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Ordinary least-squares (OLS) estimators for a linear model are very sensitive to unusual values in the design space or outliers among y values. Even one single atypical value may have a large effect on the parameter estimates. This article…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-28 Chun Yu , Weixin Yao , Xue Bai

Selective prediction [Dru13, QV19] models the scenario where a forecaster freely decides on the prediction window that their forecast spans. Many data statistics can be predicted to a non-trivial error rate without any distributional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Licheng Liu , Mingda Qiao

A natural method for approximating out-of-sample predictive evaluation is leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) --- we alternately hold out each case from a full data set and then train a Bayesian model using Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-28 Longhai Li , Shi Qiu , Bei Zhang , Cindy X. Feng

Uncertainty in estimating the log-law parameters is arguably the greatest obstacle to establishing definitive conclusions regarding their numerical values and universality. This challenge is exacerbated by the limited number of studies that…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 M. Aguiar Ferreira , B. Ganapathisubramani

Cross-validation (CV) is a common method to tune machine learning methods and can be used for model selection in regression as well. Because of the structured nature of small, traditional experimental designs, the literature has warned…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-18 Maria L. Weese , Byran J. Smucker , David J. Edwards

Variable selection in linear models plays a pivotal role in modern statistics. Hard-thresholding methods such as $l_0$ regularization are theoretically ideal but computationally infeasible. In this paper, we propose a new approach, called…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-20 Kun Yang

Cross validation is commonly used for selecting tuning parameters in penalized regression, but its use in penalized Cox regression models has received relatively little attention in the literature. Due to its partial likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Biyue Dai , Patrick Breheny

We use deep partial least squares (DPLS) to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that exploits conditioning information in a flexible and dynamic way while attributing excess returns to a small set of statistical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Matthew F. Dixon , Nicholas G. Polson , Kemen Goicoechea

In recent decades, multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) has surged in popularity for population inference. However, the validity of the estimates can depend on details of the model, and there is currently little research on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Swen Kuh , Lauren Kennedy , Qixuan Chen , Andrew Gelman

In this paper, we present an approach to identify linear parameter-varying (LPV) systems with a state-space (SS) model structure in an innovation form where the coefficient functions have static and affine dependency on the scheduling…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Pepijn B. Cox , Roland Tóth

This paper introduces a popular dimension reduction method, sliced inverse regression (SIR), into multivariate statistical process monitoring. Provides an extension of SIR for the single-index model by adopting the idea from partial least…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-03 Yue Yu , Zhijie Sun

The least trimmed squares (LTS) estimator is a renowned robust alternative to the classic least squares estimator and is popular in location, regression, machine learning, and AI literature. Many studies exist on LTS, including its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-10 Yijun Zuo

Concerning bivariate least squares linear regression, the classical results obtained for extreme structural models in earlier attempts are reviewed using a new formalism in terms of deviation (matrix) traces which, for homoscedastic data,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-17 R. Caimmi

In the last decades, it has been discussed the use of epidemiological prevalence ratio (PR) rather than odds ratio as a measure of association to be estimated in cross-sectional studies. The main difficulties in use of statistical models…

A new generalized multilinear regression model, termed the Higher-Order Partial Least Squares (HOPLS), is introduced with the aim to predict a tensor (multiway array) $\tensor{Y}$ from a tensor $\tensor{X}$ through projecting the data onto…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-27 Qibin Zhao , Cesar F. Caiafa , Danilo P. Mandic , Zenas C. Chao , Yasuo Nagasaka , Naotaka Fujii , Liqing Zhang , Andrzej Cichocki

For linear models that may have asymmetric errors, we study variable selection by cross-validation. The data are split into training and validation sets, with the number of observations in the validation set much larger than in the training…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Bilel Bousselmi , Gabriela Ciuperca

Learning vector autoregressive models from multivariate time series is conventionally approached through least squares or maximum likelihood estimation. These methods typically assume a fully connected model which provides no direct insight…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-24 Kimmo Suotsalo , Yingying Xu , Jukka Corander , Johan Pensar

This paper provides an alternative to penalized estimators for estimation and vari- able selection in high dimensional linear regression models with measurement error or missing covariates. We propose estimation via bias corrected least…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-11 Abhishek Kaul , Hira L. Koul , Akshita Chawla , Soumendra N. Lahiri

We study the problem of out-of-sample risk estimation in the high dimensional regime where both the sample size $n$ and number of features $p$ are large, and $n/p$ can be less than one. Extensive empirical evidence confirms the accuracy of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Wenda Zhou , Arian Maleki

Scoring rules are aimed at evaluation of the quality of predictions, but can also be used for estimation of parameters in statistical models. We propose estimating parameters of multivariate spatial models by maximising the average…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-23 Helga Kristin Olafsdottir , Holger Rootzén , David Bolin
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