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In this paper we define a class of polynomial functors suited for constructing coalgebras representing processes in which uncertainty plays an important role. In these polynomial functors we include upper and lower probability measures,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Andrés Gallardo , Ignacio Viglizzo

In the frequentist program, inferential methods with exact control on error rates are a primary focus. The standard approach, however, is to rely on asymptotic approximations, which may not be suitable. This paper presents a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Ryan Martin

Prediction of future observations is an important and challenging problem. The two mainstream approaches for quantifying prediction uncertainty use prediction regions and predictive distributions, respectively, with the latter believed to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

We introduce a new class of real-valued monotones in preordered spaces, injective monotones. We show that the class of preorders for which they exist lies in between the class of preorders with strict monotones and preorders with countable…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Pedro Hack , Daniel A. Braun , Sebastian Gottwald

Modus ponens (\emph{from $A$ and "if $A$ then $C$" infer $C$}, short: MP) is one of the most basic inference rules. The probabilistic MP allows for managing uncertainty by transmitting assigned uncertainties from the premises to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Giuseppe Sanfilippo , Niki Pfeifer , Angelo Gilio

In this work, we present a method to generate probability distributions and classes of probability distributions, which broadens a process of probability distribution construction. In this method, distribution classes are built from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Cícero Carlos Ramos de Brito , Leandro Chaves Rêgo , Wilson Rosa de Oliveira

Truth values of Modus Ponens and Modus Tollens rules for propositions having linguistic truth value that may be represented by lattice(Fig1, Fig2) are computed in this paper. The results show that the truth values are not always absolutely…

Logic · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Bithi Chattaraj , Sumita Basu

Accepting a proposition means that our confidence in this proposition is strictly greater than the confidence in its negation. This paper investigates the subclass of uncertainty measures, expressing confidence, that capture the idea of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Didier Dubois , Henri Prade

Nonmonotonic logics are usually characterized by the presence of some notion of 'conditional' that fails monotonicity. Research on nonmonotonic logics is therefore largely concerned with the defeasibility of argument forms and the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-10-29 Katarina Britz , Ivan Varzinczak

We examine a new approach to modeling uncertainty based on plausibility measures, where a plausibility measure just associates with an event its plausibility, an element is some partially ordered set. This approach is easily seen to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Nir Friedman , Joseph Y. Halpern

If uncertainty is modelled by a probability measure, decisions are typically made by choosing the option with the highest expected utility. If an imprecise probability model is used instead, this decision rule can be generalised in several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-27 Jasper De Bock

Choice functions constitute a simple, direct and very general mathematical framework for modelling choice under uncertainty. In particular, they are able to represent the set-valued choices that appear in imprecise-probabilistic decision…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-05-22 Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

In many classification tasks there is a requirement of monotonicity. Concretely, if all else remains constant, increasing (resp. decreasing) the value of one or more features must not decrease (resp. increase) the value of the prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Joao Marques-Silva , Thomas Gerspacher , Martin Cooper , Alexey Ignatiev , Nina Narodytska

Recent years have witnessed a renewed interest in Boolean function in explaining binary classifiers in the field of explainable AI (XAI). The standard approach of Boolean function is propositional logic. We present a modal language of a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Xinghan Liu , Emiliano Lorini

Evaluating joint probabilities of potential outcomes and observed variables, and their linear combinations, is a fundamental challenge in causal inference. This paper addresses the bounding and identification of these probabilities in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Naoya Hashimoto , Yuta Kawakami , Jin Tian

We propose testing procedures for the hypothesis that a given set of discrete observations may be formulated as a particular time series of counts with a specific conditional law. The new test statistics incorporate the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Šárka Hudecová , Marie Hušková , Simos G. Meintanis

In this paper we study the coefficients of the powers of an ordinary generating function and their properties. A new class of functions based on compositions of an integer $n$ is introduced and is termed composita. We present theorems about…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-03-26 Vladimir V. Kruchinin , Dmitry V. Kruchinin

We develop a novel probabilistic generative model based on the variational autoencoder approach. Notable aspects of our architecture are: a novel way of specifying the latent variables prior, and the introduction of an ordinality enforcing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-20 Joel Jaskari , Jyri J. Kivinen

A solution is proposed for the problem of composition of ordinary generating functions. A new class of functions that provides a composition of ordinary generating functions is introduced; main theorems are presented; compositae are written…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-09-15 Kruchinin Vladimir Victorovich

The study of complexity and optimization in decision theory involves both partial and complete characterizations of preferences over decision spaces in terms of real-valued monotones. With this motivation, and following the recent…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Pedro Hack , Daniel A. Braun , Sebastian Gottwald
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