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We describe likelihood-based statistical tests for use in high energy physics for the discovery of new phenomena and for construction of confidence intervals on model parameters. We focus on the properties of the test procedures that allow…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-25 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

In this work, we attempt to refine the classic asymptotic formulae to describe the probability distribution of likelihood-ratio statistical tests. The idea is to split the probability distribution function into two parts. One part is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-07-29 Li-Gang Xia , Yan Zhang

Within the framework of likelihood-based statistical tests for high energy physics measurements, we derive generalized expressions for estimating the statistical significance of discovery using the asymptotic approximations of Wilks and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-12-21 M. J. Basso

This paper provides a generalization of a classical result obtained by Wilks about the asymptotic behavior of the likelihood ratio. The new results deal with the asymptotic behavior of the joint distribution of a vector of likelihood ratios…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Emanuele Dolera , Andrea Bulgarelli

We present the asymptotic distribution for two-sided tests based on the profile likelihood ratio with lower and upper boundaries on the parameter of interest. This situation is relevant for branching ratios and the elements of unitary…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-26 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

Wald-type tests are convenient because they allow one to test a wide array of linear and nonlinear restrictions from a single unrestricted estimator; we focus on the problem of implementing Wald-type tests for nonlinear restrictions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-03 Jean-Marie Dufour , Eric Renault , Victoria Zinde-Walsh

Generalized likelihood ratio statistics have been proposed in Fan, Zhang and Zhang [Ann. Statist. 29 (2001) 153-193] as a generally applicable method for testing nonparametric hypotheses about nonparametric functions. The likelihood ratio…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Jian Zhang

Likelihood ratio tests are widely used in high-energy physics, where the test statistic is usually assumed to follow a chi-squared distribution with a number of degrees of freedom specified by Wilks' theorem. This assumption breaks down…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-12-23 Clara Bertinelli Salucci , Hedvig Borgen Reiersrud , A. L. Read , Anders Kvellestad , Riccardo De Bin

Asymptotic expansions are derived for the tail distribution of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances, and more generally the sum of independent copies of such random variables.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Robert E. Gaunt , Zixin Ye

Testing equality of two multivariate distributions is a classical problem for which many non-parametric tests have been proposed over the years. Most of the popular two-sample tests, which are asymptotically distribution-free, are based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-17 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya

We adapt the techniques in Stigler [Ann. Statist. 1 (1973) 472--477] to obtain a new, general asymptotic result for trimmed $U$-statistics via the generalized $L$-statistic representation introduced by Serfling [Ann. Statist. 12 (1984)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Yuri V. Borovskikh , N. C. Weber

In this paper, we establish the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for linear spectral statistics (LSSs) of large-dimensional generalized spiked sample covariance matrices, where the spiked eigenvalues may be either bounded or diverge to infinity.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Zhijun Liu , Jiang Hu , Zhidong Bai , Zhihui Lv

The likelihood ratio test (LRT) is widely used for comparing the relative fit of nested latent variable models. Following Wilks' theorem, the LRT is conducted by comparing the LRT statistic with its asymptotic distribution under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki , Haoran Zhang

A variety of estimators for the parameters of the Generalized Pareto distribution, the approximating distribution for excesses over a high threshold, have been proposed, always assuming the underlying data to be independent. We recently…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-26 Lukas Martig , Jürg Hüsler

For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Xiaoyun Li , Binghui Liu

The pseudo-Lindley distribution was introduced as a useful generalization of the Lindley distribution in Zeghdoudi and Nedjar (2016) who showed interesting properties of their new laws and efficiencies in modeling data in Reliability and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Gane Samb Lo , Tchilabalo Abozou Kpanzou , Cheikh Mohamed Haidara

A recent article on generalised linear mixed model asymptotics, Jiang et al. (2022), derived the rates of convergence for the asymptotic variances of maximum likelihood estimators. If $m$ denotes the number of groups and $n$ is the average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Luca Maestrini , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Matt P. Wand

We develop asymptotic theory for weighted likelihood estimators (WLE) under two-phase stratified sampling without replacement. We also consider several variants of WLEs involving estimated weights and calibration. A set of empirical process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Takumi Saegusa , Jon A. Wellner

We provide a complete asymptotic distribution theory for clustered data with a large number of independent groups, generalizing the classic laws of large numbers, uniform laws, central limit theory, and clustered covariance matrix…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Bruce E. Hansen , Seojeong Lee

Asymptotic expansions for a wide class of distribution are studied. A simple method for computation of the series coefficients is suggested. The case when regularization parameter of the distribution depends on the asymptotic parameter is…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2007-05-23 Vladimir K. Petrov
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