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A problem closely related to epidemiology, where a subgraph of 'infected' links is defined inside a larger network, is investigated. This subgraph is generated from the underlying network by a random variable, which decides whether a link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-07 M Cotacallapa , M O Hase

The Markovian approach, which assumes exponentially distributed interinfection times, is dominant in epidemic modeling. However, this assumption is unrealistic as an individual's infectiousness depends on its viral load and varies over…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-02 Qihui Yang , Joan Saldaña , Caterina Scoglio

Opposition to vaccination has long been a non-negligible public health phenomenon resulted from people's varied perceptions toward vaccination (e.g., vaccine-phobia). This paper investigates the voluntary vaccination behavior of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-04 Liqun Lu , Yanfeng Ouyang

The topic of finding effective strategy to halt virus in complex network is of current interest. We propose an immunization strategy for seasonal epidemics that occur periodically. Based on the local information of the infection status from…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shu Yan , Shaoting Tang , Sen Pei , Shijin Jiang , Zhiming Zheng

We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptible-infected-recovered…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-02 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

Epidemic spreading can be suppressed by the introduction of containment measures such as social distancing and lock downs. Yet, when such measures are relaxed, new epidemic waves and infection cycles may occur. Here we explore this issue in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-07 Fabio Caccioli , Daniele De Martino

The spreading of infectious diseases with and without immunization of individuals can be modeled by stochastic processes that exhibit a transition between an active phase of epidemic spreading and an absorbing phase, where the disease dies…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Stephan M. Dammer , Haye Hinrichsen

Individuals socio-demographic and economic characteristics crucially shape the spread of an epidemic by largely determining the exposure level to the virus and the severity of the disease for those who got infected. While the complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-12 Adriana Manna , Júlia Koltai , Márton Karsai

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

How to prevent the spread of human diseases is a great challenge for the scientific community and so far there are many studies in which immunization strategies have been developed. However, these kind of strategies usually do not consider…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-22 M. A. Di Muro , L. G. Alvarez-Zuzek , S. Havlin , L. A. Braunstein

Understanding dynamics of an infectious disease helps in designing appropriate strategies for containing its spread in a population. Recent mathematical models are aimed at studying dynamics of some specific types of infectious diseases. In…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-02-05 P. Raja Sekhara Rao , M. Naresh Kumar

Understanding the impact of network clustering and small-world properties on epidemic spread can be crucial in developing effective strategies for managing and controlling infectious diseases. Particularly in this work, we study the impact…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Houman Zarrabi , Azam Doustmohammadian , Hamid R. Rabiee

Effective strategies of vaccine prioritization are essential to mitigate the impacts of severe infectious diseases. We investigate the role of infection fatality ratio (IFR) and social contact matrices on vaccination prioritization using a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-04 Arthur Schulenburg , Wesley Cota , Guilherme S. Costa , Silvio C. Ferreira

Countries around the world implement nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. Design of efficient NPIs requires identification of the structure of the disease transmission network. We here identify the key…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-18 Simon Syga , Diana David-Rus , Yannik Schälte , Michael Meyer-Hermann , Haralampos Hatzikirou , Andreas Deutsch

Millions of young people are not immunized in low- and middle-income (LMI) countries because of low vaccine availability resulting from inefficiencies in cold supply chains. We create supply chain network design and distribution models to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-11 Zahra Azadi , Sandra D. Eksioglu , H. Neil Geismar

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton

The COVID-19 vaccine development, manufacturing, transportation, and administration proved an extreme logistics operation of global magnitude. Global vaccination levels, however, remain a key concern in preventing the emergence of new…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-10 Sharika J. Hegde , Max T. M. Ng , Marcos Rios , Hani S. Mahmassani , Ying Chen , Karen Smilowitz

This paper investigates the dynamics of infectious diseases with a non-exponentially distributed infectious period. This is achieved by considering a multi-stage infection model on networks. Using pairwise approximation with a standard…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-23 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

We propose a framework for the description of the effects of vaccinations on the spreading of an epidemic disease. Different vaccines can be dosed, each providing different immunization times and immunization levels. Differences due to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Mauro Garavello

We consider the interplay of vaccination and migration rates on disease persistence in epidemiological systems. We show that short-term and long-term migration can inhibit disease persistence. As a result, we show how migration changes how…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-05-22 Jackson Burton , Lora Billings , Derek A. T. Cummings , Ira B. Schwartz