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Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

The classical Ka\v{c}anov scheme for the solution of nonlinear variational problems can be interpreted as a fixed point iteration method that updates a given approximation by solving a linear problem in each step. Based on this observation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Pascal Heid , Thomas P. Wihler

Popular Bayes filters often apply linearization techniques, such as Taylor expansion or stochastic linear regression, to enable the use of the Kalman filter structure, but this can lead to large errors in strongly nonlinear systems. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Tianyi Zhang , Wenhan Cao , Shengbo Eben Li

Discrete time stochastic optimal control problems and Markov decision processes (MDPs), respectively, serve as fundamental models for problems that involve sequential decision making under uncertainty and as such constitute the theoretical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Christian Beck , Arnulf Jentzen , Konrad Kleinberg , Thomas Kruse

Nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) has gained widespread use in many applications. Its formulation traditionally involves repetitively solving a nonlinear constrained optimization problem online. In this paper, we investigate NMPC…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-11 Iman Askari , Shen Zeng , Huazhen Fang

Nonlinear Bayesian update for a prior ensemble is proposed to extend traditional ensemble Kalman filtering to settings characterized by non-Gaussian priors and nonlinear measurement operators. In this framework, the observed component is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-20 Yoonsang Lee

Markov chain Monte Carlo is an inherently serial algorithm. Although likelihood calculations for individual steps can sometimes be parallelized, the serial evolution of the process is widely viewed as incompatible with parallelization,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-31 Douglas N. VanDerwerken , Scott C. Schmidler

We have reformulated the quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) technique so that a large part of the calculation scales linearly with the number of atoms. The reformulation is related to a recent alternative proposal for achieving linear-scaling QMC,…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 D. Alfe` , M. J. Gillan

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become standard tools in statistics to sample from complex probability measures. Many available techniques rely on discrete-time reversible Markov chains whose transition kernels build up over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-21 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Sebastian J. Vollmer , Arnaud Doucet

In recent decades, a number of profound theorems concerning approximation of hard counting problems have appeared. These include estimation of the permanent, estimating the volume of a convex polyhedron, and counting (approximately) the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Isabel Beichl , Alathea Jensen

In this article, an overview of Bayesian methods for sequential simulation from posterior distributions of nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamic systems is presented. The focus is mainly laid on sequential Monte Carlo methods, which are based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-28 Konstantinos E. Tatsis , Vasilis K. Dertimanis , Eleni N. Chatzi

This paper develops a novel sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approach for joint state and parameter estimation that can deal efficiently with abruptly changing parameters which is a common case when tracking maneuvering targets. The approach…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-12 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

The work concerns the nonlinear filtering problem for a class of multiscale McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems. First of all, by a Poisson equation we prove that the solution of the slow part for a multiscale system weakly converges to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Huijie Qiao , Wanlin Wei

In this paper, we propose a new model reduction technique for linear stochastic systems that builds upon knowledge filtering and utilizes optimal Kalman filtering techniques. This new technique will reduce the dimension of the noise…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-18 Maico Hendrikus Wilhelmus Engelaar , Licio Romao , Yulong Gao , Mircea Lazar , Alessandro Abate , Sofie Haesaert

In this paper we derive a multi-sensor multi-Bernoulli (MS-MeMBer) filter for multi-target tracking. Measurements from multiple sensors are employed by the proposed filter to update a set of tracks modeled as a multi-Bernoulli random finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Augustin-Alexandru Saucan , Mark Coates , Michael Rabbat

We analyze the statistical performance of identification of stochastic dynamical systems with non-linear measurement sensors. This includes stochastic Wiener systems, with linear dynamics, process noise and measured by a non-linear sensor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Bo Wahlberg , Lennart Ljung

This paper introduces a class of Monte Carlo algorithms which are based upon the simulation of a Markov process whose quasi-stationary distribution coincides with a distribution of interest. This differs fundamentally from, say, current…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-14 Murray Pollock , Paul Fearnhead , Adam M. Johansen , Gareth O. Roberts

By precisely writing down the matrix element of the local Boltzmann operator, we have proposed a new path integral formulation for quantum field theory and developed a corresponding Monte Carlo algorithm. With current formula, the…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2022-03-08 J. Wang , W. Pan , D. Y. Sun

The study presents a novel approach for stochastic nonlinear model updating in structural dynamics, employing a Bayesian framework integrated with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for parameter estimation by using an approximated…