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We study a variant of Gilbert's disc model, in which discs are positioned at the points of a Poisson process in $\mathbb{R}^2$ with radii determined by an underlying stationary and ergodic random field $\varphi:\mathbb{R}^2\to[0,\infty)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Daniel Ahlberg , Johan Tykesson

This paper presents the Poisson-randomized gamma dynamical system (PRGDS), a model for sequentially observed count tensors that encodes a strong inductive bias toward sparsity and burstiness. The PRGDS is based on a new motif in Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-30 Aaron Schein , Scott W. Linderman , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei , Hanna Wallach

In this paper, we construct a new family of random series defined on $\R^D$, indexed by one scaling parameter and two Hurst-like exponents. The model is close to Takagi-Knopp functions, save for the fact that the underlying partitions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Pierre Calka , Yann Demichel

Non-Gaussian observations such as binary responses are common in some computer experiments. Motivated by the analysis of a class of cell adhesion experiments, we introduce a generalized Gaussian process model for binary responses, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Chih-Li Sung , Ying Hung , William Rittase , Cheng Zhu , C. F. Jeff Wu

We introduce a new class of Poisson-exponential-Tweedie (PET) mixture in the framework of generalized linear models for ultra-overdispersed count data. The mean-variance relationship is of the form $m+m^{2}+\phi m^{p}$, where $\phi$ and $p$…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Rahma Abid , Celestin C. Kokonendji , Afif Masmoudi

A novel over-dispersed discrete distribution, namely the PoiTG distribution is derived by the convolution of a Poisson variate and an independently distributed transmuted geometric random variable. This distribution generalizes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Anupama Nandi , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

In this chapter we review some examples, methods, and recent results involving comparison of clustering properties of point processes. Our approach is founded on some basic observations allowing us to consider void probabilities and moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-23 Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn , D. Yogeshwaran

Recent advances in deep learning have brought to the fore models that can make multiple computational steps in the service of completing a task; these are capable of describ- ing long-term dependencies in sequential data. Novel recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-06 Kyriakos Tolias , Sotirios Chatzis

The Gaussian process (GP) regression can be severely biased when the data are contaminated by outliers. This paper presents a new robust GP regression algorithm that iteratively trims the most extreme data points. While the new algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Zhao-Zhou Li , Lu Li , Zhengyi Shao

In the random graph $G(n,p)$ with $pn$ bounded, the degrees of the vertices are almost i.i.d Poisson random variables with mean $\gl:= p(n-1)$. Motivated by this fact, we introduce the Poisson cloning model $G_{PC} (n,p)$ for random graphs…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2008-05-28 Jeong Han Kim

In Smyl et al. [Local and global trend Bayesian exponential smoothing models. International Journal of Forecasting, 2024.], a generalised exponential smoothing model was proposed that is able to capture strong trends and volatility in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Xueying Long , Daniel F. Schmidt , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

We introduce a new version of particle filter in which the number of "children" of a particle at a given time has a Poisson distribution. As a result, the number of particles is random and varies with time. An advantage of this scheme is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-05 Tomasz Cąkała , Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro

In the original (1961) Gilbert model of random geometric graphs, nodes are placed according to a Poisson point process, and links formed between those within a fixed range. Motivated by wireless ad-hoc networks "soft" or "probabilistic"…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-06-15 Carl P. Dettmann , Orestis Georgiou

The telegraph process models a random motion with finite velocity and it is usually proposed as an alternative to diffusion models. The process describes the position of a particle moving on the real line, alternatively with constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano M. Iacus

Several machine learning problems arising in natural language processing can be modeled as a sequence labeling problem. We provide Gaussian process models based on pseudo-likelihood approximation to perform sequence labeling. Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-22 P. K. Srijith , P. Balamurugan , Shirish Shevade

Probabilistic approaches for handling count-valued time sequences have attracted amounts of research attentions because their ability to infer explainable latent structures and to estimate uncertainties, and thus are especially suitable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Jiahao Wang , Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl , Xiuzhen Cheng , Pengfei Hu , Guoming Zhang

A Bayesian nonparametric method of James, Lijoi \& Prunster (2009) used to predict future values of observations from normalized random measures with independent increments is modified to a class of models based on negative binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Robert C. Griffiths , Ross A. Maller , Soudabeh Shemehsavar

We consider random graphs $\mathcal{G}$ built on a homogeneous Poisson point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$, $d\geq 2$, with points $x$ marked by i.i.d. random variables $E_x$. Fixed a symmetric function $h(\cdot, \cdot)$, the vertexes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Alessandra Faggionato , Hlafo Alfie Mimun

In most domains of network analysis researchers consider networks that arise in nature with weighted edges. Such networks are routinely dichotomized in the interest of using available methods for statistical inference with networks. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-10 James D. Wilson , Matthew J. Denny , Shankar Bhamidi , Skyler Cranmer , Bruce Desmarais

We consider a family of determinantal random point processes on the two-dimensional lattice and prove that members of our family can be interpreted as a kind of Gibbs ensembles of nonintersecting paths. Examples include probability measures…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 Alexei Borodin , Senya Shlosman