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Accurate risk assessment is essential for safety-critical autonomous and control systems under uncertainty. In many real-world settings, stochastic dynamics exhibit asymmetric jumps and long-range memory, making long-term risk probabilities…
A particular type of random dynamical processes is considered, in which the stochasticity is introduced through randomly fluctuating parameters. A method of local multipliers is developed for treating the local stability of such dynamical…
Stochastic differential equation mixed-effects models (SDEMEMs) are flexible hierarchical models that are able to account for random variability inherent in the underlying time-dynamics, as well as the variability between experimental units…
This article addresses a new class of fractional nonlocal neutral stochastic differential system of order 1<q<2 including non-instantaneous impulses(NIIs) and state-dependent delay(SDD) with the Poisson jumps and the Wiener process in…
In this work, we derive particle schemes, based on micro-macro decomposition, for linear kinetic equations in the diffusion limit. Due to the particle approximation of the micro part, a splitting between the transport and the collision part…
We study recursive maximum likelihood estimation for stochastic interacting particle systems based on continuous observation of a single particle. In this regime, consistent estimation of the finite-particle log-likelihood is not possible,…
In this paper we consider three classes of interacting particle systems on $\mathbb Z$: independent random walks, the exclusion process, and the inclusion process. We allow particles to switch their jump rate (the rate identifies the type…
First-principles particle-in-cell (PIC) simulation is a powerful tool for understanding plasma behavior, but this power often comes at great computational expense. Artificially reducing the ion/electron mass ratio is a time-honored practice…
The purpose of this paper is to examine the Lagrangian stochastic modeling of the fluid velocity seen by inertial particles in a nonhomogeneous turbulent flow. A new Langevin-type model, compatible with the transport equation of the drift…
State-space models have been used in many applications, including econometrics, engineering, medical research, etc. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the static parameter of general state-space models is not straightforward because…
Stochastic reaction networks, which are usually modeled as continuous-time Markov chains on $\mathbb Z^d_{\ge 0}$, and simulated via a version of the "Gillespie algorithm," have proven to be a useful tool for the understanding of processes,…
Based on a class of moderately interacting particle systems, we establish a quantitative approximation for density-dependent McKean-Vlasov SDEs and the corresponding nonlinear, nonlocal PDEs. The SDE is driven by both Brownian motion and…
In this paper, we analyze the optimal management of local memory systems, using the tools of stationary point processes. We provide a rigorous setting of the problem, building upon recent work, and characterize the optimal causal policy…
We study the local asymptotic normality (LAN) property for the likelihood function associated with discretely observed $d$-dimensional McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations over a fixed time interval. The model involves a joint…
In this paper, we investigate the exponential ergodicity in a Wasserstein-type distance for a damping Hamiltonian dynamics with state-dependent and non-local collisions, which indeed is a special case of piecewise deterministic Markov…
Elliptic stochastic differential equations (SDE) make sense when the coefficients are only continuous. We study the corresponding linearized SDE whose coefficients are not assumed to be locally bounded. This leads to existence of…
Many stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in the literature have a superlinearly growing nonlinearity in their drift or diffusion coefficient. Unfortunately, moments of the computationally efficient Euler-Maruyama approximation method…
We address estimation of parametric coefficients of a pure-jump L\'evy driven univariate stochastic differential equation (SDE) model, which is observed at high frequency over a fixed time period. It is known from the previous study Masuda…
Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) offer a powerful stochastic modeling framework that combines deterministic trajectories with random perturbations at random times. Estimating their local characteristics (particularly the…
The likelihood functions for discretely observed nonlinear continuous-time models based on stochastic differential equations are not available except for a few cases. Various parameter estimation techniques have been proposed, each with…