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Finding the most powerful node in a dynamic random network, the largest set in a partition-valued stochastic process, or the largest family in an evolving population at a given time, can be a very difficult problem. This is particularly the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Cécile Mailler , Peter Mörters , Anna Senkevich

Mechanisms leading to speciation are a major focus in evolutionary biology. In this paper, we present and study a stochastic model of population where individuals, with type a or A, are equivalent from ecological, demographical and spatial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-20 Camille Coron , Manon Costa , Hélène Leman , Charline Smadi

The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

Effective population size characterizes the genetic variability in a population and is a parameter of paramount importance in population genetics. Kingman's coalescent process enables inference of past population dynamics directly from…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-20 Mandev S. Gill , Philippe Lemey , Shannon N. Bennett , Roman Biek , Marc A. Suchard

Compared to a neutral model, purifying selection distorts the structure of genealogies and hence alters the patterns of sampled genetic variation. Although these distortions may be common in nature, our understanding of how we expect…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-05-30 Aleksandra M. Walczak , Lauren E. Nicolaisen , Joshua B. Plotkin , Michael M. Desai

We consider diploid bi-parental analogues of Cannings models: in a population of fixed size $N$ the next generation is composed of $V_{i,j}$ offspring from parents $i$ and $j$, where $V=(V_{i,j})_{1\le i\neq j \le N}$ is a (jointly)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Matthias Birkner , Huili Liu , Anja Sturm

For $1<\alpha <2$ we derive the asymptotic distribution of the total length of {\em external} branches of a Beta$(2-\alpha, \alpha)$-coalescent as the number $n$ of leaves becomes large. It turns out the fluctuations of the external branch…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-27 Götz Kersting , Iulia Stanciu , Anton Wakolbinger

At time 0, start a time-continuous binary branching process, where particles give birth to a single particle independently (at a possibly time-dependent rate) and die independently (at a possibly time-dependent and age-dependent rate). A…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-09 Amaury Lambert

We introduce a stochastic model of a population with overlapping generations and arbitrary levels of self-fertilization versus outcrossing. We study how the global graph of reproductive relationships, or population pedigree, influences the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-20 Maximillian Newman , John Wakeley , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

We consider a population of particles with unit life length. Dying each particle produces offspring whose size depends on the random environment specifying the reproduction law of all particles of the given generation and on the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

We consider the spatial Lambda-Fleming-Viot process model for frequencies of genetic types in a population living in R^d, with two types of individuals (0 and 1) and natural selection favouring individuals of type 1. We first prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Alison Etheridge , Amandine Veber , Feng Yu

We define a doubly infinite, monotone labeling of Bienayme-Galton-Watson (BGW) genealogies. The genealogy of the current generation backwards in time is uniquely determined by the coalescent point process $(A_i; i\ge 1)$, where $A_i$ is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Amaury Lambert , Lea Popovic

In this work we model the dynamics of a population that evolves as a continuous time branching process with a trait structure and ecological interactions in form of mutations and competition between individuals. We generalize existing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Gabriel Berzunza , Anja Sturm , Anita Winter

The goal of this paper is to study the lookdown model with selection in the case of a population containing two types of individuals, with a reproduction model which is dual to the $\Lambda$-coalescent. In particular we formulate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Boubacar Bah , Etienne Pardoux

The $N$-particle branching random walk is a discrete time branching particle system with selection. We have $N$ particles located on the real line at all times. At every time step each particle is replaced by two offspring, and each…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Sarah Penington , Matthew I. Roberts , Zsófia Talyigás

Consider a structured population consisting of $d$ colonies, with migration rates proportional to a positive parameter $K$. We sample $N_K$ individuals, distributed evenly across the $d$ colonies, and trace their ancestral lineages backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Fernando Cordero , Sophia-Marie Mellis , Emmanuel Schertzer

A branching process in random environment $(Z_n, n \in \N)$ is a generalization of Galton Watson processes where at each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly. In this paper we give several results which belong to the class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-15 Vincent Bansaye , Julien Berestycki

In this paper, we uncover new asymptotic isolation by distance patterns occurring under long-range dispersal of offspring. We extend a recent work of the first author, in which this information was obtained from forwards-in-time dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Raphaël Forien , Bastian Wiederhold

We study linear statistics of a class of determinantal processes which interpolate between Poisson and GUE/Ginibre statistics in dimension 1 or 2. These processes are obtained by performing an independent Bernoulli percolation on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Gaultier Lambert

In a series of recent works it has been shown that a class of simple models of evolving populations under selection leads to genealogical trees whose statistics are given by the Bolthausen-Sznitman coalescent rather than by the well known…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-28 Éric Brunet , Bernard Derrida
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