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We consider a mathematical model describing the propagation of an epidemic on a geographical network. The size of the outbreak is governed by the initial growth rate of the disease given by the maximal eigenvalue of the epidemic matrix…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-06 Mohamad Badaoui , Jean-Guy Caputo , Gustavo Cruz-Pacheco , Arnaud Knippel

Understanding individual decisions in a world where communications and information move instantly via cell phones and the internet, contributes to the development and implementation of policies aimed at stopping or ameliorating the spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Asma Azizi , Cesar Montalvo , Baltazar Espinoza , Yun Kang , Carlos Castillo-Chavez

It is generally accepted that scale-free networks is prone to epidemic spreading allowing the onset of large epidemics whatever the spreading rate of the infection. In the paper, we show that disease propagation may be suppressed in…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-03-05 Zhongzhi Zhang , Shuigeng Zhou , Tao Zou , Jihong Guan

As infectious disease outbreaks emerge, public health agencies often enact vaccination and social distancing measures to slow transmission. Their success depends on not only strategies and resources, but also public adherence. Individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-20 José L. Herrera , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Network-based epidemic models have been extensively employed to understand the spread of infectious diseases, but have generally overlooked the fact that most realistic networks are dynamical rather than static. In this paper, we study a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-19 Xiao-Long Peng , Ze-Qiong Zhang , Junyuan Yang , Zhen Jin

We offer an example of an network model with a power law degree distribution, P(k) ~ k^{-alpha}, for nodes but which nevertheless has a well-defined geography and a nonzero threshold percolation probability for alpha>2, the range of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 C. P. Warren , L. M. Sander , I. M. Sokolov

We investigate methods to vaccinate contact networks -- i.e. removing nodes in such a way that disease spreading is hindered as much as possible -- with respect to their cost-efficiency. Any real implementation of such protocols would come…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-01 Petter Holme , Nelly Litvak

Spreading processes represent a very efficient tool to investigate the structural properties of networks and the relative importance of their constituents, and have been widely used to this aim in static networks. Here we consider simple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Michele Starnini , Anna Machens , Ciro Cattuto , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor Satorras

The outbreak of a pandemic, such as COVID-19, causes major health crises worldwide. Typical measures to contain the rapid spread usually include effective vaccination and strict interventions (Nature Human Behaviour, 2021). Motivated by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Gargi Bakshi , Sujoy Bhore , Suraj Shetiya

We present a detailed analytical and numerical study for the spreading of infections in complex population networks with acquired immunity. We show that the large connectivity fluctuations usually found in these networks strengthen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

We develop a model of infection spread that takes into account the existence of a vulnerable group as well as the variability of the social relations of individuals. We develop a compartmentalized power-law model, with power-law connections…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-13 Simone Santini

In this paper we study the small-world network model of Watts and Strogatz, which mimics some aspects of the structure of networks of social interactions. We argue that there is one non-trivial length-scale in the model, analogous to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. E. J. Newman , D. J. Watts

Herd immunity is shaped not only by the infection capacity of a spreading epidemic or the contact structure of the hosting population, but also by how and under what circumstances individuals acquire immunity. Immunization strategies may…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-20 Sámuel G. Balogh , Gergely Ódor , Márton Karsai

This paper is a survey paper on stochastic epidemic models. A simple stochastic epidemic model is defined and exact and asymptotic model properties (relying on a large community) are presented. The purpose of modelling is illustrated by…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-05 Tom Britton

The outbreak of mutant strains and vaccination behaviors have been the focus of recent epidemiological research, but most existing epidemic models failed to simultaneously capture viral mutation and consider the complexity and behavioral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Wenjie Zhang , Yusheng Li , Qin Li , Guojun Huang , Minyu Feng

Epidemics on complex networks is a widely investigated topic in the last few years, mainly due to the last pandemic events. Usually, real contact networks are dynamic, hence much effort has been invested in studying epidemics on evolving…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-18 Hillel Sanhedrai , Shlomo Havlin

Vaccination is an effective way to prevent and control the occurrence and epidemic of infectious diseases. However, many factors influence whether the residents decide to get vaccinated or not, such as the efficacy and side effects while…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-09 Yingyue Ke , Jin Zhou

If we can lower the number of people needed to vaccinate for a community to be immune against contagious diseases, we can save resources and life. A key to reach such a lower threshold of immunization is to find and vaccinate people who,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-10 Sungmin Lee , Luis E. C. Rocha , Fredrik Liljeros , Petter Holme

We examine here the effects of recurrent vaccination and waning immunity on the establishment of an endemic equilibrium in a population. An individual-based model that incorporates memory effects for transmission rate during infection and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-22 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Arthur Charpentier , Hélène Guérin

Scale-free configuration models are intimately connected to power law Galton-Watson trees. It is known that contact process epidemics can propagate on these trees and therefore these networks with arbitrarily small infection rate, and this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-25 John Fernley , Emmanuel Jacob