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Bayesian inference is a powerful tool in gravitational-wave astronomy. It enables us to deduce the properties of merging compact-object binaries and to determine how these mergers are distributed as a population according to mass, spin, and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-15 Isobel M. Romero-Shaw , Eric Thrane , Paul D. Lasky

Modern astronomy increasingly relies upon systematic surveys, whose dedicated telescopes continuously observe the sky across varied wavelength ranges of the electromagnetic spectrum; some surveys also observe non-electromagnetic…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-14 Tamas Budavari , Thomas J. Loredo

Multi-wavelength astronomical studies require cross-identification of detections of the same celestial objects in multiple catalogs based on spherical coordinates and other properties. Because of the large data volumes and spherical…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-06-25 László Dobos , Tamás Budavári , Nolan Li , Alexander S. Szalay , István Csabai

The Bayesian approach to the prediction of particle type given measurements of particle location is explored, using a parametric model whose prior is based on the transformation group. Two types of particle are considered, and locations are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-17 Robert W. Johnson

The Bayesian approach to data analysis provides a powerful way to handle uncertainty in all observations, model parameters, and model structure using probability theory. Probabilistic programming languages make it easier to specify and fit…

Classically, Bayesian clustering interprets each component of a mixture model as a cluster. The inferred clustering posterior is highly sensitive to any inaccuracies in the kernel within each component. As this kernel is made more flexible,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 David Buch , Miheer Dewaskar , David B. Dunson

Methods for unsupervised anomaly detection suffer from the fact that the data is unlabeled, making it difficult to assess the optimality of detection algorithms. Ensemble learning has shown exceptional results in classification and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-26 Edward Yu , Parth Parekh

Crossmatching catalogs at different wavelengths is a difficult problem in astronomy, especially when the objects are not point-like. At radio wavelengths an object can have several components corresponding, for example, to a core and lobes.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-05 Dongwei Fan , Tamás Budavári , Ray P. Norris , Andrew M. Hopkins

Bayesian probability theory is used to analyze the oft-made assumption that humans are typical observers in the universe. Some theoretical calculations make the {\it selection fallacy} that we are randomly chosen from a class of objects by…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 James B. Hartle , Mark Srednicki

We present and implement a probabilistic (Bayesian) method for producing catalogs from images of stellar fields. The method is capable of inferring the number of sources N in the image and can also handle the challenges introduced by noise,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Brendon J. Brewer , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , David W. Hogg

This paper is an invited commentary on Tamas Budavari's presentation, "On statistical cross-identification in astronomy," for the Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy V conference held at Pennsylvania State University in June 2011. I…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-06-20 Thomas J. Loredo

Exoplanet research is carried out at the limits of the capabilities of current telescopes and instruments. The studied signals are weak, and often embedded in complex systematics from instrumental, telluric, and astrophysical sources.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-06 Hannu Parviainen

We revisit and generalize the concept of composite likelihood as a method to make a probabilistic inference by aggregation of multiple Bayesian agents, thereby defining a class of predictive models which we call composite Bayesian. This…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-18 Alexis Roche

In astronomical and cosmological studies one often wishes to infer some properties of an infinite-dimensional field indexed within a finite-dimensional metric space given only a finite collection of noisy observational data. Bayesian…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-06-26 Ewan Cameron

Classification is a popular task in the field of Machine Learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI), and it happens when outputs are categorical variables. There are a wide variety of models that attempts to draw some conclusions from…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-24 Mohammad H. Zhoolideh Haghighi

Bayesian Inference is a powerful approach to data analysis that is based almost entirely on probability theory. In this approach, probabilities model {\it uncertainty} rather than randomness or variability. This thesis is composed of a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-09-08 Brendon J. Brewer

Identification of taxa can significantly be assisted by statistical classification based on trait measurements in two major ways; either individually or by phylogenetic (clustering) methods. In this paper we present a general Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-17 Måns Karlsson , Ola Hössjer

We review some of the common methods for model selection: the goodness of fit, the likelihood ratio test, Bayesian model selection using Bayes factors, and the classical as well as the Bayesian information theoretic approaches. We…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-02 Martin Kerscher , Jochen Weller

Building on previous Bayesian approaches, we introduce a novel formulation of probabilistic cross-identification, where detections are directly associated to (hypothesized) astronomical objects in a globally optimal way. We show that this…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-25 Tu Nguyen , Amitabh Basu , Támas Budavári

Clustering is a crucial task in various domains of knowledge, including medicine, epidemiology, genomics, environmental science, economics, and visual sciences, among others. Methodologies for inferring the number of clusters have often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Clara Grazian