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The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

This paper formulates and solves a sequential detection problem that involves the mutual information (stochastic observability) of a Gaussian process observed in noise with missing measurements. The main result is that the optimal decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-05-30 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Robert Bitmead , Michel Gevers , Erik Miehling

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

A sequential quadratic optimization algorithm for minimizing an objective function defined by an expectation subject to nonlinear inequality and equality constraints is proposed, analyzed, and tested. The context of interest is when it is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Frank E. Curtis , Daniel P. Robinson , Baoyu Zhou

We consider the problem of detecting (testing) Gaussian stochastic sequences (signals) with imprecisely known means and covariance matrices. The alternative is independent identically distributed zero-mean Gaussian random variables with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Marat V. Burnashev

This paper addresses the following general scenario: A scientist wishes to perform a battery of experiments, each generating a sequential stream of data, to investigate some phenomenon. The scientist would like to control the overall error…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-12 Jay Bartroff , Jinlin Song

We study sequential state discrimination measurements performed on the same qubit by subsequent observers. Specifically, we focus on the case when the observers perform a kind of a minimum-error type state discriminating measurement where…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-05-26 Dov Fields , Árpad Várga , János A. Bergou

We propose a decomposition framework for the parallel optimization of the sum of a differentiable (possibly nonconvex) function and a (block) separable nonsmooth, convex one. The latter term is usually employed to enforce structure in the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-06-18 Francisco Facchinei , Gesualdo Scutari , Simone Sagratella

We present a test for the problem of decentralized sequential hypothesis testing, which is asymptotically optimum. By selecting a suitable sampling mechanism at each sensor, communication between sensors and fusion center is asynchronous…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-08-31 Georgios Fellouris , George V. Moustakides

This paper studies hypothesis testing and parameter estimation in the context of the divide and conquer algorithm. In a unified likelihood based framework, we propose new test statistics and point estimators obtained by aggregating various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Heather Battey , Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Junwei Lu , Ziwei Zhu

Inferring the causal direction between two variables from their observation data is one of the most fundamental and challenging topics in data science. A causal direction inference algorithm maps the observation data into a binary value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-08 Yulai Zhang , Jiachen Wang , Gang Cen , Guiming Luo

We consider the quickest change detection problem where both the parameters of pre- and post- change distributions are unknown, which prevents the use of classical simple hypothesis testing. Without additional assumptions, optimal solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Firas Jarboui , Viannet Perchet

In this paper, we study the problem of determining $k$ anomalous random variables that have different probability distributions from the rest $(n-k)$ random variables. Instead of sampling each individual random variable separately as in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Myung Cho , Weiyu Xu , Lifeng Lai

In this paper we develop a unified approach for solving a wide class of sequential selection problems. This class includes, but is not limited to, selection problems with no-information, rank-dependent rewards, and considers both fixed as…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-27 Alexander Goldenshluger , Yaakov Malinovsky , Assaf Zeevi

How can we monitor, in real time, whether one uncertain prospect has any upside over another? To answer this question, we develop a novel family of sequential, anytime-valid tests for stochastic dominance (SD; also known as stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Sebastian Arnold , Yo Joong Choe , Marco Scarsini , Ilia Tsetlin

We study a Bayesian binary sequential hypothesis testing problem with multiple large language models (LLMs). Each LLM $j$ has per-query cost $c_j>0$, random waiting time with mean $\mu_j>0$ and sub-Gaussian tails, and \emph{asymmetric}…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Guokai Li , Alys Liang , Mo Liu , Murray Lei , Stefanus Jasin , Fenghua Yang , Preet Baxi

In most prediction and estimation situations, scientists consider various statistical models for the same problem, and naturally want to select amongst the best. Hansen et al. (2011) provide a powerful solution to this problem by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Sebastian Arnold , Georgios Gavrilopoulos , Benedikt Schulz , Johanna Ziegel

Dynamic spectrum access under channel uncertainties is considered. With the goal of maximizing the secondary user (SU) throughput subject to constraints on the primary user (PU) outage probability we formulate a joint problem of spectrum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-24 Yasin Yilmaz , Ziyu Guo , Xiaodong Wang

Although precision and recall are standard performance measures for anomaly detection, their statistical properties in sequential detection settings are poorly understood. In this work, we formalize a notion of precision and recall with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Erik Scharwächter , Emmanuel Müller

Real-time online object tracking in videos constitutes a core task in computer vision, with wide-ranging applications including video surveillance, motion capture, and robotics. Deployed tracking systems usually lack formal safety…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Alejandro Monroy Muñoz , Rajeev Verma , Alexander Timans