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We consider a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) where the integrated continuous-time Markov chain can be observed at discrete time points perturbed by a Brownian motion. The aim is to derive a filter for the underlying continuous-time Markov chain.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Igor Gilitschenski , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Time series and sequential data have gained significant attention recently since many real-world processes in various domains such as finance, education, biology, and engineering can be modeled as time series. Although many algorithms and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Manie Tadayon , Greg Pottie

This paper studies the robustness of quasi-maximum-likelihood (QML) estimation in hidden Markov models (HMMs) when the regime-switching structure is misspecified. Specifically, we examine the case where the true data-generating process…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-14 Demian Pouzo , Martin Sola , Zacharias Psaradakis

The paper investigates the problems of quickest change detection in Markov models and hidden Markov models (HMMs). Sequential observations are taken from a (hidden) Markov model. At some unknown time, an event occurs in the system and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-09 Qi Zhang , Zhongchang Sun , Luis C. Herrera , Shaofeng Zou

This work describes algorithms for performing discrete object detection, specifically in the case of buildings, where usually only low quality RGB-only geospatial reflective imagery is available. We utilize new candidate search and feature…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Joseph Paul Cohen , Wei Ding , Caitlin Kuhlman , Aijun Chen , Liping Di

Recent years have seen substantial advances in the development of biofunctional materials using synthetic polymers. The growing problem of elusive sequence-functionality relations for most biomaterials has driven researchers to seek more…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-06 Yun Zhou , Boying Gong , Tao Jiang , Ting Xu , Haiyan Huang

Standard practice in Hidden Markov Model (HMM) selection favors the candidate with the highest full-sequence likelihood, although this is equivalent to making a decision based on a single realization. We introduce a \emph{fragment-based}…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Carlos M. Hernandez-Suarez , Osval A. Montesinos-López

An intrinsic problem of classifiers based on machine learning (ML) methods is that their learning time grows as the size and complexity of the training dataset increases. For this reason, it is important to have efficient computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-16 Khadoudja Ghanem

Understanding the reasons for the success of deep neural networks trained using stochastic gradient-based methods is a key open problem for the nascent theory of deep learning. The types of data where these networks are most successful,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-04 Sebastian Goldt , Marc Mézard , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Although discrete mixture modeling has formed the backbone of the literature on Bayesian density estimation, there are some well known disadvantages. We propose an alternative class of priors based on random nonlinear functions of a uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

Several disciplines, like the social sciences, epidemiology, sentiment analysis, or market research, are interested in knowing the distribution of the classes in a population rather than the individual labels of the members thereof.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Alejandro Moreo , Pablo González , Juan José del Coz

There are many situations in which it would be beneficial for a robot to have predictive abilities similar to those of rational humans. Some of these situations include collaborative robots, robots in adversarial situations, and for dynamic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Alan J. Hamlet , Carl D. Crane

Recurrent models for sequences have been recently successful at many tasks, especially for language modeling and machine translation. Nevertheless, it remains challenging to extract good representations from these models. For instance, even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Łukasz Kaiser , Samy Bengio

In this paper, we propose an algorithm for estimating the parameters of a time-homogeneous hidden Markov model from aggregate observations. This problem arises when only the population level counts of the number of individuals at each time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Rahul Singh , Qinsheng Zhang , Yongxin Chen

The problem of reducing a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to one of smaller dimension that exactly reproduces the same marginals is tackled by using a system-theoretic approach. Realization theory tools are extended to HMMs by leveraging suitable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Tommaso Grigoletto , Francesco Ticozzi

The use of non parametric hidden Markov models with finite state space is flourishing in practice while few theoretical guarantees are known in this framework. Here, we study asymptotic guarantees for these models in the Bayesian framework.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 Elodie Vernet

Quantum machine learning (QML) requires powerful, flexible and efficiently trainable models to be successful in solving challenging problems. We introduce density quantum neural networks, a model family that prepares mixtures of trainable…

Finding the failure scenarios of a system is a very complex problem in the field of Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA). In order to solve this problem we will use the Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMMs) to create a generative model.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-04-04 Ahmed Zaiou , Younès Bennani , Basarab Matei , Mohamed Hibti

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for prediction- and information extraction tasks with an efficient inference scheme. It models categorical-valued time series that exhibit dynamics from multiple underlying patterns (e.g.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-21 Jan Reubold , Thorsten Strufe , Ulf Brefeld

The performance of multiple hypothesis testing is known to be affected by the statistical dependence among random variables involved. The mechanisms responsible for this, however, are not well understood. We study the effects of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Zhiyi Chi