kwiatkowska

Modeling human dynamics responsible for the formation and evolution of the so-called social networks - structures comprised of individuals or organizations and indicating connectivities existing in a community - is a topic recently…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Victor V. Kryssanov , Frank J. Rinaldo , Evgeny L. Kuleshov , Hitoshi Ogawa

The concept of emergence is a powerful concept to explain very complex behaviour by simple underling rules. Existing approaches of producing emergent collective behaviour have many limitations making them unable to account for the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-03-03 A. M. Khalili

The problem of estimating event truths from conflicting agent opinions in a social network is investigated. An autoencoder learns the complex relationships between event truths, agent reliabilities and agent observations. A Bayesian network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Jielong Yang , Wee Peng Tay

What networks can form and persist when agents are self-interested? Can such networks be efficient? A substantial theoretical literature predicts that the only networks that can form and persist must have very special shapes and that such…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-09-03 Yangbo Song , Mihaela van der Schaar

We review and conceptualize recent advances in causal inference under network interference, drawing on a complex and diverse body of work that ranges from causal inference, statistical network analysis, economics, the health sciences, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Subhankar Bhadra , Michael Schweinberger

This paper examines the problem of constructing belief networks to evaluate plans produced by an knowledge-based planner. Techniques are presented for handling various types of complicating plan features. These include plans with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Paul E. Lehner , Christopher Elsaesser , Scott A. Musman