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We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector based on i.i.d. observations and adversarial contamination. We introduce a multivariate extension of the trimmed-mean estimator and show its optimal performance under minimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

By exploiting the theory of skew-symmetric distributions, we generalise existing results in sensitivity analysis by providing the analytic expression of the bias induced by marginalization over an unobserved continuous confounder in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-19 Matteo Gasparin , Bruno Scarpa , Elena Stanghellini

We use a new method via $p$-Wasserstein bounds to prove Cram\'er-type moderate deviations in (multivariate) normal approximations. In the classical setting that $W$ is a standardized sum of $n$ independent and identically distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

The problem of f-divergence estimation is important in the fields of machine learning, information theory, and statistics. While several nonparametric divergence estimators exist, relatively few have known convergence properties. In…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-16 Kevin R. Moon , Alfred O. Hero

We introduce a distributionally robust maximum likelihood estimation model with a Wasserstein ambiguity set to infer the inverse covariance matrix of a $p$-dimensional Gaussian random vector from $n$ independent samples. The proposed model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-21 Viet Anh Nguyen , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

Selective inference is a subfield of statistics that enables valid inference after selection of a data-dependent question. In this paper, we introduce selectively dominant p-values, a class of p-values that allow practitioners to easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Anav Sood

We study the problem of {\em list-decodable mean estimation} for bounded covariance distributions. Specifically, we are given a set $T$ of points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with the promise that an unknown $\alpha$-fraction of points in $T$, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Daniel Kongsgaard

We consider the problem of estimating the covariance structure of a random vector $Y\in \mathbb R^d$ from a sample $Y_1,\ldots,Y_n$. We are interested in the situation when $d$ is large compared to $n$ but the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Stanislav Minsker , Lang Wang

For differences between means of continuous data from independent groups, the customary scale-free measure of effect is the standardized mean difference (SMD). To justify use of SMD, one should be reasonably confident that the group-level…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin

We propose two classes of nonparametric point estimators of $\theta=P(X<Y)$ in the case where $(X,Y)$ are paired, possibly dependent, absolutely continuous random variables. The proposed estimators are based on nonparametric estimators of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-27 J. A. Montoya , F. J. Rubio

When the individual studies assembled for a meta-analysis report means ($\mu_C$, $\mu_T$) for their treatment (T) and control (C) arms, but those data are on different scales or come from different instruments, the customary measure of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin

We consider the classical problem of estimating the covariance matrix of a subgaussian distribution from i.i.d. samples in the novel context of coarse quantization, i.e., instead of having full knowledge of the samples, they are quantized…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Sjoerd Dirksen , Johannes Maly , Holger Rauhut

Covariance matrix estimation arises in multivariate problems including multivariate normal sampling models and regression models where random effects are jointly modeled, e.g. random-intercept, random-slope models. A Bayesian analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Ignacio Alvarez , Jarad Niemi , Matt Simpson

Researchers increasingly use meta-analysis to synthesize the results of several studies in order to estimate a common effect. When the outcome variable is continuous, standard meta-analytic approaches assume that the primary studies report…

This paper introduces a novel framework for estimation theory by introducing a second-order diagnostic for estimator design. While classical analysis focuses on the bias-variance trade-off, we present a more foundational constraint. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Sri Satish Krishna Chaitanya Bulusu , Mikko Sillanpää

Let $X_1,...,X_n$ be i.i.d. observations, where $X_i=Y_i+\sigma_n Z_i$ and the $Y$'s and $Z$'s are independent. Assume that the $Y$'s are unobservable and that they have the density $f$ and also that the $Z$'s have a known density $k.$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Bert van Es

We propose a new class of estimators of the multivariate response linear regression coefficient matrix that exploits the assumption that the response and predictors have a joint multivariate Normal distribution. This allows us to indirectly…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-17 Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman

This paper is devoted to the estimators of the mean that provide strong non-asymptotic guarantees under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution. The main ideas behind proposed techniques are based on bridging the notions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Stanislav Minsker

Learning models that can handle distribution shifts is a key challenge in domain generalization. Invariance learning, an approach that focuses on identifying features invariant across environments, improves model generalization by capturing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-11 Yiran Jia , Jelena Bradic

Standard practice obtains an unbiased variance estimator by dividing by $N-1$ rather than $N$. Yet if only half the data are used to compute the mean, dividing by $N$ can still yield an unbiased estimator. We show that an alternative mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Dai Akita