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This letter studies the problem of online multi-step-ahead prediction for unknown linear stochastic systems. Using conditional distribution theory, we derive an optimal parameterization of the prediction policy as a linear function of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

In online learning the performance of an algorithm is typically compared to the performance of a fixed function from some class, with a quantity called regret. Forster proposed a last-step min-max algorithm which was somewhat simpler than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-28 Edward Moroshko , Koby Crammer

We consider the classic problem of online convex optimisation. Whereas the notion of static regret is relevant for stationary problems, the notion of switching regret is more appropriate for non-stationary problems. A switching regret is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Stephen Pasteris , Chris Hicks , Vasilios Mavroudis , Mark Herbster

This paper investigates a class of games with large strategy spaces, motivated by challenges in AI alignment and language games. We introduce the hidden game problem, where for each player, an unknown subset of strategies consistently…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Gon Buzaglo , Noah Golowich , Elad Hazan

We consider the problem of online prediction in a marginally stable linear dynamical system subject to bounded adversarial or (non-isotropic) stochastic perturbations. This poses two challenges. Firstly, the system is in general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Udaya Ghai , Holden Lee , Karan Singh , Cyril Zhang , Yi Zhang

Recently, several universal methods have been proposed for online convex optimization which can handle convex, strongly convex and exponentially concave cost functions simultaneously. However, most of these algorithms have been designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Arnold Salas

We study the problem of online learning in adversarial bandit problems under a partial observability model called off-policy feedback. In this sequential decision making problem, the learner cannot directly observe its rewards, but instead…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Germano Gabbianelli , Matteo Papini , Gergely Neu

Much of the work in online learning focuses on the study of sublinear upper bounds on the regret. In this work, we initiate the study of best-case lower bounds in online convex optimization, wherein we bound the largest improvement an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Cristóbal Guzmán , Nishant A. Mehta , Ali Mortazavi

We consider the problem of online control of systems with time-varying linear dynamics. This is a general formulation that is motivated by the use of local linearization in control of nonlinear dynamical systems. To state meaningful…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Paula Gradu , Elad Hazan , Edgar Minasyan

Online learning has traditionally focused on the expected rewards. In this paper, a risk-averse online learning problem under the performance measure of the mean-variance of the rewards is studied. Both the bandit and full information…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-15 Sattar Vakili , Alexis Boukouvalas , Qing Zhao

We consider Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with deterministic transitions and study the problem of regret minimization, which is central to the analysis and design of optimal learning algorithms. We present logarithmic problem-specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Damianos Tranos , Alexandre Proutiere

In online learning an algorithm plays against an environment with losses possibly picked by an adversary at each round. The generality of this framework includes problems that are not adversarial, for example offline optimization, or saddle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-04 Ryan D'Orazio , Ruitong Huang

We study online conformal prediction for non-stationary data streams subject to unknown distribution drift. While most prior work studied this problem under adversarial settings and/or assessed performance in terms of gaps of time-averaged…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jiadong Liang , Zhimei Ren , Yuxin Chen

In learning theory, the performance of an online policy is commonly measured in terms of the static regret metric, which compares the cumulative loss of an online policy to that of an optimal benchmark in hindsight. In the definition of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Ativ Joshi , Abhishek Sinha

Motivated by learning of correlated equilibria in non-cooperative games, we perform a large deviations analysis of a regret minimizing stochastic approximation algorithm. The regret minimization algorithm we consider comprises multiple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Hongjiang Qian , Vikram Krishnamurthy

A central capability of intelligent systems is the ability to continuously build upon previous experiences to speed up and enhance learning of new tasks. Two distinct research paradigms have studied this question. Meta-learning views this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-05 Chelsea Finn , Aravind Rajeswaran , Sham Kakade , Sergey Levine

We study the problem of online learning with non-convex losses, where the learner has access to an offline optimization oracle. We show that the classical Follow the Perturbed Leader (FTPL) algorithm achieves optimal regret rate of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Arun Sai Suggala , Praneeth Netrapalli

We consider the online convex optimization problem. In the setting of arbitrary sequences and finite set of parameters, we establish a new fast-rate quantile regret bound. Then we investigate the optimization into the L1-ball by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Pierre Gaillard , Olivier Wintenberger

We study the problem of dynamic regret minimization in online convex optimization, in which the objective is to minimize the difference between the cumulative loss of an algorithm and that of an arbitrary sequence of comparators. While the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Andrew Jacobsen , Francesco Orabona

We introduce a transformation framework that can be utilized to develop online algorithms with low $\epsilon$-approximate regret in the random-order model from offline approximation algorithms. We first give a general reduction theorem that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Jing Dong , Yuichi Yoshida
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