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We prove several limit theorems that relate coalescent processes to continuous-state branching processes. Some of these theorems are stated in terms of the so-called generalized Fleming-Viot processes, which describe the evolution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Bertoin , Jean-François Le Gall

$\Lambda$-coalescents model the evolution of a coalescing system in which any number of blocks randomly sampled from the whole may merge into a larger block. For the coalescent restricted to initially $n$ singletons we study the collision…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Alexander Gnedin , Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych , Martin Möhle

We consider the problem of estimating the elapsed time since the most recent common ancestor of a finite random sample drawn from a population which has evolved through a Bienayme-Galton-Watson branching process. More specifically, we are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-04 Conrad J. Burden , Albert C. Soewongsono

We consider Beta$(2-\alpha, \alpha)$-coalescents with parameter range $1 <\alpha<2$ starting from $n$ leaves. The length $\ell^{(n)}_r$ of order $r$ in the $n$-Beta$(2-\alpha, \alpha)$-coalescent tree is defined as the sum of the lengths of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Matthias Birkner , Iulia Dahmer , Christina S. Diehl , Götz Kersting

We consider a supercritical branching population, where individuals have i.i.d. lifetime durations (which are not necessarily exponentially distributed) and give birth (singly) at constant rate. We assume that individuals independently…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

We consider a version of D. Price's model for the growth of a bibliographic network, where in each iteration a constant number of citations is randomly allocated according to a weighted combination of accidental (uniformly distributed) and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-31 Grzegorz Siudem , Przemysław Nowak , Marek Gagolewski

We study a coarsening process of one-dimensional cell complexes. We show that if cell boundaries move with velocities proportional to the difference in size of neighboring cells, then the average cell size grows at a prescribed exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-03 Emanuel Lazar , Robin Pemantle

We consider a model of a population of fixed size $N$ undergoing selection. Each individual acquires beneficial mutations at rate $\mu_N$, and each beneficial mutation increases the individual's fitness by $s_N$. Each individual dies at…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-03 Jason Schweinsberg

We consider a Feller diffusion (Zs, s $\ge$ 0) (with diffusion coefficient $\sqrt$ 2$\beta$ and drift $\theta$ $\in$ R) that we condition on {Zt = at}, where at is a deterministic function, and we study the limit in distribution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Romain Abraham , Jean-Franç Ois Delmas , Hui He

For $0<\alpha<1,$ and $\theta>-\alpha,$ let $(S^{-\alpha}_{\alpha,\theta+r})_{\{r\ge 0\}}$ denote an increasing(decreasing) sequence of variables forming a time inhomogeneous Markov chain whose marginal distributions are equivalent to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Lancelot F. James

A multi-type neutral Cannings population model with mutation and fixed subpopulation sizes is analyzed. Under appropriate conditions, as all subpopulation sizes tend to infinity, the ancestral process, properly time-scaled, converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Martin Möhle

Consider two ancestral lineages sampled from a system of two-dimensional branching random walks with logistic regulation in the stationary regime. We study the asymptotics of their coalescence time for large initial separation and find that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Matthias Birkner , Andrej Depperschmidt , Timo Schlüter

Interacting particle systems undergoing repeated mutation and selection steps model genetic evolution, and also describe a broad class of sequential Monte Carlo methods. The genealogical tree embedded into the system is important in both…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-20 Suzie Brown , Paul A. Jenkins , Adam M. Johansen , Jere Koskela

Natural populations often show enhanced genetic drift consistent with a strong skew in their offspring number distribution. The skew arises because the variability of family sizes is either inherently strong or amplified by population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-13 Takashi Okada , Oskar Hallatschek

We introduce a broad class of spatial models to describe how spatially heterogeneous populations live, die, and reproduce. Individuals are represented by points of a point measure, whose birth and death rates can depend both on spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Alison M. Etheridge , Thomas G. Kurtz , Ian Letter , Peter L. Ralph , Terence Tsui Ho Lung

We study a class of branching processes in which the offspring distribution is not specified directly but is induced by a cycle of internal colony growth, catastrophic reduction and structured dispersal. The parameters governing growth,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Lucas R. de Lima , Fábio P. Machado

To introduce selection into a model of coalescence, I explore the use of modified integer partitions that allow the identification of a preferred lineage. I show that a partition-partition transition matrix, along with Monte Carlo discrete…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-05 Irwin Kuntz

Time series data may exhibit clustering over time and, in a multiple time series context, the clustering behavior may differ across the series. This paper is motivated by the Bayesian non--parametric modeling of the dependence between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-23 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Fabrizio Leisen

We consider neutral evolution of a large population subject to changes in its population size. For a population with a time-variable carrying capacity we have computed the distributions of the total branch lengths of its sample genealogies.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-13 A. Eriksson , B. Mehlig , M. Rafajlovic , S. Sagitov

We present a probabilistic model for learning from dynamic relational data, wherein the observed interactions among networked nodes are modeled via the Bernoulli Poisson link function, and the underlying network structure are characterized…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl