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In recent years, disease mapping studies have become a routine application within geographical epidemiology and are typically analysed within a Bayesian hierarchical model formulation. A variety of model formulations for the latent level…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-07 Andrea Riebler , Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Daniel Simpson , Håvard Rue

We present some extensions of Bernstein's concentration inequality for random matrices. This inequality has become a useful and powerful tool for many problems in statistics, signal processing and theoretical computer science. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Stanislav Minsker

The parameters of temporal models, such as dynamic Bayesian networks, may be modelled in a Bayesian context as static or atemporal variables that influence transition probabilities at every time step. Particle filters fail for models that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-09 Yusuf Erol , Lei Li , Bharath Ramsundar , Stuart J. Russell

We present completeness results for inference in Bayesian networks with respect to two different parameterizations, namely the number of variables and the topological vertex separation number. For this we introduce the parameterized…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Hans Bodlaender , Nils Donselaar , Johan Kwisthout

The Bayesian perspective on inverse problems has attracted much mathematical attention in recent years. Particular attention has been paid to Bayesian inverse problems (BIPs) in which the parameter to be inferred lies in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-17 T. J. Sullivan

The goal of this presentation is to build an efficient non-parametric Bayes classifier in the presence of large numbers of predictors. When analyzing such data, parametric models are often too inflexible while non-parametric procedures tend…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-07 Abhishek Bhattacharya

We consider non-parametric estimation and inference of conditional moment models in high dimensions. We show that even when the dimension $D$ of the conditioning variable is larger than the sample size $n$, estimation and inference is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Khashayar Khosravi , Greg Lewis , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We consider a class of infinite-dimensional dynamical systems driven by non-linear parabolic partial differential equations with initial condition $\theta$ modelled by a Gaussian process `prior' probability measure. Given discrete samples…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Richard Nickl

We consider the heat equation with absorption in a bounded domain of $\mathbb{R}^d$, where both the scalar diffusivity and the absorption function are unknown. We investigate a Bayesian approach for recovering the diffusivity from a noisy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Adel Magra , Frank van der Meulen , Aad van der Vaart

We show that in many parametrized families of self-similar measures, their projections, and their convolutions, the set of parameters for which the measure fails to be absolutely continuous is very small - of co-dimension at least one in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-07-29 Pablo Shmerkin , Boris Solomyak

We discuss generalized linear models for directional data where the conditional distribution of the response is a von Mises-Fisher distribution in arbitrary dimension or a Bingham distribution on the unit circle. To do this properly, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Lutz Duembgen , Caroline Haslebacher

The topic of robustness is experiencing a resurgence of interest in the statistical and machine learning communities. In particular, robust algorithms making use of the so-called median of means estimator were shown to satisfy strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-14 Stanislav Minsker , Shunan Yao

A Wasserstein spaces is a metric space of sufficiently concentrated probability measures over a general metric space. The main goal of this paper is to estimate the largeness of Wasserstein spaces, in a sense to be precised. In a first…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Benoit Kloeckner

It is well known that the Fisher information induces a Riemannian geometry on parametric families of probability density functions. Following recent work, we consider the nonparametric generalization of the Fisher geometry. The resulting…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-16 Andrew Holbrook , Shiwei Lan , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

Let $1 \leq m < s \leq n$ and let $A \subseteq \mathbb{R}^n$ be a Borel set of with $s$-dimensional Hausdorff measure $\mathcal{H}^s(A) > 0$. The classical Marstrand slicing theorem states that, for almost every $m$-dimensional subspace $V…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Ryan E. G. Bushling

The paper develops Bernstein von Mises Theorem under hierarchical $g$ -priors for linear regression models. The results are obtained both when the error variance is known, and also when it is unknown. An inverse gamma prior is attached to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-29 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

Online learning is an inferential paradigm in which parameters are updated incrementally from sequentially available data, in contrast to batch learning, where the entire dataset is processed at once. In this paper, we assume that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Jeyong Lee , Junhyeok Choi , Minwoo Chae

Already in $\bf{R}^4$, there are many known examples of minimal hypersurfaces, yet few structural results. We show that minimal submanifolds, of any dimension, that are confined in space are very restricted. It is well-known that the…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Tobias Holck Colding , William P. Minicozzi

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

We provide a comprehensive semi-parametric study of Bayesian partially identified econometric models. While the existing literature on Bayesian partial identification has mostly focused on the structural parameter, our primary focus is on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Yuan Liao , Anna Simoni
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