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Standard variational lower bounds used to train latent variable models produce biased estimates of most quantities of interest. We introduce an unbiased estimator of the log marginal likelihood and its gradients for latent variable models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yucen Luo , Alex Beatson , Mohammad Norouzi , Jun Zhu , David Duvenaud , Ryan P. Adams , Ricky T. Q. Chen

Lower bounds for some explicit decision problems over the complex numbers are given.

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Gregorio Malajovich

This article surveys computational methods for posterior inference with intractable likelihoods, that is where the likelihood function is unavailable in closed form, or where evaluation of the likelihood is infeasible. We review recent…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-10 Matthew T. Moores , Anthony N. Pettitt , Kerrie Mengersen

We consider the Norros-Reittu random graph $NR_n(\textbf{w})$, where edges are present independently but edge probabilities are moderated by vertex weights, and use probabilistic arguments based on martingales to analyse the component sizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-02 Umberto De Ambroggio , Angelica Pachon

Anonymous Dynamic Networks is a harsh computational environment due to changing topology and lack of identifiers. Computing the size of the network, a problem known as Counting, is particularly challenging because messages received cannot…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-03-18 Maitri Chakraborty , Alessia Milani , Miguel A. Mosteiro

Recent research has made significant progress on the problem of bounding log partition functions for exponential family graphical models. Such bounds have associated dual parameters that are often used as heuristic estimates of the marginal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Pradeep Ravikumar , John Lafferty

We propose upper and lower bounds on the maximum success probability for discriminating given quantum states. The proposed upper bound is obtained from a suboptimal solution to the dual problem of the corresponding optimal state…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-01-12 Kenji Nakahira , Tsuyoshi Sasaki Usuda , Kentaro Kato

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean functions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. We call this approach dissociation and give an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Dan Suciu

Marginal-likelihood based model-selection, even though promising, is rarely used in deep learning due to estimation difficulties. Instead, most approaches rely on validation data, which may not be readily available. In this work, we present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-16 Alexander Immer , Matthias Bauer , Vincent Fortuin , Gunnar Rätsch , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Bayesian neural networks perform variational inference over the weights however calculation of the posterior distribution remains a challenge. Our work builds on variational inference techniques for bayesian neural networks using the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Abhinav Sagar

Estimation of individual treatment effects is commonly used as the basis for contextual decision making in fields such as healthcare, education, and economics. However, it is often sufficient for the decision maker to have estimates of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Maggie Makar , Fredrik D. Johansson , John Guttag , David Sontag

We develop an approach to finding upper bounds for the number of arithmetic operations necessary for doing harmonic analysis on permutation modules of finite groups. The approach takes advantage of the intrinsic orbital structure of…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Michael Hansen , Masanori Koyama , Matthew B. A. McDermott , Michael E. Orrison , Sarah Wolff

Bayesian networks provide a probabilistic semantics for qualitative assertions about likelihood. A qualitative reasoner based on an algebra over these assertions can derive further conclusions about the influence of actions. While the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Michael P. Wellman

Latent space models are powerful statistical tools for modeling and understanding network data. While the importance of accounting for uncertainty in network analysis has been well recognized, the current literature predominantly focuses on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Jinming Li , Shihao Wu , Chengyu Cui , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

We study asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the sizes of constant dimension codes with respect to the subspace or injection distance, which is used in random linear network coding. In this context we review known upper bounds and show…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Daniel Heinlein , Sascha Kurz

Network calculus is an elegant theory which uses envelopes to determine the worst-case performance bounds in a network. Statistical network calculus is the probabilistic version of network calculus, which strives to retain the simplicity of…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2012-12-11 Kishore Angrishi

We analyze the practices of reservoir computing in the framework of statistical learning theory. In particular, we derive finite sample upper bounds for the generalization error committed by specific families of reservoir computing systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Lukas Gonon , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Given a correlation generated by a (possibly quantum) communication network, we study the amount of shared randomness required to generate it. We develop a novel upper bound for approximating distributions generated by arbitrary networks…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-16 Yukari Uchibori , Alice Zheng , Anurag Anshu , Jamie Sikora

In this paper, we study the quantity of computational resources (state machine states and/or probabilistic transition precision) needed to solve specific problems in a single hop network where nodes communicate using only beeps. We begin by…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-08-18 Seth Gilbert , Calvin Newport

With the advance of efficient analytical methods for sensitivity analysis ofprobabilistic networks, the interest in the sensitivities revealed by real-life networks is rekindled. As the amount of data resulting from a sensitivity analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Linda C. van der Gaag , Silja Renooij
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